ReachTEL: 52-48 to LNP in Queensland

A ReachTEL state poll for Queensland finds a slight improvement for the Liberal National Party, although the gain comes at Palmer United’s expense rather than Labor’s.

The Sunday Mail reports a ReachTEL automated phone poll of “almost 1900” respondents gives Campbell Newman’s Liberal National Party government one of its better results of recent times, with the LNP’s 41.0% primary vote up from 38.7% at a similar poll a month ago, and equal to where it was another month before that. The gain comes at the expense of the Palmer United Party, which over the three monthly polls has gone from 13.6% to 15.4% to 12.6%. Labor has been all but unchanged across the three months, its latest result being 34.4%. The change on two-party preferred is accordingly rather slight, with the LNP lead up from 51-49 to 52-48. Further detail should be forthcoming on the minor party vote, Campbell Newman’s personal support and opinion of asset sales.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

8 comments on “ReachTEL: 52-48 to LNP in Queensland”

  1. Would prefer Palmer’s support to be a bit higher but still. It looks like sentiment in Queensland against the state government is very firmly entrenched. All that’s needed now is for the ALP to get their act together

  2. Strange that a News Ltd tabloid has used ReachTel for their Sunday poll, it would normally be Galaxy (they are now doing robo polls).

    Has Galaxy jumped ship to Fairfax?

  3. Qld Labor has won back it’s traditional support, but high PUP vote demonstrates that swinging voters still judge Labor on its last unhappy term. PUP voters more likely to drift back to LNP than to Labor.

  4. I see where Alex Douglas has now resigned as Palmer United Party leader and from the party. I think the move has to be a positive for Labor- PUP was soaking up alot of the protest vote in regional and rural Queensland. If PUP can fade the ALP will benefit from it been seen as the only credible alternative to the LNP. PUP may have been a thorn in the side for the LNP- but it wasn’t doing any favors to Labor either.

  5. ALP Townsville branch facebook page is reporting a Galaxy poll of the state electorates of Townsville, Thuringowa and Mundingburra, published in Townsville Bulletin.

    LNP 33
    ALP 29
    PUP 10
    KAP 7
    GRN 5
    OTH 6

    2PP ALP 53 LNP 47 (+10.2% since last election)

    61% think Newman is ignoring the needs of the people of Townsville, 22% dont.

    40% think LNP MP is doing a good job 42% dont.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *