Resolve Strategic: Labor 41, Coalition 32, Greens 10 in NSW

The Minns government still dominant in the second poll since its election, though a little less so than in the first; and Gladys Berejiklian seemingly acquitted in the court of public opinion.

The Sydney Morning Herald had poll results from Resolve Strategic on state voting intention in New South Wales on Friday, which escaped my notice at the time. The poll had Labor on 41% of the primary vote, down three from May, with the Coalition up one to 32% and the Greens up one to 10%. This would come out at about 58-42 in Labor’s favour based on preference flows at the election, at which the primary votes were Labor 37.0%, Coalition 35.4% and Greens 9.7% and the two-party preferred 54.3-45.7. The results combine the New South Wales responses from pollster’s last two monthly national surveys, with a sample of 1012.

Also featured were questions on Gladys Berejiklian that found most of her teflon coating intact, with 51% saying they still liked and respected her while 25% did not (those who never did in the first place presumably being obliged to favour the latter response). Thirty-three per cent agreed that ICAC had “eroded any positive views I held” compared with 42% disagreeing, while 40% agreed Berejiklian should not have resigned as Premier based on what came out of ICAC, with 34% disagreeing. These results are based only on the most recent survey period, from Wednesday to Saturday last week, with a sample of 556.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

13 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Labor 41, Coalition 32, Greens 10 in NSW”

  1. Honeymoon period over for Minns? Not that he’s done anything much to offend anyone, except the means testing of the various vouchers for families(sporting costs etc) that the previous government brought in.
    The Liberal criticism of Morris Iemma being appointed head of Events NSW went nowhere after it was subsequently supported by Mike Baird and Alan Jones, hardly friends of Labor usually.
    Chris Minns also is regularly on Ben Fordham’s 2GB breakfast program, not exactly pro Labor territory either, and he also has a regular slot with Kyle and Jackie O on FM radio.
    Mark Speakman is still relatively anonymous to the general public.

  2. The opinion regarding Berejiklian is interesting. Obviously there is a fair bit of tolerance in the community towards bent politicians.

  3. Gladbags is still hated in Queensland for her unwarranted constant attacks on our Labor Premier
    Annastacia Palaszczuk during COVID.
    Doesn’t matter what the polls say, the ICAC inquiry found her CORRUPT.
    ICAC is the only poll that matters.
    Gladbags will always be remembered as one of the 3 Liberal premiers that had to resign
    due to ICAC inquiries in NSW.

  4. Minns seems to be doing a good job, and the polls reflect it. This is a nothing-to-see-here result.

    Not surprised about Berejiklian. ICAC did itself no favours by taking so long to deliver a public report, which meant that most people had already made up their minds prior, and didn’t come out with any findings dramatic enough to shift people’s established opinions.

  5. ‘40% agreed Berejiklian should not have resigned as Premier based on what came out of ICAC, with 34% disagreeing.’

    ‘Serious corruption’ is no barrier to retaining the top office in the Rum Corps state, eh?

  6. It’s “interesting” to compare and contrast the treatment of Gladys Berejiklian and Julia Gillard in the media. In Ms Gillard’s case, the Opposition and mainstream media raked over home renovations fifteen years prior and before she entered Parliament, in an attempt to establish guilt by association with certain dodgy characters. In the former, where Ms Berejiklian had a relationship while Premier with a politician who was involved in some potentially corrupt dealings about which she knew or should have enquired after She was allowed a free pass as a wronged saint.

  7. Gillard v Berejiklian is an amazing juxtaposition.

    Julia ‘lied’ if you failed to listen to the second half of the sentence for which she was pilloried. Gillard was told she should be put in a chaff bag, thrown in the ocean and that her father died of shame -the day after he passed! The then leader of the then Nopesition stood in front of a sign that said “Ditch the Witch”. Her lack of a marriage and children were derided.

    Gladys was phone tapped telling dodgy Darrel: “I don’t need to know about that.” And yet she was and remains “the woman who saved Australia.” Her virtue was never questioned.

    The Libs and the MSM love their own women, but aren’t so keen on any other wenches.

    Gladys was right to resign.

    We are a deplorable lot – and we are about to condemn ourselves as racists to the rest of the world. Sad, as the Orange proto-fascist would say.

  8. Never mind what the polls said or are saying, everyone knows Gladbags is a sinner, not a saint.
    Some pollsters could come up with the numbers to canonize Charles Manson, if worded correctly.

  9. MABWM: ‘And yet she was and remains “the woman who saved Australia.”’

    Post ICAC, she’s ‘the woman who shamed Australia’.

  10. Whether people like it or not, the average punter thinks that ‘serious corruption’ involves deriving a personal financial benefit, the type that found a handful of ALP members from the previous government in prison.

    Leaving aside the means testing of Active Kids for the middle class, cutting $50 for those least able to afford putting their kids in sport while on the other hand giving $16m to the UFC, an organisation run by a guy who was videod physically assaulting his wife, is an absolute disgrace.

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