Newspoll: 57-43 to Liberal-National in WA

The latest quarterly state Newspoll for WA has the two-party vote unchanged from last time, with the Liberal-National government leading 57-43. The primary votes are 43 per cent for the Liberals and 6 per cent for the Nationals, 30 per cent for Labor and 12 per cent for the Greens. Each of these measures have been a picture of stability over the past four polls: the Liberals’ run in that time has been 41, 42, 43 and 43, the Nationals’ has been 6, 7, 6 and 6, Labor’s 30, 29, 31 and 30, the Greens’ 14, 13, 13 and 12, and the two-party has been 57-43, 58-42, 57-43 and 57-43. However, Colin Barnett’s ratings have been slowly eroding, from 56 per cent satisfied an 35 per cent dissatisfied four surveys ago to 50 per cent and 37 per cent now (at his honeymoon peak in January-March 2009, it was 56 per cent and 23 per cent). Eric Ripper is up two to 33 per cent and down one to 43 per cent, returning him to where he was two surveys ago. However, Barnett’s lead as preferred premier has widened slightly, from 56-17 to 58-18.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

22 comments on “Newspoll: 57-43 to Liberal-National in WA”

  1. Interesting. The Gov in WA announced a 30% increase in household bills, but picked a fight with the feds over mining taxes. Seems that people in WA aren’t actually worried about rising household expenses, but care more about independence from the fed government.

    Will wait to see what the full report says.

  2. Obviously the LNP are a bunch of liars or maybe just maybe the ALP is on the nose from coast to coast.
    Time for some soul searching form not just Gillard and co but also dyed in the wool supporters like Frankie Calabrese. Why does your party stink Frank? Oh thats right it’s the influence of the Murdoch Press. Time to stop defending the indefendable.

  3. It is a state result though but you would be mad to not look at the Federal picture here. Especially given the poor relationship between WA and Julia Brown.

  4. [
    4

    abbo

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 3:44 pm | Permalink

    Obviously the LNP are a bunch of liars or maybe just maybe the ALP is on the nose from coast to coast.
    Time for some soul searching form not just Gillard and co but also dyed in the wool supporters like Frankie Calabrese. Why does your party stink Frank? Oh thats right it’s the influence of the Murdoch Press. Time to stop defending the indefendable.

    5

    abbo

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 3:46 pm | Permalink

    It is a state result though but you would be mad to not look at the Federal picture here. Especially given the poor relationship between WA and Julia Brown.

    ]

    Two Words.

    Teflon Colin.

    How long till the Election Again ?

    Oh and Didn’t Rudd have high opolling – and look whqt happened to him ?

    Two Years is a LONGn time in Politics.

    I will keep the faith – unklike some.

  5. From the main thread:

    [Mark Tomasz

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 2:04 pm | Permalink

    And for our conservative friends from the east who grab on to the 57-43 poll – if only life were that simple.

    The situation is that:

    *Despite all, the Libs only hold a slender majority in government.
    *The Libs have prostituted themselves for the support of the Nationals (just as Labor tried to do of course) by way of allowing money to be spent on plastic dunnies in the bush and other fripperies.
    *Apart from Colin B and the Attorney-General, the current government is weak and there is no leadership. Barnett will not be there for ever.
    *There are at least two seats in metro Perth which, even in dark times, should be on the Labor side of the ledger. On top of which Fremantle will like return to the Labor fold.
    *The longer it goes on for CB the tougher it gets and hence all his promises for the ‘big ticket” spends are to come.

    The most significant local problem for Labor is leadership.

    As tough as it is, and the nice bloke that Eric Ripper is, unless there is an absolute disaster, he will never be Premier. There are some Young Turks here ready to lead and with some good work there is no reason why Labor cannnot win.

    It is, at the end of the day, only Barnett who is holding the Libs together.

    Mind you, no Sandgroper politician has ever lost votes attacking the Feds. By and large you ain’t heard nothing until you hear a Sandgroper whinge about how the East is stitching the West up and robbing the West of its due. When it came to talk about a new freeway between the airport and the city, the Libs had the begging bowl on display to the Feds almost as a reflex action.
    ]

    I will support the current leader who is Eric Ripper – When and if the ALP Caucus decide to vote on a new leader and their decision is made I will thank Eric for his work and I will support and campaign for the leader that they decide on -regardless.

    THAT is being a loyal ALP supporter.

  6. [
    abbo

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 4:02 pm | Permalink

    Damn right 2 years is a long time. We might have had 2 more ALP prime ministers by then

    8

    abbo

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    It could be ALP policy to give everyone a go at it

    ]

    Your Liberal Party hackerism is noted.

  7. The mood in WA is very different to here in Victoria. People feel that they are being robbed. One sticker I saw on the back of a 4wd there said it all. It was a map of Australia. On WA it said ‘ The Best’, for the rest of the nation it said ‘F*** the rest’. That says it all.

    If Barnett keeps picking fights with the rest of the country then people may well ignore the issues in the state caused by mining and vote for him.

  8. [Dcmcd

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 4:24 pm | Permalink

    The mood in WA is very different to here in Victoria. People feel that they are being robbed. One sticker I saw on the back of a 4wd there said it all. It was a map of Australia. On WA it said ‘ The Best’, for the rest of the nation it said ‘F*** the rest’. That says it all.

    If Barnett keeps picking fights with the rest of the country then people may well ignore the issues in the state caused by mining and vote for him.
    ]
    Well let them enjoy being screwed over – all over their Cashed up Bogan Lifestyle.

  9. Frank 9

    Agree: Just trying some objectivity for our more conservative friends from the east. Ignore other comments here based largely on ignorance.

  10. This poll was taken before Colin Barnett scratched his arse so is clearly meaningless. Now that WA have woken up and realised that arse-scratching is what you get under a Barnett government, it will be the next poll that will be a true indication of how well Labor’s going. And if that’s good for Barnett, well then it will be the poll after that one.

    Anyway, clearly the Liberals should be on 125% of the vote so in reality this is an absolute disaster for them and proof positive that Labor are storming back and in great shape.

  11. [15

    MDMConnell

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 6:36 pm | Permalink

    This poll was taken before Colin Barnett scratched his arse so is clearly meaningless. Now that WA have woken up and realised that arse-scratching is what you get under a Barnett government, it will be the next poll that will be a true indication of how well Labor’s going. And if that’s good for Barnett, well then it will be the poll after that one.

    Anyway, clearly the Liberals should be on 125% of the vote so in reality this is an absolute disaster for them and proof positive that Labor are storming back and in great shape.
    ]

    Totally agreed.

  12. I don’t mean to be a labor pessimist, but I’m beginning to have doubts whether Labor will even win the next federal election. Well, we still have a couple of years left!

    But 49- 30 Libs/ Nats for the WA: Primary vote (April- June 2011) is pretty shocking.

  13. [Apple Blossom

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 7:27 pm | Permalink

    I don’t mean to be a labor pessimist, but I’m beginning to have doubts whether Labor will even win the next federal election. Well, we still have a couple of years left!

    But 49- 30 Libs/ Nats for the WA: Primary vote (April- June 2011) is pretty shocking.
    ]

    Well don’t.

    Events in the last 48 hours are the potential gamechanger re Oakajee.

  14. [Well don’t.

    Events in the last 48 hours are the potential gamechanger re Oakajee.]

    I just hope the polls get better soon!

    How come I never seem to get asked these polls? I never get called or sent letters or anything.

  15. [Apple Blossom

    Posted Friday, June 24, 2011 at 8:15 pm | Permalink

    Well don’t.

    Events in the last 48 hours are the potential gamechanger re Oakajee.

    I just hope the polls get better soon!

    How come I never seem to get asked these polls? I never get called or sent letters or anything.
    ]
    That is one of life’s mysteries – considering you live in a safe Labor area pollsters tend to ignore them – or pick parts which suit their agenda.

  16. [That is one of life’s mysteries – considering you live in a safe Labor area pollsters tend to ignore them – or pick parts which suit their agenda.]

    Not the best way to get a strong variation of votes, but okay…

  17. Compare the sample size of these polls to the population of Western Australia, look at that ratio for a minute, and you’ll understand. 😉

    I’ve been polled once ever (bearing in mind I’ve frequently just had a mobile phone and not a landline). At the time, I lived in the vibrant mortgage-belt working-families swinging-vote suburb of… umm… er… Coolbellup. (Labor have more to fear from the Greens there than they ever do from the Libs, despite it being full of people who do up the old Torana in the front yard and don’t drink lattes.) The pollster asked me a few questions about the premier (Alan Carpenter, the local MP) and opposition leader (Paul Omodei)… from memory, my opinion of the opposition leader was that I was vaguely aware of his existence. So it does happen.

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