Morgan: 61-39

Unless I’m mistaken, it looks like Roy Morgan has just unloaded two sets of poll results at once: a phone poll of 1128 respondents conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, and a face-to-face poll of 2019 respondents conducted over the previous two weekends. The former has Labor’s two-party lead at 61-39, while the latter has it at 65-35: wider even than the 64.5-35.5 recorded in the previous published (face-to-face) survey from February 29, and probably some kind of all-time record for any agency.

In other news, the new membership of the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters has been announced. The spoils are divided thus: Labor gets three MHRs (Daryl Melham, Michael Danby and Jon Sullivan) and two Senators (Carol Brown and Steve Hutchins), the Coalition gets two of each (Scott Morrison and the Nationals’ Bruce Scott from the House, Simon Birmingham and Mitch Fifield from the Senate), and one is determined by the Senate cross-benchers, which effectively means the Greens (with Bob Brown replacing Andrew Murray of the Democrats). It has evidently yet to be announced which of the Labor members will be the chair: previously the position was held by Sophie Mirabella. The only ongoing member from the previous parliament is Michael Danby.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

256 comments on “Morgan: 61-39”

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  1. Agree Ferny one, pollies are weird. Why do we vote for them? Doesn’t matter who you vote for, you always elect a politician, as the old saying goes.
    I personally despair of politics and politicians these days, I’ve got to say. The American Dem contest looks like people just tearing themselves apart, while their and possibly the whole world is going down the run away process of global climate change.
    The Middle East is obviously a part of this process, siting as it does on the remaining known barrels of oil. The Palestinians will be ignored as usual. As will the Tibetans.
    As I said earlier, I’ve no idea whether or not the Rudd gov’t will do anything meaningful on any number of fronts and that they’ve certainly got their work cut out for them, but truly, I’d rather them than the Opposition, either in it’s old or new forms.

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