Two federal polls that reported this week:
• The monthly Essential Research poll recorded a recovery for Labor after a particularly bad result last time, up three on the primary vote to 29%, with the Coalition down four to 22%, One Nation up two to 25%, the Greens down one to 12% and undecided up one to 6%. Labor edged into a 48-46 lead over the Coalition on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure, after the Coalition led 50-45 last time. Anthony Albanese was up two on approval to 37% and down two on disapproval to 54%, while Angus Taylor was down one to 31% and up two on disapproval to 43%. The full report features extensive further questions on immigration (including a finding that general attitudes have improved since April, with 46% viewing it as generally positive and 39% as generally negative, up five and down six respectively), one on gambling, and another on (indirectly) Ed Sheeran. The poll was conducted last Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1008.
• The weekly Roy Morgan poll breaks from the pollster’s recent practice in encompassing a fortnight of surveying, and presumably half consists of the result that was published last week, with an overall sample of 2569. The movements on last week’s result are duly more modest than Morgan’s recent form, which was presumably the idea: Labor up one to 26%, One Nation steady on 25.5%, the Coalition up one to 22.5% and the Greens down one to 14.5%. Labor’s respondent-allocated lead over One Nation is in from 54-46 to 53.5-46.5; against the Coalition, Labor is out from 52-48 to 52.5-47.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and steady on 52-48 on previous election flows. With its expanded sample, the release linked to above also treats us to full voting intention breakdowns from the mainland states.
Lots of dumb commentary about Michelle Bullock on here last night. On a par with Trump’s critiques of the Fed Reserve. You should all be proud.
Rising interest rates are tough for young people buying homes. But rampant inflation is utterly destructive to an economy.
Bullock is not a Liberal. She is a strong, knowledgeable woman who stands her ground. If that doesn’t suit some of the blokes on here they can go post on Truth Social.
BTW. What everyone seemed to miss last night is that the reason the Greens went with Hodgins-May rather than Faruqi as deputy is the same reason we have Richard Marles as Deputy PM: you try to avoid having both from the same state.
Anyway, I can’t imagine that Faruqi would ever have settled for being deputy. It would have been like Gillard asking Rudd to serve as her deputy.