Morgan: 64.5-35.5

The latest face-to-face Morgan poll shows Labor breaking its record result of a few weeks ago. It now leads 56.5 per cent to 31.5 per cent on the primary vote and 64.5-35.5 on two-party preferred. Morgan also presents us with qualitative findings on perceptions of the two leaders, which gives a strong impression that Brendan Nelson failed to please anybody in attempting to have two bob each way on the stolen generations apology.

Other news:

• The AEC has commenced redistribution proceedings for Western Australia and the Northern Territory. It is likely that no change will be required for the latter; the outlook for the former was earlier canvassed here.

• A transcript of a High Court hearing regarding Labor’s appeal against Fran Bailey’s win in McEwen has been published, the upshot of which appears to be that the matter will be heard in the Federal Court late next month.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

690 comments on “Morgan: 64.5-35.5”

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  1. actually i heard he sacrifices goats and eats kids hearts,when of course he is not masterminding all the plots the lefties accuse him of

    when does that man sleep i say

  2. steve its okl
    your actually one of the better ones and no im not here for self gratification and pumped egotism-just simple debate!!!

  3. Jen, I didn’t realise how versatile you were – spinning webs in cesspools!
    They must be very strong ones if you’re hoping to catch little black ducks.
    Maybe you could find a nice, Green, Victorian spider to use as a new blog name?

  4. “no im not here for self gratification and pumped egotism-just simple debate!!!” You sure give us VERY SIMPLE debate nemesis.
    As far as that posting you say I overlooked I actually read it and came to the conclusion that to reply I needed to understand any part of it. I’m afraid your humour escapes me.

  5. Been away for a few days, get back to find nemesis spouting forth complete nonsense over and over again — same old same old, no logic, no argumen, a kind of constipation of thought and expression. Nemesis, you’re still young. Go away and do something worthwhile then come back when you have something to say.

  6. ah

    labor blog central has come online

    what worthy pronouncements shall issue forth tonite zoom

    perhaps outright praise for the attack on abetz or a half-hearted defence of corruption is us (oops i meant nsw labor)

    but still sadly no-one can tell me what rudd has dismantled of the howard glory years

    ps zoom check out the amazon-apparently the spiders there can entrap some endangered parrot or something

    moral quandry time for the greenies methinks

  7. Hey, zoom-
    talented indeed! As a Green though I am dead against the harming of ducks, black or otherwise, so nemesis is safe with me.
    Kind of.
    Someone does need to clarify the notion of debating to him/her though. It needs two opposing sides presenting rational arguments to support a particular position.
    Appears to be something missing from this picture…

  8. “but still sadly no-one can tell me what rudd has dismantled of the howard glory years”
    Can you tell me nemesis how answering this question is relevant to anything? Can anyone explain it to me?

  9. Gary
    i forgot your ozymandis powers of foresight and knowledge

    perhaps you might entertain my juvenille mind a bit more

    “As far as that posting you say I overlooked I actually read it and came to the conclusion that to reply I needed to understand any part of it.”

    considering you posted at least three times re my point three i seriously doubt your cognitive abilities oh great one

  10. I think it’s all too obvious that nemesis is here for self gratification and pumped egotism. Haven’t heard a proposition that’s not been shot down in flames yet. Wry humour is certainly beyond this person.

  11. steve
    abc news has quoted a report in a news publication revealing his great uncle was a nazi and then going on to compare abetz views with his great uncle

    gee wonder what party spilled that tidbit-hypocrites

  12. With all due respect to nemesis this is a different person writing these posts than the one who was on this afternoon. Either someone differently writes under his/her name at night or the “refreshments” kick in full bore at night. I’m tipping the latter.

  13. Gary @415-
    in all honesty -no.
    Sometimes the mysteries of life are too great for simple bloggers to try and understand. And why anyone wold want to try and defend the former government is one of them. Unfathomable.

  14. actually

    gary during the day the leftards are not affected by “lunar’ activity and are quite amicable

    at night the old hatred burns anew

    case in point!

    ps

    got a response to points 1,24 and 5
    appreciate your input on point three but perhaps you should re-read 24b (this time slowly-helps with comprehension)

  15. Actually, dear little Nem, you will be hard put to find me extolling the ALP’s virtues on this site. I generally respond to comments and am not here to push an agenda.
    It would be a waste of my time to do so – I have more effective ways of making things happen, I don’t need to go around trying to convert people in blogdom.
    I’m not a NSWaleser and know very little about what’s going on there. Sorry, may be the centre of the universe for you, I’m just not particularly interested (and never have been, before you start accusing me of fair weather friend dom).
    Similarly, know little or nothing about Erica Betz or of any attacks on said person.
    As for dismantling aspects of the glory days of Howard (whenever they were), why are you so hung up on this? Aren’t things moving quickly enough for you?
    I know you think Kyoto, whaling, dismantling of Nauru, the apology etc aren’t big deals, but if so, why didn’t Howard do them?

  16. 418 Yes, read the story about Abetz. Looks like the Libs are sowing the seeds for a new broom to replace Abetz when the Double Dissolution moves into full swing. Funny that the story is being pushed here by the Liberal trolls.

  17. Gary Bruce, whether it’s one person or a number of persons, they’re as tedious as all get out. Stupid hypotheses about the defeat of Labor federally, being predominant. I’ve said before that if this is what the LNP have to offer, they’re in serious trouble – for a long time. Let’s think obliviated, buggered, ###ked, and seriously gone for all money.

  18. nemesis, you haven’t as yet responded to my points made this afternoon. You left after being blasted out of the water re Labor in NSW being forced into an early election and the poor effort of Howard in his first 100 days as compared to Rudd.

  19. steve
    nice duck and weave

    ps this shite re abetz is really quite sick regardless of his political leanings

    or its okay cos he is a liberal

  20. Nemesis, you’re the only one interested in the Abetz story.
    This shows how irrelevant it is and how little we are interested in ‘playing the man’.

  21. nemesis

    I assume you chose your blog moniker for some reason. Nemesis was the goddess who took divine retribution against mortals who showed hubris. However, in popular culture, “Nemesis” is often used ignorantly by the disaffected who feel the name ennobles their cause, which is inevitably rage brought on by their inability to come to terms with the reality that the world has left them behind.

    In which sense are you using the term?

  22. I must admit I would have left too after being totally humiliated like that but the difference between you and I is that I wouldn’t be coming back on again tonight to be further humiliated by talking total garbage in a fully “refreshed” state.

  23. gary
    see 426

    ps why did you only respond to point three,then try and obsfuscate

    disingeneous at best

    dishonest at worst

    perhaps spider webs are more your forte

  24. Now Nem’s getting his posters confused – and losing grip on his insults.
    Nem, Jen’s the one who weaves webs, get it right.

  25. zoom
    i forgot labor doesnt allow inclusion of diversity,just enforcement of demagogery

    please bring your comprehension skills up to date zoom as i am finding the repetition rather pedestrian

    perhaps an original comment or a bit of shooting the brreze may unblock those analytical skills i’m sure you posess

  26. If someone accused me of being “over refreshed” and it wasn’t true I’d be denying it. Not once has nemesis denied it. I think that speaks volumes.

  27. And I shoots ducks -.
    i think..
    or is that Bob Brown?
    Or, maybe that’s Prince Harry . Or ..
    f@#k it . I’m going to bed.
    Cheers all (well, most).
    Good to read you again.

  28. Oh for goodness sake. nemesis, like all of his/her LNP compatriots are suffering severely from relevance deprivation syndrome. Why on earth do you grant this silly person with silly ideas any oxygen?
    Jen, serious question. Garret is going to try changing the whaling ghastliness, what help will the Greens provide to help, given Japan has been busily stacking the International Forum?

  29. Nem – you, to accuse someone else of repetition!
    Nice of you to suggest I possess analytical skills – sorry, I can’t return the favour.
    (BTW, if I was your parents, I’d be sueing your private school, they obviously didn’t teach you spelling, grammar, punctuation OR clear thinking).

  30. actually
    scorpio depending on the company
    “[color=red]nemesis[/color] is a menice.”

    i can be mebad ,but yes mostly menice

  31. I’ve read about 3 or 4 write ups on rudd today and I think he has come out of them smelling like roses. The only journalist who doesn’t like him, and I think there must be history there, is Alison Carabine, heard on 3AW. She is viscious for a so called objective radio journalist.

  32. Gary, Rudd has a community cabinet on Brisbane’s northside tomorrow. These things are goodness in wrapping. Could never understand why the Tories never adopted these processes while they were in power. It will hurt the Tories more than anything else that Rudd has done so far, having democratic processes where anyone can have the ear of government..

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