Chisholm covers a band of suburbs in Melbourne’s electorally sensitive east, from Box Hill and Mont Albert in the north through Burwood and Mount Waverley in the centre to Chadstone, Oakleigh and Clayton in the south. Labor is strongest in the far south, with most of the remainder being naturally marginal and the Mont Albert area leaning Liberal. Reflecting the area’s static population, the redistribution that will take effect at the next election has added around 18,000 voters at Blackburn South, Burwood East and Forest Hill in the east (previously in Deakin), balanced only by the transfer of about 8000 voters around Glen Waverley to Bruce and 1500 in Mont Albert North to Kooyong. Antony Green calculates the changes have shaved 0.3% from the Labor margin, which is now at 5.8%.
Chisholm was created with the enlargement of parliament in 1949, but was then based on Camberwell and Glen Iris further to the west. It no longer contains any of its original territory, which now bolsters the Liberals in Higgins and Kooyong. Its progressive drift to the east accordingly made a Labor-leaning seat of what had traditionally been a safe one for the Liberals, its members being Wilfrid Kent Hughes until 1970, Tony Staley until 1980 and Graham Harris until 1983. The Liberal grip was loosened by successive swings in 1977, 1980 and 1983, the Labor candidate on each occasion being Helen Mayer, who succeeded on the third attempt. Early Howard government Health Minister Michael Wooldridge recovered the seat for the Liberals in 1987, and held it precariously until he jumped ship to the more secure Casey in 1998. The current Labor member, Anna Burke, prevailed at the 1998 election with a 2.1% margin that was little changed in 2001 and 2004. She finally achieved a secure margin with a 4.7% swing in 2007, before the seat went slightly against the statewide trend with a 1.3% swing to the Liberals in 2010.
Anna Burke had been an industrial officer with the Finance Sector Union before entering parliament, and is aligned with the Right sub-faction associated with the Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association. She has had two spells as Deputy Speaker since Labor came to power in 2007, the interruption coming after the 2010 election when the government partially bolstered its fragile parliamentary position by having Liberal member Peter Slipper take her place. Burke returned to the role after the government appeared to go one better in having Slipper replace Harry Jenkins as Speaker in November 2011, and her national profile received a considerable boost when allegations of sexual harassment and misuse of taxi dockets compelled Slipper to stand aside in April 2012, leaving her the semi-permanent occupant of the chair.
The Liberals have again preselected their candidate from 2010, Vietnamese-born John Nguyen, a partner at Ernst & Young who was five years old when his family fled their native country in 1979. VexNews reports that Nguyen won the preselection ballot ahead of Nicholas Tragas, Telstra executive and Boroondara councillor, and that the two were respectively backed by “the sometimes united Kroger/Costello group” and its traditional rivals associated with Premier Ted Baillieu.
CTar1,
Scorpio will be here late Tuesday. We’ll sort out a day and time then. Looks like Thursday or Friday to me. Lunch if peeps want to eat there; later if not.
[Kevin Bonham,
When RU going to provide an answer to your trivia question?]
Pretty soon. There’ve been some good guesses but none that are all that close perhaps because it’s very difficult.
These are all the Reps elections (hope I’ve got them all right) in which The Event occurred:
1914, 1917*, 1925*, 1928, 1929, 1934, 1937, 1949, 1951, 1955*, 1961, 1963*, 1966*, 1969, 1975, 1977, 1983, 1984, 1998.
In those marked *, The Event happened in an unusual fashion.
Answer posted 9-ish if nobody gets it by then.
[Legislating gay marriage is about ending discrimination. Why have a conscience vote on it?]
It’s completely unfair to Left MPs to be forced to vote for something like mandatory detention, when it is obvious many of them oppose that policy, but when the Left gets the numbers for marriage equality, the Right of course manages to get a conscience vote on the issue!
No, it is about the inevitable High Court case, which if lost will end any action on same-sex marriage for decades. But hey lets play politics with peoples lives. 🙁
[What’s Walsh’s like these days, last time I lived in QBN was the mid 90′s]
a blood bath…….. it the worst in town now. it was closed down by a swam of police at 6pm on anzac day due to a riot.
the royal has just been re opened and is fantastic. all the old drinkers have gone to the tourist or top pub.
[No, it is about the inevitable High Court case, which if lost will end any action on same-sex marriage for decades. But hey lets play politics with peoples lives. ]
What the hell are you talking about? If it is going to take a constitutional change, then so be it, bring it on.
But more than likely the High Court will reject any challenge to the amended Marriage Act on the grounds that no one has standing to bring such a case.
And of course you completely ignore alternative ways of dealing with it, such as the federal government completely repealing the Marriage Act and making ALL Marriages civil ceremonies which wouldn’t require a constitutional change at all.
[Bit it really gives me the shits when those who support same sex marriage go on and on about respect yet fail to respect the views of those who do not agree.]
Probably because those views embody a position that the law should respect some couples’ desire to get married to the extent of supporting it, but not others’. The status quo is a disrespectful, or at least differentially respectful, position.
So Australia’s not the only country to lock up and maltreat illegal immigrants
________
from”Counterpunch ”
http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/06/15/anti-african-hysteria-sweeps-israel/
[It’s completely unfair to Left MPs to be forced to vote for something like mandatory detention, when it is obvious many of them oppose that policy, but when the Left gets the numbers for marriage equality, the Right of course manages to get a conscience vote on the issue!]
I was just going to post along the same lines 🙂
ShowsOn @1996,
Thanks for your reply.
I respect your opinion.
Bit it really gives me the shits when those who support same Labor go on and on about respect yet fail to respect the views of those who do not agree.
Thats better.
[Kevin Rudd @KRuddMP
And greetings from the patient himself. Sent from the clinic tonight. KRudd http://pic.twitter.com/xn8S0iXf%5D
some more morsels for the Ruddistas to feast upon.
think about it. What could possibly go wrong?
rummel,
Nothing much changed then, walsh’s and the riverside, will have to check out the royal when I’m down they way to visit the pares again, the royal used to do a good lunch.
Kevin @2007,
Thanks for your reply.
I respect your opinion.
Consistently wrong is still wrong]
On what basis can you determine where one is either right or wrong on the issue of gay marriage provided a reasonable point of view is put forward?
I believe in civil unions of the same sex and of the opposite sex.
However marriage is a tradition that belongs to the exclusivity of the opposite sex. That’s how you get mother, father, grandmother, grandfather, aunt uncle etc…
You want to throw that tradition and culture down the toilet.
When you actually score on a date we can resume the debate. You are obviously too frustrated to form a logical view on the matter at the moment.
[Bit it really gives me the shits when those who support same Labor go on and on about respect yet fail to respect the views of those who do not agree.
Thats better.]
Oh poor diddums, you didn’t have your view respected, boo hoo!
[Pegasus, we should continue the debate, maybe at Byron Bay over a long weekend]
Centre, you just leave Horsey alone here 😡
I have never been to Byron Bay but it is on my list of places I would like to visit 🙂
Don’t go to the lighthouse and look off Tallows, you may see Dolphins. 😆
Centre.
My opinion is that as soon as marriage stepped outside churches and became sanctioned by a govt, then they should sanction it for all relationships deemed acceptable to society. And we know that what is acceptable to society changes. So as soon as they removed the the illegality of homosexual sex, and the all the financial/estate stuff the relationships became part of what society deems acceptable. therefore to discriminate against them in the emotional part (via marriage) is wrong.
Warning. Video. Meet the real Tony Abbott
http://turnleft2013.wordpress.com/2012/05/29/meet-the-real-tony-abbott-be-afraid-be-very-afraid-video/
[Don’t go to the lighthouse and look off Tallows, you may see Dolphins.]
Ru, she wants to see dolphin :kiss;
Sprocket, all I’m going to say is that if you think someone like Penny Wong would be electorally successful, then you have far more faith than I do in the evolutionary status of our fellow countrymen.
The only discrimination is to heterosexual couples for the use of the word that describes their civil union.
The debate is not really about discrimination at all, it’s about the symbolic use of the word “marriage”, that is all.
Nobody wants any discrimination towards any members of our community.
[On what basis can you determine where one is either right or wrong on the issue of gay marriage provided a reasonable point of view is put forward?
I believe in civil unions of the same sex and of the opposite sex.
However marriage is a tradition that belongs to the exclusivity of the opposite sex. That’s how you get mother, father, grandmother, grandfather, aunt uncle etc…
You want to throw that tradition and culture down the toilet.
When you actually score on a date we can resume the debate. You are obviously too frustrated to form a logical view on the matter at the moment.]
COMPLETELY WRONG!
let me correct. my last word was ‘wrong’. that’s in itself is incorrect. i think to continue to discriminate against the emotional status of same sex couples is inconsistent, and a little bit petty.
rummel
[a blood bath…….. it the worst in town now. it was closed down by a swam of police at 6pm on anzac day due to a riot.]
The pub that used to be directly across from the Leagues Club – One afternoon long ago I was ‘chipped’ by the barman while taking the shortcut directly through the bar to go into the ‘Salon’.
The problem was I had bare feet – solution was he had a stack of left behind thongs to hand!
[The only discrimination is to heterosexual couples for the use of the word that describes their civil union.]
Wrong! A Marriage Certificate is something given out under the marriage act. If you let heterosexual couples get an Australian Government Marriage certificate but not same sex couples, then you are discriminating.
[The debate is not really about discrimination at all, it’s about the symbolic use of the word “marriage”, that is all.]
So let same sex couples get married under the marriage act so they aren’t discriminated against.
[Nobody wants any discrimination towards any members of our community.]
So you should support same sex marriage.
[Oh poor diddums, you didn’t have your view respected, boo hoo!]
because i support same sex marriage…. your right, no one respects that.
“The only discrimination is to heterosexual couples for the use of the word that describes their civil union.”
wow…. as a married heterosexual i’m offended by that. talk about us v them! my union is the same as the union two blokes have. it is about loving someone to the exclusion of all others.
[wow…. as a married heterosexual i’m offended by that. talk about us v them! my union is the same as the union two blokes have. it is about loving someone to the exclusion of all others.]
middle, hear hear.
[wow…. as a married heterosexual i’m offended by that. talk about us v them! my union is the same as the union two blokes have. it is about loving someone to the exclusion of all others.]
Nah, Centre knows better what people’s relationships mean to them.
Sorry Finns, she’s all yours, I won’t make another move until global warming starts 😆
i believe marriage has changed quite a bit over the years – this is just one more change
interesting to see the clubs starting to advertise – part of the solution – good on them i say
Why hasn’t post 2015 been deleted?
_____________________________
The USA in the grip of poverty
from”Counterpunch ”
__________
The full extent of poverty in the USA is shown in these startling figures
All up 46 million Americans now live on the poverty line
20 million of these are far below it with very small incomes
6 million have no earnings of any kind are are depending on Food Stamps for all their daily food for their families…and no other incomes at all
There is now the problem of widespread child malnutrition.. in many places of 3rd world proportions..It may be that one in 8 US kids is seriously malnourished
So much fior O-bomb-a’s “Yes we can ” !
[These are all the Reps elections (hope I’ve got them all right) in which The Event occurred:
1914, 1917*, 1925*, 1928, 1929, 1934, 1937, 1949, 1951, 1955*, 1961, 1963*, 1966*, 1969, 1975, 1977, 1983, 1984, 1998.
In those marked *, The Event happened in an unusual fashion.
Answer posted 9-ish if nobody gets it by then.]
What is the question?
Scringler,
Having read through loads of comments, getting progressively more depressed, I finally came to yours. Eureka! Having lived in big cities most of my life, now living in country Victoria. I can now supply my friends with figs, olives, crab apples, mulberries and various other produce from my backyard garden.
Maybe it is just reducing one’s expectations, maybe it is converting city thinking to more basic thinking, maybe we should just pay more attention to those politicians who do an honorable job.
[Sorry Finns, she’s all yours, I won’t make another move until global warming starts ]
gee Centre, thanks. the ice caps are melting in the dark, all the sweet, GREENS icing flowing down… Someone left the cake out in the rain .. I don’t think that I can take it
middle man @ 2030
Well said.
Marriage, what marriage?
i thought 60% ended up in D.I.V.O.R.C.E.
Personally my partner and I don’t believe in marriage gay or hetero, we are hetero BTW. We believe if two people love each other, gay or straight then that is all that really matters, we are happy and happiness isn’t a piece of paper, it is the commitment between the two people.
[Sprocket, all I’m going to say is that if you think someone like Penny Wong would be electorally successful, then you have far more faith than I do in the evolutionary status of our fellow countrymen.]
What does that mean? That a woman from a culturally diverse background can’t succeed electorally in this country?
There are numerous examples currently and historically which prove this view wrong. Including Wong herself.
Great supply my friends with figs, olives, crab apples, mulberries and various other produce from my backyard garden. Maybe it is just reducing one’s expectations, maybe it is converting city thinking to more basic thinking, maybe we should just pay more attention to those politicians who do an honorable job. Great post,
Us to , so m qui ces, funny thing is they cost a fortune , because there is not many grown now
We built a gsrden for the children so they csn come and get there own
Our 2 acres heaven on the banks of f the derwent
Look, you legislate for same sex unions with the same rights as a marriage of opposite sex couples.
The word marriage belongs exclusively to opposite sex couples. The tradition comprising a mother, father, grandmother, uncle, etc… should be preserved.
GET OVER IT!
Peg, actually global warming should be starting by the Oct long weekend 😈
Oh, it’s same sex marriage day on PB.
Prefer that to another bout of Ruddstoration hysteria FWIW.
[What does that mean? That a woman from a culturally diverse background can’t succeed electorally in this country?]
Fess, she is a Hakka.
Richard Torbay may find promotion to the 1st X1 harder tha he thought
https://twitter.com/JenRedding64/status/214299785656672257/photo/1
confessions,
don’t mention beetlejuice
[Peg, actually global warming should be starting by the Oct long weekend ]
Centre, 😡 this is your second warning 😡