InDaily reports the quarterly South Australian state DemosAU poll has Labor up two to 37%, One Nation down one to 25%, Liberal down one to 17% and the Greens steady on 13%. A two-party preferred result is provided for Labor and One Nation, with Labor’s lead out from 56-44 to 58-42. A three-way preferred premier question has Peter Malinauskas up five to 46%, One Nation’s Cory Bernardi steady on 20% and Liberal leader Ashton Hurn reduced to third, down three to 17%.
Malinauskas’s ratings are 44% positive (up one), 37% neutral (up one) and 19% negative (down two); Hurn’s are 22% positive (up one), 54% neutral (down one) and 24% negative (steady); and Bernardi’s are 20% positive (steady), 42% neutral (up three) and 38% negative (down three). The poll was conducted August 5 to 26 from a sample of 1012. Demographic details will be available on the full report in due course on the pollster’s website.
Can we please keep this thread for discussion of South Australian politics. The open thread for general discussion is here.
The most popular government and Premier in Australia.
Also the most competent State government and Premier in Australia. A few own goals including LIV Golf and the Adelaide Writers Week. But overall Malinauskus has run the state effectively and the economy well.
Ashton Hurn will be off on maternity leave in a couple of months which will make this cakewalk even easier.
The anti-trans Bill proposed by Bernardi’s Orange Terrors also got knocked down in the Legislative Council last night, which should help put that distraction to bed for the remainder of this Parliament. A good week for Labor in SA.
Any day now that Adelaide Writers Week fiasco from the beginning of the year is going to tank Labor’s numbers. Any day now.
So, how long until we accept that Ashton Hurn perhaps isn’t the great white hope of the SA Liberals?
To be fair to Hurn, people generally are very satisfied with the Government, no Opposition Leader is going to cut through that – especially with an existential threat from one of their flanks as well as a damaging internal cultural battle.
That said, I think we can put to bed the idea of her being the Liberals’ secret weapon as we’ve so often heard since 2022. One cannot predict the future and never say never, of course, but the framing of her as some sort of future Premier-in-waiting, seems to have been way too premature and overconfident.
South Australian Labor has to be the strongest branch of the Labor party in current day politics.
They routinely run and ran 10% ahead of federal Labor in 2024, 2025, and so far in 2026 (38.5% average across the 3 post election polls since the 2026 state election vs 27.7% average for federal Labor on BludgerTrack).
Not only that, but they also have by far the most popular state premier in the nation right now as their leader.
Factors for this trend
1) Malinauskas is only in his second term which ironically has a lot of momentum on getting policies done
2) As other stated, Ashton Hurn is literally another Susana Ley, being terrible at communicating.
3) Probably the most vital, appeals to certain conservatives so in return, there isn’t a massive far-right misinformation algorithms meaning it does not get transmitted to the mainstream with a flood negative news coverage unlike Victoria.
Wat, you would think after the Voice loss, the rise of one nation, the positive public reaction to Minns shutting down muslim protests and Crisafuli banning pro-terrorist hate speech that the Greens Political Party would think “hmm, maybe we shouldn’t be in full throated support of Hamas or continue to conflate Israel with all Jewish people”.
I’ve seen repeated comments for a while now with posters wondering why the Greens are stuck around 1o%. It’s because of that.
The only mistake made about the Adelaide Writers’ Festival was apologising and inviting Fattah back next year. Her facebook paraglider cover, a clear reference to the terrorist massacre of 378 people at the Nova music festival should have got her banned from any publicly funded appearance or grant for the rest of her life.