Essential Research has opened its account for the year with a poll that include its monthly-or-so leadership ratings, which record only slight changes on the end of last year: Scott Morrison is down a point on approval to 61% and up two on disapproval to 30%, Anthony Albanese is down one to 42% and up four to 33%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister goes from 50-24 to 51-25.
The survey also posed some semi-regular questions on climate change, finding a striking increase in the view that Australia is doing enough to address it (from 19% a year ago to 35%) and a corresponding decline in the view that not enough is being done (from 62% to 42%), with the “doing too much ” response up two to 10%. Despite this, 58% of respondents believed climate change related to human activity (up two on a year ago) against 32% who considered it part of normal climactic fluctuation (steady).
The other questions in the survey for the most part aren’t particularly political, relating to COVID-19 vaccine uptake and Australia Day. The change to the words of the national anthem finds 54% support and 16% opposition, with 30% on the fence.
In other poll news, The Australian yesterday related that polling conducted by Community Engagement for the CFMEU suggested Labor was in big trouble in the Hunter region seats of Paterson (Liberal up from 32.5% to 42.9%, Labor down from 41.1% to 30%, Greens down from 6.9% to 6.8%, and One Nation down from 14.2% to 6.9%, Nationals on 1.8%) and Shortland (Liberal up from 37.4% to 44.9%, Labor down from 41.1% to 28.3%, Greens down from 8.3% to 6.2%, One Nation on 8% and Nationals on 1.3%). The polls were conducted in November from samples of 955 per electorate. Given the evident interest of the client of putting pressure on the opposition leadership over coal mining, and all the other qualifications that apply to reports of private polling, a degree of caution is advised.
zoomster @ #2000 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:13 pm
And the election could be in August.
Good plan!
Let’s face it: Labor have entirely wasted a year. Because Albo 🙁
Player Onesays:
Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 6:05 pm
frednk @ #1995 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:01 pm
As you claim to be interested in policy but seem to lack the skill set to find them.
Here is the 2020 platform that has gone out for members to discuss.
https://www.alp.org.au/media/2200/2020-alp-national-platform-consultation-draft.pdf
And here are the links on the page to specific policy.
https://www.alp.org.au/policies/australian_cdc
https://www.alp.org.au/policies/social_housing_repair
https://www.alp.org.au/policies/rewiring_the_nation
https://www.alp.org.au/policies/made_in_australia
https://www.alp.org.au/policies/women_economic_recovery
Do you think Labor will adopt the 2020 draft? When? Perhaps by 2022?
Oh, and I have another postage stamp ready, if you have any more policy details.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
I have read those links and see nothing in them with which to disagree.
What is it you don’t like Player? I think rebuilding social housing, making child care affordable and promoting renewable energy are all excellent policies.
One thing I would Labor to promote more strongly is action on climate change. They should set interim emissions targets now and if need be, slap down fossil fools such as Joel Fitzgibbon and make clear that coal will only be used for metallurgical purposes or strictly as a transition fuel.
But overall, I see Labor’s platform as progressive and it should be welcomed by all who adhere to a left perspective.
Lots of vaccine orders, no vaccine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TjjA-8JXzYI
Andrew_Earlwood @ #1992 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 5:56 pm
With no idea what the issues that will be on voters’ minds at the sharp end of an Election.
Four bushfires in the Adelaide Hills including a huge one at Cherry Gardens with the smoke clearly visible from the Adelaide Plains. Others at Ironbank, Strathalbyn and Finniss.
frednk @ #2003 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 3:16 pm
Yeah, how hard can it be to make 7.8 billion doses?
P1
No, I’ve explained the process to you before, and – rightly or wrongly – it’s what Labor’s sticking to.
But really, this is a no win situation.
I’ve seen posts (on twitter, perhaps) canning Labor by contrasting policy statements released during the last year with what was happening with COVID at the time, and basically saying that Labor should have been concentrating on COVID rather than bringing up other issues…
And then, of course, there’s the other no-win situation where policy is put out without consultation with the wider party (and community) and people complain that experts weren’t consulted, the membership had no say, why didn’t Labor listen to people on the ground, etc.
Basically, whatever Labor does, it gets canned, whereas the Coalition can balls up all they like and get a free pass.
Much of the discussion about Albo and whether Labor really has any vision reminds me of some of the attacks on Julia Gillard’s prime ministership.
“Where’s her vision?” I was plaintively asked during an argument.
I mentioned the NBN, the Gonski funding model for education, the NDIS and, I think, the plain cigarette packaging legislation.
”But where’s her vision?” I was asked again.
Something told me they were just determined to believe Julia Gillard had none.
Sir Henry Parkes @ #2002 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:15 pm
I don’t disagree with them. How could you? There is very little in them to either agree or disagree with. They are hardly substantive policies. They are, in fact, just fiddling at the edges, when you have no idea what to actually do. Even their “rewiring the nation” policy is not actually about renewables, although it has the word in it six times. It is about upgrading the transmission network. Labor doesn’t yet have a policy on renewables. But their draft platform certainly has a policy preference – one in favor of fracking and gas. That’s going to go down a treat when more people become aware of it.
I am of the left. But I wonder whether Labor is any longer.
Greensborough Growler @ #2004 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:16 pm
What will be on voters minds is whatever you put on their minds.
The COALition knows this. Labor apparently doesn’t.
zoomster @ #2007 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:20 pm
Really, I sympathize with Labor’s plight here.
But Albo’s response of doing nothing at all was the worst possible choice 🙁
This is easily the best (if you are Australian).
Adelaide Hills fire.
P1
As I pointed out, he did make announcements and was canned for them being inappropriate given the circumstances (why was he talking about X when this corona virus thing was happening?? was the meme).
Despite what they claim, Morrison and Frydenberg have a very good reason to feel extremely nervous that Google and Facebook will pull the plug on their Australian operations.
Both are prospering despite being banned in China which has around 40 times Australia’s population.
The government will have an “interesting” job explaining to the Australian people and businesses why they must suffer in order to subsidise Murdoch, Costello and Stokes. They will also need to explain the massive disruption to trade, education, health and every other sector of the economy that would ensue. Post Covid economic growth -forget it.
And of course if Labor releases policy it takes away any focus on the Government’s record and achievements.
BK or Simon Katich if you are around
Is the fire anywhere near the Hearing Dog Centre at Verdun
Player One says:
Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 6:26 pm
..
It is about upgrading the transmission network. Labor doesn’t yet have a policy on renewables. But their draft platform certainly has a policy preference..
..
Australia desperately needs a commitment to the transmission network. It needs to be restructured, it was built to distribute power from coal fired stations not collect energy from diverse generation.
Further, electric cars are coming, that is going to increase the pressure on the electrical network, the time to start dealing with it, is now.
It is a good policy.
citizen @ #2015 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:34 pm
It’s an ambit claim
Read up on how to negotiate. There are a million books on the matter
Google classroom has been one of the main tools used for teaching during lockdowns.
Various Education Departments have paid a motza for the rights.
They won’t be happy if the platforms are suddenly unavailable.
frednk @ #2018 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:47 pm
It may well be. It is also the policy you have when you have no idea what policy to have.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/01/20/essential-research/comment-page-41/#comment-3546454
Thanks for that, quite an interesting list, what’s their position on campaign finance reform, a federal ICAC/ CIC, useful FoI, mandatory and binding referendums for stuff not in published election platforms (even ADF adventures outside Australia’s economic zone, dropping the colonial Union Jack from the flag …
The how matters as much as the what.
laughtong
The Hearing Dog Centre is not all under threat.
VCT
Both the Fed ICAC and campaign funding reform are old Labor policies, so they’ll most likely simply be rolled over.
Note that Labor has abided by the rules of their proposed funding reforms for some years now, unlike the other parties.
First someone cannot find Labor policies, over and over again, despite the links being provided several times over the past couple of months. Then the said person cannot see anything to agree or disagree with in the said policies.
At least they aren’t talking about gas again 🙂
Player One says:
Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 6:57 pm
frednk @ #2018 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 6:47 pm
It is a good policy.
It may well be. It is also the policy you have when you have no idea what policy to have.
Shakes heads and walks away,you cannot discuss policy with someone who has turn ignorance into a religion.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/01/20/essential-research/comment-page-41/#comment-3546472
The only explanation that makes any sense for the LyingN(C)P to pick fights with Fxyzbook or Google, Silicon Valley merchant kings, would be to curry favour with old commercial media? Then again much/ most advertising seems to be online.
Murdoch Infotainment/ Nine, Seven, CBS/ 10, especially … though I note even SBS online has ads.
Can’t imagine it is about arts, content, journos.
Health and home care, ignore the RC, blame aged care on VIC.
Technology, tbd.
Tourism, casuals, tbd.
Sports, open borders.
Financial services, ignore the RC, Wuflu normal’s not the time …
Resources, stranded assets relief etc.
Agriculture, subject to resources, anything they want?
VCT Et3e says:
Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 6:57 pm
…
The how matters as much as the what.
Agreed. But the how does require the resources of government to tie down.
Thanks BK
https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/01/20/essential-research/comment-page-41/#comment-3546473
The threat is only the search engine and a few related products free to the public to use. Not classroom, meets, Gmail, Gsuit, their add services, etc. Many of them are or involve paid services with contracts and are thus harder and significantly more expensive to shut down. It is the most easily replaced parts that are under threat, so the threat is actually weak and not without risk to Google of the replacement sticking even if Google comes back.
Just as a general question, have any elected governments changed hands during the pandemic? Besides the US presidency and Senate of course. I mostly read of election delays and the few elections that I know of internationally have returned the ruling party.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/01/20/essential-research/comment-page-41/#comment-3546477
Thank you, I guess they won’t be as attractive as more urgent ones, nice to see they are recognised as important, given all the (sp)rorts etc. (Let’s see where Australia goes next on the Corruptions Perceptions Index, certainly know where it has gone on UN’s iHDI.)
Though all the sensible stuff, policies and messaging will only go so far, what and why to pick them.
How the fed gov has operated under $houty, Fizza and Tonicchio, the how should feature akin to WorkChoices.
I also think they need to go after an inept ‘PM’ and his ineligible Scheisse ‘Treasurer’ as the Wharf Revue put it on the ABC today, all photo-op no follow up etc, Robodebt, TDJT lite, all fake news whilst the pandemic is raging (off with the fairies), fires/ flooding/ extreme weather …, inability to do anything that doesn’t benefit the 1% (social housing comes to mind, growing inequity, inequality but $houty’s wife seems to need a paid companion, WTF), CHYNA, given the pattern of snoozing, skiving off and then bumbling and stumbling.
Negative campaigning will be required …
P1 thinks Labor is in government.
lizzie @ #1545 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 4:38 pm
Get the left arm to cover the gut. That’s it! 😐
The $64 question is this.
Background.
Australia has been conducting freedom of navigation exercises in the South China Sea. The premise of these is that under international law the relevant seas are open to all. The relevant bits of law are based on law of the sea as generally understood by all civilized states and (b) the finding of some international court or other that Xi’s conquests are of islands for which there are legitimate claims by other states. Australia has a legitimate interest in freedom of navigation by way of being an international citizen and also by way of key trade routes in the vicinity.
Xi has now ordered his military to shoot at vessels infringing on his conquests. Simple as that.
(1) Will Morrison make a public announcement repudiating the international legal grounds for Xi’s bellicosity?
(2) Will Australia conduct a freedom of navigation exercise in Xi’s zone of bellicosity any time soon?
(3) Will the US, Japan and Australia send a combined freedom of navigation exercise through Xi’s conquests some time in the next couple of months?
(4) Will the far left in Australia do a reprise of their supine efforts in relation to Stalin and de facto back Xi? Will the far left come to its senses, decry Xi’s flouting of international law, decry Xi’s flouting of multilateralism and decry Xi’s bellicosity?
(5) Will the Greens emphasis on disarmament and on peace studies be finally what causes Xi to behave like a reasonable dictator*?
Or will the far left STFU on these existential issues for Australia’s future while they set about politically disembowelling yet another Labor leader?
*I know, I know. It is the sort of premise that Morrison might just be reasonably reject.
frednk @ #1627 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 7:01 pm
Deliberately and knowingly.
Just another troll.
BBC had a piece yesterday on Google, including this:
Coalition vision of Australia 2100: a sort of Southern Hemisphere variant of Amish Country in Pennsylvania with its horses and buggies, lack of telephone and computers, etc, except in our case it will be the World’s last coal mines, the last functioning coal-powered power stations and the world’s last newspapers.
Taylormade:
Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 3:34 pm
[‘Shark in Port Macdonnell earlier in the week which killed a Warrnambool man, now a big one just spotted out from the main beach at Kingston.’]
There should be an immediate cull.
In news that will surprise few, ABC TV tonight re-announced ScoMo’s vaccine for the umpteenth time.
It seems it’s just about to rolled out.
To a select few? To the masses? Emergency workers? Pfizer? Astra-Zeneca? Johnson & Johnson? Somebody else’s magic potion?
Seems there are enough variations on The Announcement out there for everybody to have one to remember for themselves, as their own private pathway out of the COVID-19 nightmare.
Marketing 101: “Everybody wins a prize”.
A decent Liberal.
https://www.russellbroadbent.com.au/2021/01/21/just-as-i-see-it-uluru-statement-from-the-heart/
Steve777
Your suggestion that the Liberals have a vision for Australia is an interesting one. I think it’s one they cannot admit to!
Lizzie @ #2042 Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 4:41 pm
When expressed it seems to contain some longing for the past.
Our Mordor Master, who art in USA, Rupert be thy name.
Money be thy game and give LNP good spin.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2021/jan/24/inevitable-google-and-facebook-will-pay-for-australian-news-treasurer-says
It’s all about keeping The Murdoch, and to a lesser extent Channels 7 and 9, happy and on side.
Test
The ABC apparently will now officially call Jan 26 – Invasion Day.
Seems like they are slow learners – wonder how big this year’s budget cut will be for the ABC?
Still with cricket gooorne – only a matter of time until a new national day date is required.
Success, I think.
boerwar:
Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 7:34 pm
[‘A decent Liberal.’]
You’re far too kind, cobber. There’s nothing decent, kind about a Tory. My stones, he’s older than, in political terms, Methuselah – you’re far too forgiving, easily swayed. And it’s little wonder that he’s attempting to correct the record in his dotage.
sleazy dirty c@t
Mavis
A bit harsh.