Recent form suggests Roy Morgan has moved from weekly to fortnightly, and it seems the West Australian either didn’t conduct or didn’t publish its normal monthly Westpoll survey of state voting intention.
George Megalogenis of The Australian wrote yesterday of special analysis of Newspoll showing that since the May budget the Prime Minister has suffered double-digit falls in his popularity among higher-income earners, full-time workers and people aged 35-49. We are also told the PM didn’t do as badly among households with children they trimmed his rating by 7.7 percentage points to 60.9 per cent, while those without children cut it by 10.7 points to 56.8 per cent; and also that his approval rating among Coalition voters dropped from 40.9 per cent to 28.5 per cent.
A survey conducted last month by Essential Research shows 93 per cent had either not heard of the emissions trading scheme, had heard about it but didn’t know what it was or knew just a little about it. However, Chris Johnson of The West Australian reports that once the concept was explained, respondents overwhelmingly thought it was a good idea. Seventy-two per cent strongly supported the introduction of an ETS and 78 per cent thought transport and petrol should be included. I see the principals behind Essential Media (the company behind Essential Research) include Ben Oquist, former adviser to Bob Brown and one-time Greens Senate candidate.
Labor continues to dither over whether to contest the Mayo by-election. No doubt their decision will be soundly based on research, but if I were them I’d go for it: the electorate that almost put John Schumann in parliament seems an unlikely candidate for an emissions trading scheme backlash, and a relatively good result would help shake the Gippsland monkey off the government’s back.
In the absence of Westpoll we will have to make do with more unpublished Newspoll figures provided by Joe Spagnolo of the Sunday Times, showing 41.9 per cent of 418 Liberals polled preferred Mr Carpenter as Premier, instead of their own man (33.5 per cent).
Tasmanian Greens leader Peg Putt will resign from parliament and has handed the leadership baton to Franklin MP Nick McKim. A recount for Putt’s Denison seat will almost certainly deliver it to Cassy O’Connor, who once worked as an adviser to local federal Labor MP Duncan Kerr. This outcome was anticipated at the time of the March 2006 state election by Greg Barns.
In the interests of promoting Aussie talent, the Poll Bludger presents a 1993 Rock Classic from the Cruel Sea.