ReachTEL: 54-46 to Labor in Ashgrove

A new poll finds Campbell Newman in desperate straits in the race for his seat of Ashgrove.

Courtesy of the Seven Network, ReachTEL offers what is perhaps a note of insight into the tone of panic that has been emerging lately from the Campbell Newman campaign, with no sign of the late-campaign surge that powered him to victory in Ashgrove in 2012. Labor’s lead has in fact increased from 53-47 in the January 13 poll to a formidable 54-46, from primary votes of 46.5% from Labor’s Kate Jones (down 1.1%), 42.3% for Newman (down 1.4%) and 8.2% for the Greens, up a solid 2.8%. The poll was conducted yesterday by automated phone polling from a sample of 861; full results here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

303 comments on “ReachTEL: 54-46 to Labor in Ashgrove”

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  1. I only found out about the leader’s GST musings this morning. As ever the coverage is devoted to making whatever a Labor figure said the issue. And we just know, don’t we, that Campbell knows the rate but has more important things to do than tell us.

  2. P.S.
    Didn’t Howard miss something like that during the last days of his PMship, when interviewed by Tracy Grimshaw? No big deal at all, according to those who now reckon Anastasia’s not fit & proper.

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