The Australian reports the latest Newspoll offers further evidence of an end to Labor’s period of federal polling dominance, recording a dead heat on two-party preferred, in from 52-48 in Labor’s favour three weeks ago. Labor has slumped by four points on the primary vote to 31%, with the Coalition up a point to 38%, the Greens up one to 13% and One Nation steady on 6%. Movements on leaders’ ratings are milder, with Anthony Albanese actually recording a marginal improvement in his lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister, from 46-36 to 46-35. Albanese is down two on approval to 40% and up one on disapproval to 53%, with Peter Dutton unchanged at 37% and 50%. The poll was presumably conducted from Monday to Friday, from a sample of 1216.
Newspoll: 50-50 (open thread)
Newspoll becomes the second pollster after Roy Morgan to record a disappearance in the lead Labor had enjoyed since the May 2022 election.
Lars Von Trier @ #796 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 9:28 pm
That’s how the Coalition governed for almost a decade. Spraying money around like colour-coded confetti. It won them elections too. As you would probably know already. 😐
Australia was built on migrancy. Its laughable that most Aussies have European or UK heritage but some now treat others doing it now as some type of danger to the country.
Tricot @ #792 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 8:57 pm
Media other than Seven is starting to report more on Lehrmann’s lies. He said that he was not paid for his interview. We now know seven paid for Lehrmann’s rent for a year.
The rent was on a three bedroom pad on the Northern Beaches!
https://www.smh.com.au/cbd/seven-pays-for-bruce-lehrmann-s-harbour-views-20231128-p5enhv.html
Socrates
Its a scandal really that exposes media bosses for what they are.
paul A @ #782 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 8:18 pm
You have my sympathy, paul A. Would you like a pillow to punch so you can take out your animus against me? 🙂
Philip Seymour Hoffman @ #759 Tuesday, November 28th, 2023 – 6:37 pm
Life’s too short. 😐
rex at 3.52 pm, meher baba at 4.21 and 4.51 pm, + A_E on Mon at 11.26 pm
Rex, not all the released detainees would be locked up under a preventative detention regime. Only those who could reasonably (due to their particular offences and lack of rehabilitation etc) be judged on a case by case basis to pose a threat to the community.
Meher you claimed, first, that the “practical purpose of [indefinite] detention” was “not to punish these unlawful migrants for past wrongs, but to protect the Australian people from acts they might commit in the future, and to continue to protect us until the unlawful migrants can be expelled from the country”. No, the only legitimate purpose was to hold those detainees pending deportation. Once deportation became unrealistic, the purpose ceased to have any reasonable legal basis in reality.
Then you praised “the always sensible and down to earth Justice McHugh”. Well, it is McHugh J that all 7 current HC judges rebuked with their reasons, claiming that his view in al-Kateb (note that he was the deciding judge in that case, since he went with Hayne J and the two far-right judges, Callinan and Heydon, against both Gleeson CJ and Gummow J) was simply “inaccurate and incomplete”.
Why did McHugh J not agree with Gleeson and Gummow? Partly because he could not bring himself to agree with the progressive interpretation of international human rights law developed by Kirby J.
Edelman J in a separate part of the reasons in the current case (para 54) even quoted McHugh J against himself, to show the latter’s inconsistency, and to highlight the contradiction between the majority view in al-Kateb and the HC reasoning in the Lim case.
Anybody who could “see why the Government officials were not expecting a verdict like this one”, as you said Meher, did not know their legal cases. The majority decision in al-Kateb was appalling, as David Marr pointed out in an article in the SMH at the time, before it descended into irrelevance.
Note that it was only the constitutional part of the majority view in al-Kateb, i.e. the part pretending that non-judicial detention is really not detention at all, that was over-ruled 7-0. The statutory construction part of the majority view in al-Kateb was reaffirmed.
Both Justices Gummow and Kirby will be pleased that McHugh’s incompleteness has been exposed.
There is a little irony, as an aside. Essentially, the McHugh view in al-Kateb was a nominalist one, based on an Alice-in-Wonderland assumption that words mean whatever I say they mean, the usual usage notwithstanding. So punitive detention in fact is regarded as non punitive detention in law etc.
Earlier that year (2004) McHugh had revealed to Kirby his dismay at being called a nominalist. Kirby used the interaction as the basis for an entertaining speech in April 2004. It’s worth reading the intro.
See:
https://www.hcourt.gov.au/assets/publications/speeches/former-justices/kirbyj/kirbyj_30apr04.html or:
http://classic.austlii.edu.au/au/journals/DeakinLawRw/2004/24.html (journal version)
“Jim Chalmers and Katy Gallagher will this week hold talks with jittery Labor backbenchers about the government’s approach to the cost-of-living crisis ahead of the mid-year budget update, due to be released within weeks”
_____________________
Smart move by Chalmers keeping the jittery backbenchers in the loop.
He will need them down the track.
Steve
It is indeed a scandal. Online comments suggest a rental in that area is worth about $2500 a week, so Seven’s gift to Bruce is worth around $120,000 over a year.
Hard to square that with “not being paid”.
Derivative of Everage, with a bit of Gunston thrown in, Martin Short (alias “Jiminy Glick”) proves a sycophant he ain’t:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwRg5PiovHQ
The Art of the No Deal?
Georgia prosecutors oppose plea deals for Trump, Meadows and Giuliani
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/28/trump-trial-georgia-no-plea-deal
Maybe FNQ can send down some rats to sort out Snowy 2.0?
Indian ‘rat miner’ rescuers reach 41 men trapped in tunnel
New thread.
Kirsdarke @ 9.32pm
To that list of voracious water wasters could be added the almond plantations which are infesting the MIA region.
Almonds, Cotton & Rice (wet water cultivation) should be abolished for the extreme, negative affects which they impose upon the Murray-Darling Basin.
“ The Australian also published further results yesterday from the recent Newspoll showing only 16% consider themselves better off than they were two years ago, compared with 50% for worse off. The 18-to-34 cohort offered the most favourable response, with 29% for better off and 37% for worse off.”