Jenny Macklin’s electorate of Jagajaga was created with the expansion of parliament in 1984, and covers suburbs in north-eastern Melbourne from Heidelberg and Ivanhoe out to North Warrandyte in the east. Its present area was mostly in the electorate of Bourke from federation until 1926, which accounted for northern Melbourne including Brunswick and Reservoir; Flinders and Indi from 1922 to 1937, which respectively covered its western suburban and eastern interior regions; Deakin from its recreation in 1937 until 1955, at which time Ivanhoe was absorbed by Batman; and Diamond Valley in its eastern parts from 1969 to 1984. When created in 1984, Jagajaga extended north to Bundoora and had the Yarra River as its eastern boundary, with Eltham and its surrounds accommodated by Casey and Menzies. Its present configuration was largely adopted at the redistribution which took effect at the 1996 election.
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| Red and blue numbers respectively indicate size of two-party booth majorities for Labor and Liberal. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room. |
Jagajaga was in part the successor to abolished Diamond Valley, although that seat’s extension into rural areas further to the north made it a marginal seat that went with the government of the day at each election during an existence that ran from 1969 to 1984. Diamond Valley was won narrowly for Labor in 1983 by Peter Staples at the expense of Liberal incumbent Neil Brown, who would return to parliament in 1984 as member for Menzies and later became deputy Liberal leader (and was more recently a contentious appointment to the panel that appoints ABC board directors). Staples secured the considerably more accommodating electoral territory of Jagajaga in 1984, which had a notional Labor margin of 8.4%, and retained the seat until his retirement in 1996, in which time his closest shave was a 2.6% winning margin amid the Victorian anti-Labor backlash of 1990.
Staples was succeeded by Jenny Macklin, a former researcher and state ministerial staffer and member of the Socialist Left. Macklin retained the seat by 2.7% on her electoral debut and secured slightly stronger margins over the the next three elections. After the 2001 election she rose to the position of deputy leader, a position she maintained until Kim Beazley was deposed by Kevin Rudd in December 2006, at which point she made way for Julia Gillard. Macklin also exchanged her education portfolio for family and community services and indigenous affairs, which retained without interruption throughout the six-year saga of the Rudd-Gillard-Rudd government. The only change to her workload in government was an exchange of housing for disability reform in December 2011. This continuity has been maintained in opposition, albeit that she relinquished indigenous affairs and families and community services was rebadged as families and payments. In the meantime, Macklin secured her hold on Jagajaga with strong successive swings in 2007 and 2010, respectively pushing her margin out to 9.0% and 11.5%, before a forceful 8.1% swing to the Liberals in 2013 pared it back to 3.1%.
Diogenes@839
They also released evidence, many years ago, of evidence confirming the existence of WMD in Iraq.
That stuff is hardly conclusive and I guess it is really impossible to really present the evidence conclusively in the media.
I await a proper investigation with all the evidence examined by appropriate experts.
Couldn’t agree more
[“…if the business lobby is going to go into hysterics about every sensible proposal to establish an ETS … then stuff ‘em.”]
http://www.crikey.com.au/2014/08/11/screw-consultation-lets-just-ban-stuff-how-to-really-fight-climate-change/
BK@809
Pell is a disgrace. He should be extradited and charged.
Retweeted by Richard Chirgwin
Michaela Whitbourn @MWhitbourn 5h
Tim Owen arranged to meet Jeff McCloy at a coffee shop in Sydney after he was called to give evidence in secret at #ICAC. This is illegal.
With all that is happening in Iraq and neighbouring countries I hold out grave concerns for all involved there – it is one continual and growing cluster F.
I wonder what it will be like next April when we have thousands of Aussies heading over to Turkey.
I would have thought that the last week was weaker for the LNP. I presume the newspoll was entirely conducted on 9/10 so it will be interesting to see if it comes it at the same or a higher level.
Player One
Won’t happen.
There is a god.
He world is flat
There is no climate change.
MA17 fell out of the sky.
Kennedy was killed by the CIA
Man didn’t go to the moon.
Vaccines kill.
There has to be some thruth in there somewhere.
PVO pulling his pud as usual.
[Tomorrow’s Newspoll…wow! #PVOnewshour]
BK@857
I know.
And I know why.
But one can still dream of a country where justice rules, can’t one?
@ruawake/859
Knowing PVO, bad news for ALP.
frednk
[MA17 fell out of the sky.]
Ok, smart a#$e. Where did MA370 get to?
It is fairly clear from all the evidence we have at our fingertips that Ukrainian agents provocateur fired a Buk which they had captured from the DPR unit which had been given the Buk unit as a loan from Vlad the Stallion Rider.
Then the Ukrainian statist agents provovateur vidded the DPR unit driving the recaptured borrowed Buk launcher back to Vlad the Terror of Airliners.
In order to tie up loose ends, the Ukrainian leadership ordered two Ukrainian-piloted Su-25s to shoot MH17 down some more. But a couple of Vlad, Liberator of the Crimea’s Su-25s got there before them.
For those who like technical discussions a Buk and four Su-25s gets you more holes than you can poke a stick at and vice versa.
Straight after that Vlad, Slayer of the Jihadis, sent his Su-25s south to fight side-by-side with the US against ISIS. Hiding them in plane sight, no?
As soon as MH17 hit the ground, Spetsnaz troops, assorted stoked DPR freedom fighters, and assorted locals looted the site of watches and corrupt western literature, and then put some extra holes in the fuselage to optimise conspiracy theories.
Some of the Gravonotes then erected a shrine, declared a local day of mourning, and prayed for the victims even when there was not a single vote in it for any of them.
The Russian MSM misread and misreported the whole thing three times in a row in the space of two-and-a-half hours, and had to rewrite history on the hop before it had even had a chance to go cold.
Vlad the Truth Keeper has had to send some newspeople to a re-education camp in Magnitigorsk.
With respect to the boy with the severed head – I haven’t been following it super closely but is there a suppression order in place – a just read a lot of stuff I would have thought was very pertinent to the story on the BBC which I haven’t seen or read here?
CTaR1
I am leaning to the view that there was never any MA170.
After all, there is not one bit of 3D substantive evidence that it existed. All the evidence is digital. And we all know that your average twelve year old can bodgie up some metadata.
The Malaysian Government, BTW, is fully nationalising the airline and it is costing them half a billion to do so. I imagine that that is before the payouts for around 600 ex passengers.
Sound corporate strategy would normally be for a spot of rebadging, but since it is a national prestige project they might decide to stick with what they have.
Uhlmann trying to do a Ferguson but can’t cut it.
zoid
[Knowing PVO, bad news]
Bad news indeed. My condolences.
Knowing PVO must be Hell-on-Earth.
Chin up in the morning and take no crap.
The inter generational battlelines are drawn.
[Cardinal George Pell rejected suggestions of a cover-up of Father Searson’s crimes, stating: “No conviction was recorded for Searson on sexual misbehaviour. There might be victims. He was convicted for cruelty. But speaking more generally, I totally reject the suggestion.”]
Who convicted Searson for cruelty? A court?
For me it’s not about moving the goal posts
i’ll ask 2 questions
Does America always tell the truth ??
Does Russia always tell the truth ??
the 300 souls were collateral damage in the bigger picture
[
CTar1
Posted Monday, August 11, 2014 at 7:35 pm | Permalink
frednk
MA17 fell out of the sky.
Ok, smart a#$e. Where did MA370 get to?
]
Fell off the edge of the earth, missed the moon, hit Kennedy and was swatted by god.
Pell’s earthly reward is a luxurious palazzo within the walls of the Vatican.
Pope Francis is refusing to release relevant documents to the RC.
What more does anyone need to know?
[Sydney jihadist Khaled Sharrouf’s son — a child, 7, raised in the suburbs of Sydney — struggles with both arms to hold up the decapitated head .]
Do those figures on support mean older people supporting Labor the reason Abbott talks about grown up government?
bemused
[They also released evidence, many years ago, of evidence confirming the existence of WMD in Iraq.
That stuff is hardly conclusive and I guess it is really impossible to really present the evidence conclusively in the media.
I await a proper investigation with all the evidence examined by appropriate experts.]
I agree with that but you said the US hadn’t put out an official statement which was incorrect.
Sorry stuffed that just delete the older people reference
B.w @ around about here / plunker / real blinky,
[CTaR1
I am leaning … ]
You’ve just made yourself a ‘special’ to be dobbed into Hockey’s social security fraud police.
There’s no way out of this. I’ve written down somewhere your name, number and address.
Eat stuff and die, leaner.
[The inter generational battlelines are drawn.]
And it’s a similar story for the Republicans in the US.
thorn rick@870
Any intelligent being will answer your questions NO & NO.
WWP
What’s the whole heap of stuff you speak of from the BBC?
@guytaur/874
No, the older people tend to believe in scams and cons than the younger generation.
Diogenes@875
Was it?
Unnamed spokesmen, assertions, rebutting claims…
[The official was one of three senior U.S. intelligence officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity during a briefing arranged for reporters in Washington to provide more detailed information on the assertions made by administration officials in recent days, as well as to rebut Russian claims.]
Does that sort of stuff really convince you?
#Morgan Poll 2PP (25-34 year olds): L/NP 33.5 ALP 66.5
#Morgan Poll 2PP (65+ year olds): L/NP 55.5 ALP 44.5
In the not to distant future the LNP will cease to exist as a political party. Well, here’s hoping.
frednk
[ and was swatted by god.]
All forgiven then.
MH-370 destined so all should be satisfied, nay happy, with that.
Even BB.
zoid
So Abbott is the grown up government then?
Scam and Con sounds like Abbott’s campaign to me.
🙂
Has anyone noted that Alex Douglas has quit the Palmer United Party?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-11/palmer-united-party-queensland-leader-alex-douglas-quits/5662862
300 innocent people lost their lives because poorly trained people had access to SAM’s and didn’t have the expertise to tell the difference between a military aircraft and a passenger airliner. It’s the logical answer rather than poorly constructed conspiracy theories.
[In the not to distant future the LNP will cease to exist as a political party. Well, here’s hoping.]
People have been positing that for a while. Meanwhile our population continues to age.
bemused
[Was it?
Unnamed spokesmen, assertions, rebutting claims…]
They were official spokesmen whose identity was protected. It was endorsed by the Obama Administration. That is an official statement.
The Obama Administration has gone on record as backing the briefing.
[Does that sort of stuff really convince you?]
I’m pretty convinced Ukrainian separatists shot down the plane.
I also doubt we’ll ever get a smoking gun as there will be a huge effort to avoid taking the blame for this one.
@guytuar/885
No, they just know how to con older people.
You know the type that you see on 60 minutes…
I must say I was quite impressed with what David Johnston said about the image.
[“One of the things that I must stress here is this is an extreme minority in Muslims in Australia and around the world. The vast majority of Muslims are peace-loving and peaceful people,” Senator Johnston said.
“This is a shocking misrepresentation of Islam. I am very upset about this sort of thing completely colouring our view of Muslims. I think anybody who knows and understands the Muslim community in Australia knows that they are by far a very peace-loving and respectful group of people with respect of Australian laws.]
[that Alex Douglas has quit]
Fair dinkum!
Who is he and does he drink with rebecca whats-her-name with some sort of claim to fame?
mikehilliard #883
People tend to get a bit selfish and tight as they get older…
My observation is that people below 30 are now engaged in politics in a way that has not been the case for some time .. perhaps you need to go back to 72.
Set against this is an older generation that would rather not concede the damage they have done.
[People have been positing that for a while.]
That’s where the hope bit comes in.
confessions
Those over 65 will change soon. The Lib supporters like Peter Costello are giving gratutious advice to dump major budget policies for a reason.
[
Work To Rule
Posted Monday, August 11, 2014 at 7:57 pm | Permalink
G0neHomer @G0neHomeR Aug 9
For the love of god will #newspoll just fudge the figures another bad poll for Abbott who knows who will be at war with next week #auspol
]
Not only do we get a day off; but he would get the round of the table from his wife. My wish, 56% to Labor and he invades New Zealand and he remains in the Netherlands to avoid his wife.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iv8bkYKbMo0
Douglas is looking for a utopia in politics that doesn’t exist where ethics and values rule over political expediency. He was always going to clash with PUP in the same way he clashed with the LNP. It’s not surprising that most ordinary folks are disconnected from politics generally.
“@zackster: #Newspoll Q1: did Tony perform amazingly, fantastically or brilliantly over #MH17? #auspol”