Three new (or new-ish) Victorian state polls:
ReachTEL has published results from a Victorian state poll of 1153 respondents conducted on Thursday night for the Seven Network, showing Labor with a lead of 53-47 on two-party preferred from primary votes of 37.5% for Labor, 38.6% for the Coalition and 13.3% for the Greens. The poll also finds Denis Napthine’s performance rated good or very good by 29.5% and poor or very poor by 38.5%; Daniel Andrews with respective ratings of 22.8% and 39.3%; and 47.7% supportive of the East West Link tunnel versus 29.5% opposed, along with other questions related to the project.
A Galaxy poll for the Herald-Sun has Labor leading 52-48 with the Coalition on 40% of the primary vote and Labor on 38%, all of which is unchanged on the previous Galaxy poll in August, with the Greens up a point to 13% and Palmer United down one to 2%. However, Denis Napthine’s lead over Daniel Andrews as preferred premier has widened from 41-33 to 43-27.
The Victorian National Parks Association has also reported results from a poll of 812 respondents conducted by Essential Research from October 9 to 14, which has Labor leading 54-46 on two-party preferred from primary votes of 38% each for Labor and the Coalition and 16.5% for the Greens (exclusive of the 21% undecided, which suggests waverers were not given a follow-up question as to who they were leaning towards). The poll also found strong opposition to private sector development in parks.
The very first Fairfax-Ipsos poll, which will be a Victorian state poll, should be with us over the next few days.
Apparently Morgan has been conducting another of its nationwide SMS polls on state voting intention, so stay tuned for Victorian and other results from that one as well.
UPDATE (Morgan poll): Looks like that Morgan poll is Victorian only the sample is a big one, of 1860. It has Labor leading 52.5-47.5 on two-party preferred, which is well in line with the others, although the Labor vote (34%) looks under-nourished relative to the Greens (18.5%). The Coalition is on 37.5% and Palmer United on 2.5%, although as Glen299 notes in comments, Palmer United will not in fact be fielding candidates in the lower house.