Essential Research suggests Labor’s recent slump may not have bottomed out yet, with their primary vote down two to 32% and the Coalition steady on 49%. With the Greens up a point to 10%, two-party preferred nonetheless remains steady on 56-44. Further questions relate mostly to the Greens, whose performance in the federal parliament is rated good by 17% and poor by 47%; whose politics are related too extreme by 52% and representative of the views of many by 24%; and whose leader Christine Milne is approved of by 22% (up two since November) and disapproved of by 29% (down four), with 48% (up one) still not knowing. The end of the formal agreement between Labor and the Greens is rated good for the Greens by 33% and bad for them by 26%, while the respective numbers for Labor are 26% and 40%. The poll also gauges firmness of vote, which I tend not to find too illuminating, and has 29% believing the mining tax should be amended to raise more money and 21% believing it should be maintained as is, with only 28% favouring its abolition.
We’ve also had ReachTEL striking while the iron is hot on behalf of the Fairfax papers in western Sydney, with automated phone polls of between 617 and 662 respondents conducted on Thursday in four of the area’s traditionally strong Labor seats. It finds the Liberals with a crushing 63-37 lead in Laurie Ferguson’s seat of Werriwa, a 62-38 lead in Chris Bowen’s seat of McMahon, a 54-46 lead in Ed Husic’s seat of Chifley, and a 54-46 lead in Jason Clare’s seat of Blaxland. The respective Labor margins in the four seats are 6.8%, 7.8%, 12.3% and 12.2%. Further questions on how respondents would vote if Kevin Rudd were leader get the usual response. Less usual is the strength of Tony Abbott’s personal ratings, which are net positive in two of the four seats, and the very weak results for the Greens, who score between 2.6% and 3.6% compared with 8.1% and 8.4% at the election.
ReachTEL has also conducted a poll of 693 respondents in Wayne Swan’s seat of Lilley for Andrew Bolt’s Channel Ten program The Bolt Report. This has Swan trailing his LNP opponent 54-46, almost perfectly replicating the result of another poll ReachTEL conducted for United Voice in January. As usual, it finds things would turn around if Kevin Rudd was Labor leader.
Sorry was a grab so if you were not quick you missed it. Means Ted will be on repeat cycle though.
BB
‘…don’t assume…’
Prime Minister Abbott – assumption buster. By the time he infests the Lodge no-one, let alone himself, will have the slightest clue as to what he will do as prime minister.
http://www.news.com.au/national-news/nsw-act/tony-abbotts-message-clean-up-your-acts-or-do-without-dole/story-fndo4bst-1226589493861
Just put this on Twitter and linked it up to the “poor single mum” doing it so tough? He He Just asked if she has heard of this? 😉
Zoid
I agree with you about the NBN. In fact I think the NBN might finally get the concept of working from home working properly.
This means the commute to work will be reduced dramatically per worker. This is because I assume there is still going to be a need for some face time despite video conferencing
another cyclone for Nth Quuensland
not confirmed yet…but ominous !
why does anyone live there in view of the effects of climate change?
are these wet wet summers “the new normal”
I guess we Mexicans must brace ourselves for refugees from the north !
awful thought though !
@abcnews: Unofficial measure of inflation shows price pressures are being contained http://t.co/QbiGuwfOez
Labor keeping Cost of living pressure down.
Been out most of the day, how is Tony Abbott’s PM stalking going? I assume it’s in sync with #Newscorp, #Slynews and #TheirABC requirements
So when a 29 year old gets kicked off the dole and has no means of support, what does Abbott expect him to do?
Could it be some areas have trouble getting low paid staff because they cannot afford to live there?
ruawake
See that Four Corners report on the US to see what Abbott expects.
[This is because I assume there is still going to be a need for some face time despite video conferencing]
Yep difficult to dig a hole by intertubes.
The NRA has demanded that shopping centres provide shoppers with weapons, weapons harnesses, and ammunition with every shopping trolley and shopping bag. This would enable shoppers to defend themselves during general shoot-outs involving armed robberies.
‘Shoppers would pay a small deposit, pick up their weapons and ammo, and then have it reimbursed when they finish shopping and return the items,’ explained the NRA.
‘Any ammo expended during the shopping experience would be re-imbursed provided it was expended during an armed robbery. Ammo used during consumer complaints events, or car park dispute events, would be at the shopper’s own cost,’ explained the NRA spokesperson.
http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/national/reports-of-shots-fired-in-sydney-street/story-e6frfku9-1226589733026
[Diogenes
Posted Monday, March 4, 2013 at 2:31 pm | PERMALINK
A Labor Minister has dinner every night with the Editor of News Ltd.]
Nasty NEWS Ltd will do anything to bring down this government, even wedding off there own Editors to Labor ministers for inside information.
Boerwar
Is that one of your spoofs?
Not going to happen with Greens. They have no GST. They have Environment as core and as long as stick by that even if they go right on economics they stay true to core.
Unfortunately when Brown was pictured sitting with Joyce and Fielding to vote down the CPRS, the Greens caused damage to the public’s opinion about the urgency to do combat Global Warming. Whatever one says about the CPRS, it was a step forward. By Brown and the Greens, the party of the Environment, voting down the CPRS in the Senate, the urgency to do something immediately was diminished in the public’s eyes.
1 for 380.
I know the Aussies are bad, but the Indians are good.
zoidlord
I understand that but I am sure on radio this morning that the Feds have offered a billion for is it the M4?
The current Indian partnership is 361. The all-wicket record v Australia (against India) is IIRC, 382.
Doherty has the fifth worst figures for an Australian test bowler and is closing on Waites.
Pujara is equal fastes to 1000 runs for India (in terms of matches) and second fastest (in terms of innings),
Not a pretty scorecard, unless you’re an Indian supporter, and maybe not even then if you also like competitive cricket.
Nasty NEWS Ltd will do anything to bring down this government, even wedding off there own Editors to Labor ministers for inside information.
rummel,
Rubbish. It is Labor sacrificing one of its own in its plan to takeover News Ltd.
Scarpat
You have the ALP blinders on. Like it or not the Greens were clear why they acted as they did. Proven by the fact it was not a “Meg Lees Moment”
canasta76 – have bookmrked the page. My mistake was in looking at Ch10 and not news.com.au which now produces the program.
http://www.news.com.au/meet-the-press
“@hdrebner: How long can @abcnews maintain the ads for Fairfax disguised as news @abcmarkscott ?”
Fact vs. Fiction: Media Continues To Mislead On Economy’s Health – http://www.mediaite.com/online/fact-vs-fiction-media-continues-to-mislead-on-economys-health-gop-compromise/ … – Of course, it’s mandatory here
ruawake
[Yep difficult to dig a hole by intertubes.]
Oh yes you can.Automation in the Pilbara i becoming quite the go. The bright side of the technology means there should be less CUB’s ,
[BHP unveils robot trucks
BHP has in recent months set up a 340-strong team in a remote operating centre at its Perth head office, where Mr Randolph said efficiencies equivalent to 500,000 tonnes of a year had already been gained.
Rio has about 450 people working at its remote operations centre at Perth airport and a fleet of 10 driverless trucks at its Junction South East mine in the Pilbara]
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/bhp-unveils-robot-trucks/story-e6frg9df-1226507887714
lizzie
‘Is that one of your spoofs?’
The one about Abbott wondering which of his multiple policies on any topic actually applies once he is prime minister?
I think it is a fairly reasonable summary of his multiple policy disorder, of the shambles in the Abbott, Robb and Hockey economic ‘team’, and of the chaos that arises from spending $30 billion to build 100 dams.
And I thought this was another joke. But it’s not 😛
[SUPPORT is growing among senior Liberals for former prime minister John Howard to become Australia’s next governor-general in the likely event that the Coalition wins this year’s federal election.
“He would make an excellent governor-general. It’s his if he wants it,” one Liberal powerbroker told The Australian yesterday. “But the big question is: does he want it?”]
[Rubbish. It is Labor sacrificing one of its own in its plan to takeover News Ltd.]
Scarpat
A very big sacrifice indeed.
Boerwar
No, the one about ammunition in shopping centres. Thought it must be a joke.
Can someone please explain to me why preferences at the last election are more reliable than respondent-allocated preferences when polling? Wouldn’t respondent-allocated primaries by just as unreliable then?
@MTBW/66
Julia Gillard @JuliaGillard
Federal funding for Western Sydney Motorway. http://ow.ly/ihXlj TeamJG
@Simon_Cullen: Bradbury: “There are 100s of 1000s of pensioners… playing…the pokies that need to know that a change of Govt means a cut to the pension
Well that is being reported
If they confirm Howard as our next G-G then they may get my vote back. 🙂
mr bonham have you read mr ellis re the
reach tell polls and others
good ead
Whoa! a wicket in the test … Vijay is out — and of all people, it’s Maxwell — who now has 1/78 at 6 suns per over …
India … 2/387 … The collapse is on! 😉
So a vote for Abbott is a vote for Howard. Sounds like a vote winner 🙂
[I understand that but I am sure on radio this morning that the Feds have offered a billion for is it the M4?]
No quite correct, the Prime Minister has offered some funding to the NSW WestConnex plan if they modify it to make it actually work.
Abbott is funding a road with no connecting infrastructure and BoF is playing a cruel hoax.
You have the ALP blinders on. Like it or not the Greens were clear why they acted as they did. Proven by the fact it was not a “Meg Lees Moment”
guytaur,
As I am not a member of the ALP, I did not receive the aforesaid blinkers (as an aside, I am still awaiting John Howard’s fridge magnet…). If you look at the polls taken at the time regarding GW, there was a drop in the public’s concern regarding GW. It was not a Meg Lee’s moment in that it will lead to the demise of the Greens but it may have a longer term insidious effect in delaying seriously combatting GW.
Oops … 6 runs per over … 6 suns? Gosh that would be great for solar power enthusiasts … 😉
When the Chinese finished the Beijing to Istanbul high speed rail in 2018. They offer to build the Epping-Parramatta rail link in 2 weeks
@davidwh/81
Vote for Abbott is a Vote with the past with Howard.
BH
Glad you found it see what you think of the interview and if it is worthwhile you may like to pass it on to PB and maybe Facebook and Twitter if you are able to
[Can someone please explain to me why preferences at the last election are more reliable than respondent-allocated preferences when polling?]
Because asking someone how they will allocate their preference requires them to think about it, which a large number of voters – those who follow the how-to-vote card, for instance – don’t do.
Scarpat
That is not something you can point to the Greens for blame. That is something all three parties can take some measure of blame for.
“@abcnews: A Federal Court Judge has rejected a legal challenge to the #NT Government’s container deposit scheme. More to follow”
Fran I think what you meant is the current wicket taking rate is one sun per wicket. The only bright spot is the test only goes for five suns so at some point India will declare and stop the torture.
I absolutely do not agree with a politician becoming the GG. Don’t care what stripe he/she is. Wish I could “NOT vote for Abbott” twice if Howard/Abbott is the result.
Scarpat:
[Whatever one says about the CPRS, it was a step forward.]
No, it wasn’t. It was a step backwards that would have tainted those favouring mitigation for perhaps a generation — certainly for a decade since it would probably have taken that long to unpick and disentangle. In some respects, we see a similar problem with MRRT.
That is not something you can point to the Greens for blame.
guytaur,
It claims that it is party of the Environment – I don’t think that Bob Brown will list it amongst his finest moments when he comes to write his autobiography…
@guytaur/93
The start of private companies removing their responsibilities.
Just watching the Bolt Report, he is going on about Gillards promises last time she was in Rooty Hill three years ago;
Conciseness on Climate change – Fail
Surplus in 2013 – Fail
New railway link for Rooty hill – has not happened.
MRRT will provide company tax cut – fail
Now all this happened during the last election campaign and remarkably today looks and smells like campaigning as well.
In all the focus on download speed, the F.U.D spreaders invariably ignore symmetrical uploads and zero contention/congestion.
Likewise, Labor needs to emphasize that the Coalition’s ‘wreck the NBN’ approach is no less than outright war on education services, health services and regional business.
Turnbull has the miserable job of shilling alternatives which are anti-business.