The Australian has come good with Newspoll a day earlier than we have recently been accustomed, and it has Labor’s two-party lead at 54-46 after an above-trend 55-45 result a fortnight ago. The primary vote has the Coalition up a point to 36%, Labor steady on 37% and the Greens down two to 11%. Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten are both unchanged on approval at 31% and 34% respectively, but Abbott is down two points on disapproval to 60% while Shorten is up two to 43%. The poll also finds 53% want the carbon tax repealed, versus 35% who want it retained. Preferred prime minister ratings to follow shortly (UPDATE: Abbott narrows the gap from 44-34 to 41-36). Hat-tip: GhostWhoVotes.
Also worth noting that the Courier-Mail is unrolling Galaxy results from the Queensland state seats of Pumicestone, Gaven, Hervey Bay and Maroochydore, which I presume to be automated phone polls from samples of about 550. The only numbers available at this point are for Pumicestone, where the Liberal National Party is credited with at 52-48 lead in a seat it holds on a margin of 12.1%. Primary votes are 41% for the LNP, 37% for Labor and 13% for Palmer United. More to follow here presumably as well.
UPDATE (Galaxy Queensland electorate polls: Queensland poll results from the Courier-Mail here, showing the LNP leading 56-44 in Gaven, 54-46 in Hervey Bay and 58-42 in Maroochydore, for respective swings of 13.1%, 17.7% and 12.9%. Pumicestone was in Labor’s hands prior to the 2012 election, Gaven and Hervey Bay were gained by the LNP in 2009, and Maroochydore has consistently been conservative. The current member for Gaven is Alex Douglas, who since the last election has thrown his lot in with Palmer United. The poll result is not encouraging for him, showing Palmer United third placed in Gaven with 21% to 40% for the LNP and 29% for Labor.
UPDATE 2 (UMR Research electorate polls): Mark Kenny of the Sydney Morning Herald also relates results from robo-polling conducted for the National Tertiary Education Union by UMR Research, chiefly noted as Labor’s internal pollster, encompassing 23,176 respondents over 23 electorates. The overall picture of a double-digit swing to Labor is hard to credit, but it is nonetheless interesting to learn of a particularly heavy swing against Christopher Pyne in his Adelaide seat of Sturt, and that the best net approval ratings of the incumbents in the electorates polled were recorded by Darren Chester (Nationals, Gippsland), Alannah MacTiernan (Labor, Perth), Kate Ellis (Labor, Adelaide), Anna Burke (Labor, Chisholm) and Matt Thistlethwaite (Labor, Kingsford Smith). FURTHER UPDATE: The NTEU has published the full set of results here, and they show Labor ahead in every single electorate targeted, including such unlikely prospects as Dunkley and Gippsland.
UPDATE 3 (Morgan): This fortnight’s Morgan result, combining its last two weekends of face-to-face and SMS polling, has the Coalition losing further ground with a one point drop on the primary vote to 34% and a two point increase for Labor to 38.5%, while the Greens and Palmer United are respectively down and up half a point, to 11.5% and 7.5%. Using preference flows from the previous election, Labor’s lead is up from 54.5-45.5 to 56-44. However, the Coalition gains slightly on respondent-allocated two-party preferred, on which it now trails 56.5-43.5 rather than 57.5-42.5,
986 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”
given that the Libs’ favorite excuse was ‘but Labor did this’ I wouldn’t be so sure.
They’ll probably all say that they individually had no problem with the Rudd/Gillard leadership change, but it was an issue Abbott was personally obsessed about…
“On voting intention, the Coalition’s woes continue: the government has lost a point (38%) while Labor is steady on 40% and the Greens on 9%; the Palmer United Party is on 6%. The two-party preferred result remains 53%-47% in Labor’s favour.”
The reporter on ABC radio seemed to think an appeal was likely.
Hadley had to rush out to buy himself some more nappies before the shops closed.
From the Guardian Comments.
15 July 2014 1:50am
Planet Earth is warming
Getting hotter by the day
We have a plan to slow it down
But dumb dumb’s in the way
To do nothing is so careless
In fact it’s fucking stupid
But then so is our PM
and that other tosser Rupert..
The science is now in
and the evidence is there
Our planet is in trouble
But the right just do not care
Their front bench is a farce
What a joke is that Greg Hunt
Minister for the environment
No he’s just a r……unt
And Hockey what a fool
Says turbines are a blight
Grab a fucking mirror
Now there’s a horrid sight
Our education minister
What a total clown
He is the next Pyne
We should be cutting down
What about that Bishop
Talk about Darth Sinister
Every time a word comes out
She upsets some country’s minister.
Not one ounce of talent
Anywhere on their front bench
Just the odour of inaction
What an awful stench
They sold out to big business
To mining ,Oil and their mates
As the planet pays the price
For the fine food on their plates
I hope they’re fucking happy
With the scrapping of the tax
Our children are the losers
As their future gets the axe
To see the coalition jumping
Up and down upon the floor
Once Clive opened the door
I could not help but feel
As I watched upon this farce
Just how much these cretins were paid
To sell their collective arse
After all their own little Johnny
Wanted an ETS of his own
That’s right you right wing hypocrites
When he was on the throne
Even that dickhead Tony
Was on board to legislate it
So ask yourselves what caused him
To backflip and suddenly hate it
My guess is they were threatened
They’d lose all their donations
So much more important
Than to fight for earth’s salvation.
Fuck you Abbott !!
My how times have changed. Now its Labor doing boats.
About time they changed the agenda. Good to see.
Zoomster, you’re right, it’s dangerous to pre-judge how low the libs will sink.
@ellinghausen: Leader of the House Christopher Pyne delivers a signal after his discussion with PUP leader Clive Palmer http://t.co/DuUItXCHFc
Does anyone truly believe that Hockey really means what he says that ASIC failed to so it’s job over the CBA scandal? Behind closed doors he’s gotta be saying “a job well done. Melissa was impressed.”
Here is the bellower
In my view, the liberals are “What they say and do are entirely different”.
“@farrm51: Gov keeps kicking carbon tax in Reps but not yet confident enough yo introduce its repeal in Senate.”
@davrosz: #Senate Peter Whish-Wilson tables letter showing the Libs gave an undertaking to the Bankers Association about amending FOFA before 1 July.
Not to worry, Duddon now scintillating everyone.
Thanks for the link… an interesting assemblage.
I thought the euro/indigenous fusions interesting in the Archie Roach portrait but the flag is awkwardly structured into the painting. Also… it is not the Archie Roach I know which is a bit disconcerting.
I thought the Goodes portrait was psychologically insightful.
There is a lot of reworking, re-using and backwards looking stuff. It is as if portraitists cannot in general see new ways forward for their art.
The exception appears to be indigenous artists and chinese artists. The importance of chinese artists and art as an influence on painting in Australia appears to be growing and may be a distant reflection both of the significance of chienese immigration but also of the looming significance of the chinese century.
Some of the chinese work is traditional ink, some of it is derived from painting chinese opera sets and some of it is fusion. It makes for interesting outcomes, IMHO.
Josh Taylor @joshgnosis 1m
Stop the boots #qt
PW-W also asked Cormann if he’s done a deal with PUP today. I wonder if the disallowance will be scuttled at the last minute.
😆 The Environment minister for Lilliput complaining about getting no questions about the dugong protection plan.
I’m wondering how Baden Clay explains how his mobile phone was used while he claimed to be asleep at night.
And I am yet to come across a shaver which leave three parallel scratch marks.
This was my favourite.
What an awesome line up of speakers from the LNP Dutton then Hunt then Truzzzzz.
One thing I can guarantee you is that newspaper reports usually contain about 1% of the evidence at a trial, misreported. That said: if those were shaving cuts, you can cut off my legs and call me shorty. I’ve slashed myself many ways (I never use a mirror) but never like that.
Where’s the Monkey?
According to the Senate Agenda, the repeal bill should have been introduced over an hour and a half ago ….
So what number was called or called him? What was the call about?
Yep, no such shaver. I think it is almost certain he was scratched by someone and most likely his wife.
So they may have had an argument that got a bit physical at some stage. That is not proof of murder, but it proves he was lying about how he got those scratches.
But but but….
[Carbon tax repeal not set in stone
THE Abbott government has yet to secure the Senate votes it needs to get its carbon tax repeal legislation through parliament.
THE government had flagged it would fast-track a package of repeal bills through the upper house on Tuesday.
But in a surprise move, it ditched them from the chamber’s program because it can’t get the cross bench to agree on a timetable to debate the bills.]
Truss really is piss weak at arguing a point.
Was there any evidence as to the location of the mobile phone at relevant times?
Remember the Jill Meagher case, the cops tracked the locations of both her phone and her murder’s and traced their route to the general area where she was buried.
This gov spending out of control:
[Where’s the Monkey?]
At a funeral, but not his own.
I’ve heard the words “carbon tax” more than 15 times in the last 10 minuted that I’ve tuned in to QT?
Fuack – what a YAWN!
Are you trying to make a case for Baden-Clay?
He was no doubt supremely confident. Probably advised by the lawyer he consulted the day his wife was reported missing. And then by the artist he saw the day her body was found.
If he had offered a defence along the lines of “we had a row, she attacked me, I strangled her accidentally,panicked and dumped the body” he might, just might, have argued down to manslaughter.
He chose to deny everything and offered his wife’s mental illness as reason for her disappearance.
Barnyard proving once again how stupid he is.
Listening to Question Time, you’d think there was going to be a federal election soon…
… then by the barrister he saw,…
Artist? Read twice before you send from a ipad!
This is pathetic.
The Coalitions answers to questions are an insult to the lowest level of Australian intelligence.
Watch QT to get more stupid!
Not bad but the planes of some of the strokes appear to be a bit contradictory in places – as if parts of his head goes backwards and forwards in space…
It might be deliberate, but…
Will someone shut the Big Dope up?
Yep , pretty dumb claiming a specific company’s dairy products went up due to the “carbon tax” . Sets them up for a bad look when they don’t come down.
Yes, Joe, I do want to leave my kids a better life — that’s why I want real action on climate change.
As theatre it is the LNP run QT Kindy to Labor’s Shakespeare
I have just bailed out of watching QT from both houses. It is a mockery of democracy assisted by Bishop and Parry.
Mr losing his seat on his feet
oooh full of hypocrites 😯
Here we go, worlds biggest carbon tax!
That takes it on to 16 times in 15 min.
Not at all, I am just interested to see all the loose ends tidied up.
And I do know that Zoloft does have some very nasty side-effects including making patients suicidal. She did appear to have a significant level of it in her blood.
[Patients who take selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) such as Prozac (fluoxetine), Paxil (paroxetine) or Zoloft (sertraline) may experience side effects such as violent behavior, mania or aggression, which can all lead to suicide.
What begins as withdrawing from friends and activities and a loss of interest in work can escalate to harming oneself. In clinical trials and public use, there have been cases where antidepressant users have thought about, attempted or committed suicide
There was a case a few years ago where an old bloke murdered his wife while suffering from Zoloft side-effects and I think was acquitted on that basis.
“@RobOakeshott1: So Chris Pyne just confirms school halls improve student outcomes. I am starting to think black is white……”
I was wondering where an artist fitted in… 😀
Taking Joyce at his word, I went down to the butcher, purchased a leg of lamb and then asked him for my change.
‘What change?’ he ejaculated, ‘You have not even paid me yet.’
‘Why, the difference between the price of this leg of lamb now and the previous carbon tax price,’ I replied. ‘I calculate that under the new Abbott carbon tax freedom you now owe me a leg of lamb plus change.’
zoidlord @ 929
I sincerely hope the lounge was made by an Australian artisan using local materials !