Friday 5pm. The Liberal lead is now at 878, so unless there’s some late count surprise I’m going to stop following this one.
Thursday evening. As in a number of counts today, the tide has gone out on Labor with 5358 postals boosting Nick Varvaris’s lead from 27 to 789. Still to come are about 4000 absent votes, which behaved similarly to ordinary votes in 2010; 3500 pre-polls, which favoured Labor enough in 2010 to suggest they should recover between 200 and 250 votes; and a little over 500 postals together with 300 provisionals, which are a mixed bag.
Wednesday 4pm. Slow going here, with just 570 absent votes so far added to the ordinary vote count. However, they have had a highly significant effect in breaking 242-136 to the Liberal candidate, which has put him into a 27-vote lead.
Election night. The ABC computer has a 6.8% Liberal swing against a 6.9% margin, and the two-party count of 33349 for Labor’s Steve McMahon to 33251 for Liberal candidate Nickolas Varvaris aligns with this precisely. All primary and pre-poll voting centre results are in.