Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention

Essential Research finds public support for governments’ handling of coronavirus not quite what it was, while Roy Morgan records the Coalition moving into a commanding lead.

As reported by The Guardian, the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll finds approval of Scott Morrison’s handling of COVID-19 at 61%, which is off from a high of 72% in June. Approval ratings for state governments in New South Wales as well as Victoria are also trending gently downwards, with both having lost two points in the past fortnight, leaving them at 59% and 47% respectively. The Western Australian government continues to lead the field on 84%, though this too is down two on last time, with due regard to the very small sample size.

The poll also suggests Australians are unsentimental about civil liberties in the face of COVID-19, with 65% favouring closing the border to all foreign travellers and 52% supporting dedicated quarantine facilities for convalescents. Concerning outbreaks at aged care clinics, 42% blamed the providers, 30% the federal goverment and 28% state governments, and 70% believed the situation had been aggravated by long-term under-funding. The poll also gauged support for taxpayers to underwrite new gas infrastructure at 27% for, 27% against and 32% for neither. The poll was conducted from 1068 respondents from Thursday to Sunday; the pollster will publish its full report will be published later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. It should be noted that the 61% approval rating for handling of COVID-19 related to “the government” rather than Scott Morrison.

We also had on Friday one of the occasional Roy Morgan polls on federal voting intention, which finds the Coalition lead out to 54-46 from 51.5-48.5 when the last such poll was published in mid-July. The Coalition is up 2.5% on the primary vote to 46%, with Labor down one to 32.5%, the Greens steady on 11% and One Nation up half a point to 3%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends by phone and online interviewing from a sample of 2841.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,705 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention”

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  4. Lars Von Trier @ #1652 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 8:11 pm

    What effect did nath have on you c@t?

    I think it’s always good to let ur feelings out.

    Go back and find out yourself. It was via his sock puppet. Though as ‘nath’ he was really rude to me too. Though you probably thought it was all good fun and a jolly jape.

    Oh, and you’re not my father confessor either. I’d really rather put the whole incident behind me, thank you.

    Suffice to say, this blog improved 100% since he hasn’t been a major presence. And I’m not just talking selfishly.

    So, that is the last time I ever want to discuss the grub.

  6. Lars:

    [‘What effect did nath have on you c@t?

    I think it’s always good to let ur feelings out.’]

    Well, it could not be said about you: you’re not provocative?

  7. C@t You and nath were getting on really well I thought? What happened ?

    note : it’s ok too if you don’t want to talk about your feelings for nath.

  8. Remember that Trump has been defunding FEMA to fund his stupid border wall, so this disaster is likely to be an even greater disaster than it would otherwise be if resources were available through emergency agencies.

    Hurricane Laura slammed ashore in southwestern coastal Louisiana early Thursday with a ferocity that this region has never previously endured. The storm made landfall at 1 a.m. near Cameron, La. about 35 miles east of the Texas border

    The storm, which leaped from a Category 1 on Tuesday to a high-end Category 4 Wednesday night, packed 150 mph peak winds when it crossed the coast.

    Laura struck near high tide and is predicted to inundate coastal areas of western Louisiana to the Texas border in up to 15 to 20 feet of water, perhaps the largest storm surge in the Gulf of Mexico since Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/08/26/hurricane-laura-updates-texas-louisiana/?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-high_lufbanner-6a%3Ahomepage%2Fstory-ans

  9. Just did YouGov/Newspoll

    Normal questions, plus ones on ‘do you agree with state border closures’ and some leader attributes.

    I strongly agreed that Morrison was arrogant.

  12. Lars Von Trier @ #1660 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 8:22 pm

    Let’s leave c@t be Mavis she’s obviously upset.

    What shall we talk about ? The QLD election ?

    You just can’t help yourself, can you? You don’t give a hoot about my feelings, you are continuing to try and humiliate ME. Which is why you choose to rope someone else in, Mavis, who you know won’t complain.

    It’s not going to work, btw. Everyone knows how you roll.

    Ugh, the blog was going along just fine until you and nath turned up.

  13. C@tmomma @ #1659 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 8:22 pm

    Lars Von Trier @ #1656 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 8:21 pm

    C@t You and nath were getting on really well I thought? What happened ?

    note : it’s ok too if you don’t want to talk about your feelings for nath.

    You really are slimy. I don’t have ‘feelings for nath’. Other than contempt.

    You are being targetted by the usual trolls. Stay strong, champ.

    It would be nice if the moderator intervened.

    We pick them off, one at a time.

  14. thanks Bird of paradox, couldn’t quite get my head around it tonight, but i thought there was another, and in manitoba. trust trudeau & the ndp (new democratic party) to start it up & the conservatives to shut it down. -regards, a.v.

  15. From Washington Post (headline):

    Woman who became a citizen on TV did not know she would be part of convention

    Note the carefully chosen selection of six people to unwittingly act as props for trump at the RNC.

  16. I remember what it was like in school. Those were the days.
    The bright students who didn’t really need to try and would find success.
    The less bright who worked hard in order to achieve understanding.
    Others who simply rote learned in order to succeed though never truly understood a subject.
    Some ended up entering parliament.
    Which of the three categories of student would you imagine is more likely to be a right winger?

    Sometimes this blog reminds me of the debates at school where those with the weaker arguments resorted to pettiness in the hope of winning.
    This is partly the reason I don’t post more often. I don’t think I’m alone in that view, perhaps I am. Sorry this post is not as informative or insightful as some of the regulars here. Just an observation of the nature of this blog sometimes – I think it’s a shame.

  18. And in the middle of a pandemic no less.

    Molly Jong-Fast@MollyJongFast
    ·
    8h
    Imagine how badly Trump is going to mishandle this hurricane

  20. Lars Von Trier:

    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 8:22 pm

    [‘What shall we talk about ? The QLD election ?’]

    Yes, we should, not by the process, more a case of keeping the Mexicans from sneaking in. Anna, I think, is on a roll.

  24. Bucephalus:

    E. G. Theodore says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 6:25 pm

    You guys are unbelievable. You lap up all the misinformation you possibly can. He isn’t being made President or Co-President or Vice President. He will be just one of a number of advisers on the board.

    “The Australian” had (and still has) a headline:

    “Tony Abbott Appointed president of UK Board of Trade”

    Likewise the Telegraph (of London) has:

    “Mr Abbott will be joint president of Board of Trade”

    I was skeptical – hence why I said “IF Mr Abbott …”

    I’m guessing you regard “The Australian” and the Telegraph as wholly unreliable sources of information.

  25. Looks like Pence has a 34 flagger (17 on each side) for his RNC address from Fort McHenry.

    Isn’t 34 states (>= 2/3) the number of states one needs to call a constitutional convention, so as to abolish the current constitution and replace it with a picture of Donald Trump!

  32. To see a Fed Labor Party so craven and muzzled as they lie back and watch the authoritarian Home Affairs and Foreign Affairs remove individual freedoms and State Govt sovereignty so ferociously is appalling to watch.
    Dictator Morrison has a frightening level of power.

  33. Greensborough Growler:

    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 8:29 pm

    BS. She gives and she takes – that’s the price you pay for being outspoken. And stop the ingratiation!

  35. Rex
    You do realise there are state labor backbenchers saying Morrison has done them a huge favour.
    Not happy with the Belt and Road but don’t have the guts to stand up to Dictator Andrews.

  37. Taylormade:

    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 9:34 pm

    [‘Looks like Richmond is on track for a 3rd flag in 4 years.
    Not sure there is anyone who can beat them.’]

    Sure does.

  43. Christ, get a sense of perspective, Rex. Right or wrong, the feds have been overriding the states on all matter of things for a long time. Either this is a situation where the PM has the authority to veto the state government, or it isnt. If it isn’t, the Victorian government can (and almost certainly will) take it up with the high court.

  44. Asha Leu @ #1692 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 10:02 pm

    Christ, get a sense of perspective, Rex. Right or wrong, the feds have been overriding the states on all matter of things for a long time. Either this is a situation where the PM has the authority to veto the state government, or it isnt. If it isn’t, the Victorian government can (and almost certainly will) take it up with the high court.

    My perspective is very clear,

    Labor has sat back and watched Dictator Morrison build a frighteningly powerful position.

  45. Taylormade @ #1684 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 9:39 pm

    Rex
    You do realise there are state labor backbenchers saying Morrison has done them a huge favour.
    Not happy with the Belt and Road but don’t have the guts to stand up to Dictator Andrews.

    You may actually find that the Labor Party themselves are grateful in general. Maybe even Dan Andrews himself, though not publicly because there is the fact that the Chinese money that will be taken away from the projects has to be found in a hollow log somewhere else or else the things that were going to be done with the Chinese money can no longer be done.

    They can’t blame Dan Andrews for that, if so.

    I think it’s also interesting to speculate how the Chinese-Australian community is viewing all this.

  46. An Australian living in Japan that I follow for his reviews of audio gear gives his ‘outsider’ observations on covid 19 and Japan.

    I have been living in Japan for a number of years now. A month ago, I thought that things were going to get very bad here, but they didn’t. Here’s my take on why Japan hasn’t been overwhelmed with the virus.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jth07EveGPY

  47. Rex:

    All I’m seeing is legislation giving the federal government power to override certain state agreements with foreign powers. Whether or not that’s a good or bad thing – and I can’t really see a big issue on the face of it – it’s a far cry from Morrison crowning himself President for Life or whatever hysterical rhetoric you’re peddling today.

    The federal government can already override the states on all sorts of things. As can state governments with local governments – hell, it seems they sack local governments every other week. It’s just part and parcel of the intersections of our various levels of government. Again, if the federal government’s overstepping their bounds with this particular legislation, the high court will strike it down.

  48. a covid vaccine will be very difficult to roll out, logistics & supply chains. -a.v.

    https://theconversation.com/approval-of-a-coronavirus-vaccine-would-be-just-the-beginning-huge-production-challenges-could-cause-long-delays-144179

    They obviously weren’t listening when ScoMo said we’d have a vaccine quick-smart, no doubt brokered through the UK’s new Trade Supremo, Tony Abbott, and that Liberal Party fixer guy on-staff at AstraZeneca.

    Such “can do” guys these Libs.

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