BludgerTrack: 51.0-49.0 to Labor

The weekly poll aggregate continues to trend back to the Coalition, with Labor now short of an absolute majority on the seat projection.

A big week of polling, with Newspoll, Morgan and ReachTEL joining the usual weekly Essential Research, has added to the drift back to the Coalition on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate. The aggregate concurs with the headline figures of Newspoll and ReachTEL in having the Labor two-party lead at 51.0-49.0, which sees Labor’s seat projection dip below absolute majority status for the first time since the beginning of May. Labor is down one seat on last week in New South Wales, and two in Queensland. Newspoll provides new figures on the leadership ratings, which sadly have less to go on now the monthly Nielsen is removed from the equation. The Newspoll numbers were good for Bill Shorten, which is reflected in the trendline, whereas Tony Abbott’s recovery has tapered off. However, Abbott still has his nose in front as preferred prime minister.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,159 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.0-49.0 to Labor”

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  1. [The real thing to look at in the photo is the total detachment on Abbots face… Only a moment in time… But it’s lack of empathy … Expressionless psychopath]

    Of course that was BEFORE his speech. He knew what he was about to say, and knew that Mundine would be none too impressed.

  2. A US writer calls for an end to policies of interventionism by the USA
    Seeing a world beyond the control of US forces ,Dan Larison in the US Conservative calls for a drawing back by the US from other peoples conflicts.whether in Ukr or the Middle East…”breaking the bad habit” he calls it

    a bit of advice Abbott might follow

  3. September is going to be a busy month for psephologists, it appears.

    3 state elections in Germany, a Canadian provincial election, Parliamentary election in Sweden, the Scotland Independence referendum and the NZ General elections.

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