The latest weekly Essential Research poll has Labor opening a 51-49 lead after 50-50 results over the previous two weeks, including the weekend of the election. Labor is up a point on the primary vote to 39 per cent and the Coalition down one to 43 per cent, with the Greens steady on 11 per cent. The survey also finds a majority supporting a fresh election, 52 per cent to 33 per cent, with 42 per cent thinking minority government will deliver worse government against 30 per cent better, and 70 per cent thinking an election within the year likely against 16 per cent unlikely. This is contrary to the weekend’s JWS/Telereach poll which had only 26 per cent plumping for a new election against 37 per cent for a Labor and 31 a Coalition minority government possibly this indicates you get different responses when a respondent can choose a minority government of their favoured party over a new election. The Newspoll targeting the three rural independents’ electorates shortly after the election found opinion evenly divided on the subject of a new election, which is perhaps less appealing to those whose local members are presently holding the balance of power.
2,982 comments on “Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor”
Julia PM for real!!!!
Me too grey …
if oak goes lib then wilkie comes out and breaks the tie
[ABC News 24 headline: Tony Windsor’s decision means coalition cannot form government.
grey: you can cry, now.]
The ABC will cry harder than Grey.
Wilkie’s presser last week is looking better: to the point
Keep hoping Oaks, conservatives don’t do unity, they thrive on division.
What the hell is he doing? Just answer the damn question!
oak TEEELLL UUUSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
That’s it – Julia still PM.
Ted Mack gets a jersey
oakeshott has decided to speak for three years to avoid making a decision.
Man, he’s really milking his 15 minutes
Oh, calm down. Obviously he’s backing Labor.
Yes – concise army approach.
O reckons that one party would have knifed us in order to go to an early poll… stability thinking.
He doesn’t trust Tony to run full term.
Oh happpy happy day. A near death experience then a second chance and one for the true believers to grab hold of and build into something for the country. Thank you Bludgers for being here during this, the longest Grand Final in history.
He’s going to back Labor.
William has spoken – William must be GhostWhoVotes
[oakeshott has decided to speak for three years to avoid making a decision.]
We need Red Symmons with his gong
Now we know why it took this long for a decision.
Does Labor have any members who are in ill-health?
So much for 4 minute answers
wilkie might change back to make it 75 v 75!!!
[We need Red Symmons with his gong]
I wonder what those kids in the audience are thinking.
Once a bumpkin always a bumpkin
William is talking a lot of sense, like always! 🙂
Gee, some of you need to calm down!
Of course Oakeshot wouldn’t go against Windsor.
I tell ya, this blog is enough to do anyone’s head in with all the conspiracy theories – some of which admittedly have come from this end over the past few weeks. 😉
Talk as long as you like, Rob. Give him whatever he likes for the decision that’s coming.
tax summit on Henry Tax Review… good outcome.
Henry Tax review back on the agenda
Apparently some of the journos in the audience have zipped out for a quick coffee and croissant
[wilkie might change back to make it 75 v 75!!!]
Yeah, so he can force another election and risk losing his seat and importance. Sure.
[Does Labor have any members who are in ill-health?]
APS Food Taster vacancies advertised.
“They said we could see history in the making . . . this is even more boring than actual history class!”
I would not knock a good conspiracy. They are fun to do.
Broadband and Climate Change again
ALPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP 3 MORE Years!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Now the real fun begins – the reappearance of Real Abbott, the Liberal meltdown and the collective dummyspit from News Ltd & the ABC. 😀
O nominates NBN and climate change and crisis in regional education in Australia today as the deal makers for him.
[ALPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP 3 MORE Years!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!]
No thanks to your avatar, mind you.
Geez, I thought the next three years were going to be slow but I reckon they have already come to paint drying…
Strengthening public education – this is very good, very very good.
It’s worse than Masterchef
Where are Grand Prixk, Toothy and Nostril?
I’m not crying, I’m sobbing. Tears are running down my face. Thankyou whoever
NBN, Climate change & full debate of the henry tax review – this is s super duper outcome
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