Analysis and discussion of elections and opinion polls in Australia
Morgan: 60.5-39.5
Roy Morgan’s first face-to-face poll of the Rudd era shows Labor with a predictably bloated two-party lead of 60.5-39.5. Read all about it here.
Author: William Bowe
William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.
View all posts by William Bowe
Well put Crikey Whitey there is much we agree on and only a few points we disagree on, boy its nice to debate people with some civility Crikey Whitey i do thankyou.
I would applaud Prime Minister Rudd if he could pressure the States into Stamp/Land tax reductions but i fear it is a tough ask the States like to keep what taxation rights they already have oh dear. But i believe land releases are need but yes like you said infrastructure needs to be adequate so as we dont create areas of disadvantage.
On your plan would it be accumulative ie prospective homeowners could put aside money into such a fund which could generate interest? Maybe make it a median amount so that would solve the problem of means testing and the like.
551
Steve K – While we debate politics and argue and bicker we know deep down that both the ALP and the Coalition want whats best for the country, they don’t want to muff things up and they genuinely want to make the country a better place. Now no side is perfect and while we are entitled to disagree on policies in the end the only thing that divides us is how to get there, how to make the country a better place we have our ideas and you have yours.
The point im trying to make is sure lets debate the contentious points thats important but we should not stop trying to find common ground where possible IMHO.
And with that i bid you adieu and a merry christmas, i may pop my head up now and again but i think you’ve had enough from this Tory for the time being.
Oh i forgot to say…
Ich freue mich darauf, Sie alle in der Debatte 2008 für die US-Wahlen, ACT Wahl Rudd und wie geht gegen Lord Nelson.
Frohe Weihnachten aus dem Bunker oder was von ihr übrig ist!
😉
Glen, I really have little idea of what you said.
Keep away from bad influences.
You are tracking well.
I wish you Season’s Greetings. And to your Mum.
Glen Gegenfalls
For what it’s worth, I think it would be relatively easy for the ALP to find sufficient errors to force a re-run in McEwen. They only need twelve. And I think they would win the by-election comfortably. The ALP machine usually plays the game pretty hard, so it will surprise me if they just let it go through to the keeper.
Just to pick up on a point made by another commenter, there are bound to have been quite a few McEwen voters who were given a ballot paper for another Division. It happens every time and all of those people’s votes would have been invalidated by that mistake. Only their senate vote would have been counted. And that’s only one kind of error. There are plenty more.
Dyno writes: I can’t see any reason why (as some have claimed) Bailey’s re-election is necessarily bad news for McEwen’s electors…
You obviously haven’t had to sit through her insufferable self aggrandisement at every local school or civic function and the like that she can score an invite to, Dyno! 😉
Cheers
Rod
I am celebrating Family First’s disastrous Federal election. It didnt take long for the Australian voting public to quickly wake up to these religious nutters. And the Liberal Party is certainly doing themselves a great deal of harm by doing deals with FF and preferencing them. A lot of previous Liberals voters are not THAT stupid!!! Look at what is happening to the Republicans in The USA by associating with the Religious Right. I laughed reading the paltry $134,000 that Family First are going to receive in electoral funding from the election. Looks like it is back to passing the hat around at Wednesday bible study nights!!!!!
Just watched Brian Loughnane address the Press Club. He, along with his party, just doesn’t get it. The silly buggers are still demonising trade unions: it’s the unions who cost the Coalition the election. If it’s not the unions fault, it’s the fault of those pesky commie-driven opinion polls, or those unnecessary elitist-driven redistributions (Or Getup! According to the Pissed Pointless Poisoned Dwarf).
WorkChoices and the union “scare campaign” didn’t cost the Libs power: John Howard’s megalomania saw to that, along with Kevin Rudd’s popularity.
Let the Libs wallow in blinkered delusion and self-pity for the next decade: they have Buckley’s chance in 2, 4, 6, 8 or even 10 year’s time.
And Mr Loughnane: John Faulkner IS going to “make love” (Loughnane’s words) to the Liberal Party: they’re f##ked, Faulkner style.
Andrew Robb is about the only senior Lib making any sense regarding the political pickle jar the Libs find themselves screwed into. And Loughnane says Robb is wrong.
544
Glen
Glen, Well said.
Well put Crikey Whitey there is much we agree on and only a few points we disagree on, boy its nice to debate people with some civility Crikey Whitey i do thankyou.
I would applaud Prime Minister Rudd if he could pressure the States into Stamp/Land tax reductions but i fear it is a tough ask the States like to keep what taxation rights they already have oh dear. But i believe land releases are need but yes like you said infrastructure needs to be adequate so as we dont create areas of disadvantage.
On your plan would it be accumulative ie prospective homeowners could put aside money into such a fund which could generate interest? Maybe make it a median amount so that would solve the problem of means testing and the like.
551
Steve K – While we debate politics and argue and bicker we know deep down that both the ALP and the Coalition want whats best for the country, they don’t want to muff things up and they genuinely want to make the country a better place. Now no side is perfect and while we are entitled to disagree on policies in the end the only thing that divides us is how to get there, how to make the country a better place we have our ideas and you have yours.
The point im trying to make is sure lets debate the contentious points thats important but we should not stop trying to find common ground where possible IMHO.
And with that i bid you adieu and a merry christmas, i may pop my head up now and again but i think you’ve had enough from this Tory for the time being.
Oh i forgot to say…
Ich freue mich darauf, Sie alle in der Debatte 2008 für die US-Wahlen, ACT Wahl Rudd und wie geht gegen Lord Nelson.
Frohe Weihnachten aus dem Bunker oder was von ihr übrig ist!
😉
Glen, I really have little idea of what you said.
Keep away from bad influences.
You are tracking well.
I wish you Season’s Greetings. And to your Mum.
Glen Gegenfalls
For what it’s worth, I think it would be relatively easy for the ALP to find sufficient errors to force a re-run in McEwen. They only need twelve. And I think they would win the by-election comfortably. The ALP machine usually plays the game pretty hard, so it will surprise me if they just let it go through to the keeper.
Just to pick up on a point made by another commenter, there are bound to have been quite a few McEwen voters who were given a ballot paper for another Division. It happens every time and all of those people’s votes would have been invalidated by that mistake. Only their senate vote would have been counted. And that’s only one kind of error. There are plenty more.
Dyno writes: I can’t see any reason why (as some have claimed) Bailey’s re-election is necessarily bad news for McEwen’s electors…
You obviously haven’t had to sit through her insufferable self aggrandisement at every local school or civic function and the like that she can score an invite to, Dyno! 😉
Cheers
Rod
I am celebrating Family First’s disastrous Federal election. It didnt take long for the Australian voting public to quickly wake up to these religious nutters. And the Liberal Party is certainly doing themselves a great deal of harm by doing deals with FF and preferencing them. A lot of previous Liberals voters are not THAT stupid!!! Look at what is happening to the Republicans in The USA by associating with the Religious Right. I laughed reading the paltry $134,000 that Family First are going to receive in electoral funding from the election. Looks like it is back to passing the hat around at Wednesday bible study nights!!!!!
Just watched Brian Loughnane address the Press Club. He, along with his party, just doesn’t get it. The silly buggers are still demonising trade unions: it’s the unions who cost the Coalition the election. If it’s not the unions fault, it’s the fault of those pesky commie-driven opinion polls, or those unnecessary elitist-driven redistributions (Or Getup! According to the Pissed Pointless Poisoned Dwarf).
WorkChoices and the union “scare campaign” didn’t cost the Libs power: John Howard’s megalomania saw to that, along with Kevin Rudd’s popularity.
Let the Libs wallow in blinkered delusion and self-pity for the next decade: they have Buckley’s chance in 2, 4, 6, 8 or even 10 year’s time.
And Mr Loughnane: John Faulkner IS going to “make love” (Loughnane’s words) to the Liberal Party: they’re f##ked, Faulkner style.
Andrew Robb is about the only senior Lib making any sense regarding the political pickle jar the Libs find themselves screwed into. And Loughnane says Robb is wrong.
No hope I tells ya, no hope.