Newspoll: 50-50 (open thread)

Newspoll becomes the second pollster after Roy Morgan to record a disappearance in the lead Labor had enjoyed since the May 2022 election.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll offers further evidence of an end to Labor’s period of federal polling dominance, recording a dead heat on two-party preferred, in from 52-48 in Labor’s favour three weeks ago. Labor has slumped by four points on the primary vote to 31%, with the Coalition up a point to 38%, the Greens up one to 13% and One Nation steady on 6%. Movements on leaders’ ratings are milder, with Anthony Albanese actually recording a marginal improvement in his lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister, from 46-36 to 46-35. Albanese is down two on approval to 40% and up one on disapproval to 53%, with Peter Dutton unchanged at 37% and 50%. The poll was presumably conducted from Monday to Friday, from a sample of 1216.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

816 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50 (open thread)”

Comments Page 17 of 17
1 16 17
  1. Australia was built on migrancy. Its laughable that most Aussies have European or UK heritage but some now treat others doing it now as some type of danger to the country.

  2. Tricot @ #792 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 8:57 pm


    C@T Momma is a passionate Labor supporter willing to take on all comers. You, on the other ha hand, are just one of many who just float by this place, throw in a passing derogatory comment and are long gone.
    Very few would miss you here and few would care what you think .
    You should follow your own advice. Either come into the hurly-burly or do as you suggest, but apply to yourself – maybe get lost?

  3. paul A @ #782 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 8:18 pm

    Tuesday, November 28, 2023 at 4:15 pm
    Leroy @ #672 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 4:04 pm

    Scroll down the Roy Morgan front page, there is new fed poll… blah blah blah
    nadia88 didn’t confidently predict this one.
    The point you’re making is what c@tmomma, you stupid idiot?

    All that poster said was the ALP primary may drop below 30% in lieu of the last fortnights debacle. That happened on the Morgan poll last week, and the latest Newspoll also showed an ALP primary drop although I think the poster said it would drop to around 33%, but was even lower. She even jumped online last night to “wear it’.
    She has never denigrated you or tried to put you down. Who the hell do you think you are? Do you think you’re special or something? You attack Lars & others as well, like what you type is somehow important.

    When you were removed from PB last week, it was a relief not to have to read any of your stupid posts, clearly written by someone who has the brain the size of a cats paw. Hopefully you can be removed from the site again. In the meantime, I’ll use the scroll bar to avoid your rubbish.

    Do us all a favour and go away … pls

    You have my sympathy, paul A. Would you like a pillow to punch so you can take out your animus against me? 🙂

  4. Philip Seymour Hoffman @ #759 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 6:37 pm

    Good on ya Irene, at least there’s one person in here who is capable of independent thought outside party lines. To me partisan thinking is akin to being extremely religious – incapable of independent thought.

    Read MacroBusiness and check out Sustainable Australia Party if you’re interested in challenging yourself, though I doubt C@t, Andrew_Earlwood can bring themselves to…

    Life’s too short. 😐

  5. rex at 3.52 pm, meher baba at 4.21 and 4.51 pm, + A_E on Mon at 11.26 pm

    Rex, not all the released detainees would be locked up under a preventative detention regime. Only those who could reasonably (due to their particular offences and lack of rehabilitation etc) be judged on a case by case basis to pose a threat to the community.

    Meher you claimed, first, that the “practical purpose of [indefinite] detention” was “not to punish these unlawful migrants for past wrongs, but to protect the Australian people from acts they might commit in the future, and to continue to protect us until the unlawful migrants can be expelled from the country”. No, the only legitimate purpose was to hold those detainees pending deportation. Once deportation became unrealistic, the purpose ceased to have any reasonable legal basis in reality.

    Then you praised “the always sensible and down to earth Justice McHugh”. Well, it is McHugh J that all 7 current HC judges rebuked with their reasons, claiming that his view in al-Kateb (note that he was the deciding judge in that case, since he went with Hayne J and the two far-right judges, Callinan and Heydon, against both Gleeson CJ and Gummow J) was simply “inaccurate and incomplete”.

    Why did McHugh J not agree with Gleeson and Gummow? Partly because he could not bring himself to agree with the progressive interpretation of international human rights law developed by Kirby J.

    Edelman J in a separate part of the reasons in the current case (para 54) even quoted McHugh J against himself, to show the latter’s inconsistency, and to highlight the contradiction between the majority view in al-Kateb and the HC reasoning in the Lim case.

    Anybody who could “see why the Government officials were not expecting a verdict like this one”, as you said Meher, did not know their legal cases. The majority decision in al-Kateb was appalling, as David Marr pointed out in an article in the SMH at the time, before it descended into irrelevance.

    Note that it was only the constitutional part of the majority view in al-Kateb, i.e. the part pretending that non-judicial detention is really not detention at all, that was over-ruled 7-0. The statutory construction part of the majority view in al-Kateb was reaffirmed.

    Both Justices Gummow and Kirby will be pleased that McHugh’s incompleteness has been exposed.

    There is a little irony, as an aside. Essentially, the McHugh view in al-Kateb was a nominalist one, based on an Alice-in-Wonderland assumption that words mean whatever I say they mean, the usual usage notwithstanding. So punitive detention in fact is regarded as non punitive detention in law etc.

    Earlier that year (2004) McHugh had revealed to Kirby his dismay at being called a nominalist. Kirby used the interaction as the basis for an entertaining speech in April 2004. It’s worth reading the intro.

    See: or: (journal version)

  6. “Jim Chalmers and Katy Gallagher will this week hold talks with jittery Labor backbenchers about the government’s approach to the cost-of-living crisis ahead of the mid-year budget update, due to be released within weeks”
    Smart move by Chalmers keeping the jittery backbenchers in the loop.
    He will need them down the track.

  7. Steve

    It is indeed a scandal. Online comments suggest a rental in that area is worth about $2500 a week, so Seven’s gift to Bruce is worth around $120,000 over a year.

    Hard to square that with “not being paid”.

  8. Kirsdarke @ 9.32pm
    To that list of voracious water wasters could be added the almond plantations which are infesting the MIA region.
    Almonds, Cotton & Rice (wet water cultivation) should be abolished for the extreme, negative affects which they impose upon the Murray-Darling Basin.

  9. “ The Australian also published further results yesterday from the recent Newspoll showing only 16% consider themselves better off than they were two years ago, compared with 50% for worse off. The 18-to-34 cohort offered the most favourable response, with 29% for better off and 37% for worse off.”

Comments Page 17 of 17
1 16 17

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *