A ReachTEL automated phone poll has the Coalition’s lead at 53-47 up from 52-48 last week, from primary votes of 36.9% for Labor (down 0.6%), 46.9% for the Coalition (up 1.2%) and 8.9 for the Greens (down 0.7%). On the all-inclusive preferred prime minister rating, Tony Abbott leads Kevin Rudd 53-47, up from 50.9-49.1 in the poll conducted on Sunday immediately after the election was called.
UPDATE: And now another Galaxy poll, this time national, and slightly better for Labor than other recent results. The Labor primary vote is at 38%, down two on the last national Galaxy result of a fortnight ago, with the Coalition and the Greens each up one to 45% and 10%. On two-party preferred the Coalition leads 51-49, compared with 50-50 last time. Kevin Rudd maintains a handy 47-34 lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister, although it’s down from 51-34. There are also questions on the respective leaders’ greatest weaknesses which you can see here. The poll was conducted from Wednesday to Friday from a sample of 1002.
Half-watching, Ducky. I don’t know what happened there. I thought the umpire initially gave it not out (then expletive, from Broad maybe), then the DRS also said not out and then they were all walking off.
Sean Tisme@1592
Why are abbott and hockey too gutless to submit their budget costings to treasury ?
Opt in polls are pointless.
You get better data by going walking and asking folks what they think.
Was Cricket more exciting than the debate?
The 64,000 dollar question;
will the ALP use Abbott’s own words against him in this campaign?
Abbott said in an interview with Kerry Obrien that you can’t believe everything he says unless it’s carefully scripted, written down and signed by him.
This is campaign gold.
Will the ALP use it?
Will they?
Bruce?
Go on….
Use it….
You want to win?Right?
Better do something soon………..tick tick tick tick tick
[ Anything Crabbe says should be taken with more salt than she uses in her cooking. Vacuity personified. ]
I find it a bit offensive that you would liken Crabbe to a vacuum.
Vacuums have many uses: Thermos flasks, light bulbs, vacuum tubes, vacuum cleaners … the list goes on!
Crabbe, on the other hand …
What a thoroughly third rate effort of Channel 7 in having a self selecting audience obviously manipulated by certain outside forces.
Kindergarten journalism.
At least Ch 9 made some sort of attept to poll a panel of engaded swinging voters.
Power Games: the Murdoch-Packer story is coming soon to Ch9.
I wonder how it will go ratings-wise. I wouldn’t have thought it the kind of show your average Ch9 viewer would watch.
News2This reads dead girls phones …
BK:
Yes, just a total waste of time really.
Oh, I misread DRS. I was looking at the original decision.
Player One@1606
Just not fit for purpose a WOFTAM!
BK:
Even Simon Benson was scoring well on the Ch7 worm!
Dar gave an out, not appealed, was not out.
Hill gave a not out, appealed, was out.
Irrelevant ML.
Australia and England should just agree to use 1 English and 1 Australian umpire.
We have the best umpires anyway.
Interesting that when Abbott used his slogans of Scrap the Carbon Tax, Stop the Boats, Pink Batts and School halls the Ch9 worm dipped down sharply.
Conversely, the worm loved Rudd’s statement on Climate Change and maxed out positively on his closing speil.
This tells me that people are thoroughly sick of the negative slogans from Abbott, which was picked up in the early framing by PMKR. I would think more reminding people of pointless slogans.
So are we expecting a newspoll tonight?
all going well. rudd is steady after rough week of murdoch. steady on helm of tight ship. abbott is an ignorant thug who barely contained himself and rudd gave him no quarter. rudd will grow confidence more
Hudson!!!
Told you once
BK
The concept of “swinging voters” is also largely a con. Their numbers become less and less as the election draws near, currently at most they’d be 10% of the electorate, so there’s self-selection there as well since the wormers aren’t gonna be all from that group. But Psephos’ comment sums it up:
[No floating voters were harmed, or even woken up, during the filming of this debate.]
Is there a transcript of the debate anywhere ?
Some good ankle taps there.
news2
abbott is and always been a self promoting drama queen. he would not get b role in local amateur performing society. his imitations of churchill (remember military boats – what happened to that little moment of glory) are as convincing as as a back of beyond G and S closing night
Of course, it goes without saying that none of you who are criticising Annabel Crabb are one twentieth as intelligent or accomplished as she is.
dave,
Currently being adjusted by News.
Henry@1618
H – apparently.
it is clear abbott has no idea of or belief in anything he says. he is g w bush reborn down under. he is as bush increasingly a tool for very powerful backroom interests, and stupid and egoistical enough to enjoy the ride
Sean
Have you taken the RWA test?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right-wing_authoritarianism#Assessment
william
you really should be above the fray or pursuing doctoral research
William Bowe@1624
Gosh, so sorry William!
Did we hit a nerve there?
William Bowe@1624
examples of her work supporting such a statement?
Just voicing an opinion, Player One, as is my right.
William Bowe@1632
As were the rest of us, William.
Ghost did say within 30 hours so Newspoll could be tomorrow evening.
Intelligent and accomplished Annabel may be. Pity that she covers it with flummery.
[Of course, it goes without saying that none of you who are criticising Annabel Crabb are one twentieth as intelligent or accomplished as she is.
by William Bowe on Aug 11, 2013 at 9:30 pm]
This is one of those Tolkienesque statements that could be taken as a compliment or and insult, or neutral, depending on what side of the bed you got out of this morning! :devil:
I made a mistake.
I had Foxtel on and saw the debate on Sky News.
With the only exception of Richo, they all thought it was a draw or an Abbott victory.
But back to my mistake in watching Sky. We were told that all the commercial networks thought the debate was EASILY won by Abbott.
How did the commercial networks and their worms score it?
[ Of course, it goes without saying that none of you who are criticising Annabel Crabb are one twentieth as intelligent or accomplished as she is. ]
giggle
In the debate, Tony Abbott said there was 2 Somalis on a boat from PNG.
He would turn them back (if safe to do so)
Geoffrey
[rudd will grow confidence more]
Betfair steady now at $1.18/$6.00 and that’s real money changing hands between real people at those odds since all bets are matched. An amazing barometer which ML introduced me too tonight (tks)and at least it will shut MB up on the fakeness of betting markets. The bookies are a little more cautious with Labor’s odds – $5 or $5.50 but they need a greater margin than betfair where the “buy/sell” differential is minimal, obviously just a small management fee of 1%-2%. It is an almost pure market. Happily it shows that Rudd is a Dudd, still!
[Australia and England should just agree to use 1 English and 1 Australian umpire.
We have the best umpires anyway.]
The trouble is the ICC wants a consistent rule for all countries. It is very hard to get reliable experienced umpires from some countries e.g. sub continent. They need a supply of neutrals, other wise test series like India Pakistan are very difficult to put on.
ShowsOn
[We have the best umpires anyway.]
I’m not sure about the present, but before neutral umpires ours were dreadful. Almost every home series was marred by awful decisions against the visiting team. I was embarrassed on behalf of the country and was all for neutral umpires so it would not happen any more. At that time English umpires were by far the best.
Interesting. Different stanadards between Rudd and Abbott.
Everyone knows Abbott is a hopeless debater and knows very little about any policy subject, even his own. So gets points for just turning up, bonus points for not doing something totally stupid, and points for not embarrassing himself more than expected.
Rudd on the other hand gets a lower rating if he doesn’t excel, set the world on fire and wipe the floor with Abbott in each sentence. And is consider as being unfair for turning up against Abbott.
Likewise in the media – two different standards. Abbott gets brownie points if he can point three words together to make a slogan. None expect him to know anything about his ‘own’ policies and especially not those of Labor.
Rudd is expected to wow every time in front of the camera.
Abbott is a C-grader trying to play in League and survives by being protected by the Referees and commentators in the stands.
Evening bludgers. I’ve only been lurking since Ruddstoration. Partly out of disappointment, mainly because I had nothing to say that hadn’t been said.
However I will say that there are a lot of us sitting around waiting for some moment (like Mr Burns an the three-eyed fish) where there is a killer blow. Campaigns don’t work that way. I can’t imagine many people watching the debate tonight are likely to change their minds. It’s a long slog. The polls are close, and will probably stay that way. It’s too early for anyone to feel confident or despondent.
Anyway, I was quoted on test match special last night. In my book, that beats Hansard.
Centre
[61-39 to Rudd (Ten), 59-41 to Rudd (Nine), 68-32 to Abbott (Seven), 71-29 to Rudd (ABC)]
“I don’t know half of you half as well as I should like; and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve.”
― J.R.R. Tolkien
Abbott didn’t do his election prospects any harm so from that perspective it was a positive for Abbott. Overall it was a non-event without any real moments of WOWness.
[Of course, it goes without saying that none of you who are criticising Annabel Crabb are one twentieth as intelligent or accomplished as she is.]
Intelligence can be used, or misused, William
Mod Lib@1646
If you start resurrecting “The Fellowship” (or whatever it was called). then I for one am out of here!
[ sitting around waiting for some moment (like Mr Burns an the three-eyed fish) where there is a killer blow. ]
dodgy handshakes are much less punchier and decisive than they used to be