A ReachTEL automated phone poll has the Coalition’s lead at 53-47 up from 52-48 last week, from primary votes of 36.9% for Labor (down 0.6%), 46.9% for the Coalition (up 1.2%) and 8.9 for the Greens (down 0.7%). On the all-inclusive preferred prime minister rating, Tony Abbott leads Kevin Rudd 53-47, up from 50.9-49.1 in the poll conducted on Sunday immediately after the election was called.
UPDATE: And now another Galaxy poll, this time national, and slightly better for Labor than other recent results. The Labor primary vote is at 38%, down two on the last national Galaxy result of a fortnight ago, with the Coalition and the Greens each up one to 45% and 10%. On two-party preferred the Coalition leads 51-49, compared with 50-50 last time. Kevin Rudd maintains a handy 47-34 lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister, although it’s down from 51-34. There are also questions on the respective leaders’ greatest weaknesses which you can see here. The poll was conducted from Wednesday to Friday from a sample of 1002.
[Sprocket: Howard lost a multitude of debates and still got re-elected. You are clutching your straws. Get over it and accept that it’s OVER!]
True. In the end most Australians do not want intelligent PMs. They want a competent one who they imagine has the same prejudices as themselves.
here is a better one of Mr Aggression…
https://twitter.com/stevethompson49/status/366510334141423616/photo/1
Annabel should take a few lessons from Audrey’s Kitchen and Posh Nosh.
Abbott looked like a leader. Rudd looked like a reader.
Seven worm was an opt-in worm; now that explains the discrepancy! Did think Nine worm was just a tad Rudd-friendly; the Sydney thing was a gaffe or at least very risky in my view.
Generally I thought Rudd was much smoother and more confident and better at sounding like he knew what he was talking about.
[Peter Brent @mumbletwits 1h
For some reason Rudd & co think GST important.]
Everyone go walking somewhere, find some folk, ask them who won the debate.
We will then add up the figures.
[New2This
Posted Sunday, August 11, 2013 at 8:51 pm | PERMALINK
Abbott looked like a leader. Rudd looked like a reader.]
that is Andrew Robb’s line – is it you moonlighting?
I think the first thing Rudd should do if he has any chance. Sack Bruce Hawker.
[Everyone go walking somewhere, find some folk, ask them who won the debate.
We will then add up the figures.]
You’re not seriously trying to get us to consider anecdotal evidence, are you?
Broad wants a new shoe. Bring on the farrier!
[that is Andrew Robb’s line – is it you moonlighting?]
No, like all hacks, he just copies and pastes lines fed to him.
A relay throw only works if the ball doesn’t finish up halfway down the pitch.
gui;g;iuguogo
Question is… How would Julia have performed tonight?
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/aug/08/history-debate-worm-australia
In any event, “wormology” has a patchy record as a barometer of electoral success. The worm liked John Howard in 1996 and Rudd in 2007, but it also gave the 2004 debate to Mark Latham and the 1998 debate to Kim Beazley – and they both lost. In 2010 it gave Gillard a decisive win in her debate against Abbott, but the actual election result was not nearly so clearcut.
So the story of the debate is how 7 managed to find a worm that gave it to Abbott when the other 3 gave it convincingly to Rudd.
And of course the OM will go with the 7 verdict
9 fer
So just to recap;
I had a feeling this is how it would pan out.
Abbott wins.
Abbott will be Prime minister of Australia.
Let it sink in folks.
It is gobsmackingly fucking incomprehensible on just about every level; but it’s gonna happen.
Amazing.
I feel really pissed now about the false dawn of the past few weeks.
I think I’d rather we lost huge under Gillard and died on our feet now. Latham might have been right.
Lets get it over with…….have the election tomorrow.
Well done 7, a self-selecting worm. very scientific
[Abbott looked like a leader. Rudd looked like a reader.]
You sound like a follower? But then, every authoritarian leader needs lots of authoritarian followers. “I know my sheep, and my sheep vote for me.”
Where’s Ashton Agar when you need him.
Or you could be a wolf in sheep clothing…
The seven worm being self selected explains a lot.
It was not just that it was pro Abbott. It reflexively went down every time Rudd spoke, regardless of topic. Whereas the 9 and 10 ones were much more gradual.
Fleetwood Mac had a legendary reputation for cocaine usage in the 70s. How they all survived is amazing. They used to have a cocaine room just off stage during their concerts so they could have a toot between songs.
And Aleem Dar makes another mistake.
@Rosemour or Less/1569
As per my posts the worm isn’t always correct.
@Socrates/1574
It was Channel 9 during the 2007 Election:
http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2007/s2066828.htm
This time it’s Channel 7.
zoidlord@1566
Yep – and this applies to verdicts of who won the debate generally. Debates do not usually have much impact on the outcome unless someone does something very stupid, or unless they help the LOTO to establish themselves.
Relax Rosemour, Kev won the debate, there is time yet and the gap is narrow.
[Or you could be a wolf in sheep clothing…]
I’m not the one barracking for Abbott.
For your self-enlightenment:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right-wing_authoritarianism
Zoidlord
Thanks. I was flicking between the coverages each question, and the difference was noticeable to me.
Just read Mumble. Thank you 🙂
Abbott is winning in the polls.
Abbott is winning in the betting market.
Abbott won tonights debate.
Say hello to Prime Minister Abbott
No floating voters were harmed, or even woken up, during the filming of this debate.
The Guardian had Abbott pretty well pegged in soundbite bingo!
Link for Abbott bingo
http://www.theguardian.com/world/interactive/2013/jun/28/tony-abbott-soundbite-bingo-election
Spot on Psephos, X factor and australia’s got talent far more important to the swingers
“12. The Leaders may have a pen and paper on the lecturn (sic) and no other documentation or props.”
Sean, I know you are trying to sound cocky and confident. Your side wants to call it now, 4 weeks out. What is it that you are scared of? Your guy stuffing up? The numbers not adding up?
I have never seen such triumphialism at 51-49 with a month to go. It betrays a nervousness.
I think I heard an expletive there from Durham after the umpire’s decision.
Andrew,
Nobody is going to put up with Labors shit for 3 more years.
It’s logic really.
sprocket_@1552
If only there was a wall he could punch.
How about an animated ad with Abbott as a robot, pressing buttons for boats, batts, bad govmnet etc
we want this clown as PM??
But no expletive about the previous decision?
Socrates Libs were tweeting supporters to opt in fir worm. Seems many did whereas Ch9 chose 100 swinging voters for audience and worm
the Age poll online has Abbott winning the debate by 10 points.
All out in Durham, but 1-48 in Wormsley. Lanning 27 n.o.
[Socrates Libs were tweeting supporters to opt in fir worm. Seems many did whereas Ch9 chose 100 swinging voters for audience and worm]
I notice when the left are losing.. invent a conspiracy theory.
Triton
I thought Tony Hill was a reasonable umpire. It looks like he just guessing now.
They will have to find a replacement come the summer here.