Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention

Essential Research finds public support for governments’ handling of coronavirus not quite what it was, while Roy Morgan records the Coalition moving into a commanding lead.

As reported by The Guardian, the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll finds approval of Scott Morrison’s handling of COVID-19 at 61%, which is off from a high of 72% in June. Approval ratings for state governments in New South Wales as well as Victoria are also trending gently downwards, with both having lost two points in the past fortnight, leaving them at 59% and 47% respectively. The Western Australian government continues to lead the field on 84%, though this too is down two on last time, with due regard to the very small sample size.

The poll also suggests Australians are unsentimental about civil liberties in the face of COVID-19, with 65% favouring closing the border to all foreign travellers and 52% supporting dedicated quarantine facilities for convalescents. Concerning outbreaks at aged care clinics, 42% blamed the providers, 30% the federal goverment and 28% state governments, and 70% believed the situation had been aggravated by long-term under-funding. The poll also gauged support for taxpayers to underwrite new gas infrastructure at 27% for, 27% against and 32% for neither. The poll was conducted from 1068 respondents from Thursday to Sunday; the pollster will publish its full report will be published later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. It should be noted that the 61% approval rating for handling of COVID-19 related to “the government” rather than Scott Morrison.

We also had on Friday one of the occasional Roy Morgan polls on federal voting intention, which finds the Coalition lead out to 54-46 from 51.5-48.5 when the last such poll was published in mid-July. The Coalition is up 2.5% on the primary vote to 46%, with Labor down one to 32.5%, the Greens steady on 11% and One Nation up half a point to 3%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends by phone and online interviewing from a sample of 2841.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,705 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention”

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  1. Victoria @ #40 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 8:30 am

    So what you gonna do Scomo?

    Richard Willingham
    @rwillingham
    ·
    17m
    Sukkar uses taxpayer budget to employ friend who also designed smear sheets
    @Ageinvestigates
    Sukkar uses taxpayer budget to employ friend who also designed smear sheets
    Michael Sukkar was a groomsman at graphic designer Matt Pham’s wedding and gave him a taxpayer-funded job while he worked full-time elsewhere.
    theage.com.au

    https://amp.theage.com.au/national/sukkar-uses-taxpayer-budget-to-employ-friend-who-also-designed-smear-sheets-20200824-p55osu.html?__twitter_impression=true

    ‘So what you gonna do Scomo?’

    Whatever he likes.

  2. Sukkar will get a slap on the wrist and Saint Scotty of the Marketing will be trying to find something, most likely Dan Andrews based, to distract everyone with in the hope that it all goes away. All no doubt ably supported by Demon Lord Rupert.

  3. guytaur @ #50 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 6:39 am

    Barney

    Fox News. See Washington Post link.

    The virus has destroyed the model.

    I agree with BB reality is catching up to the LNP.
    Radicalising academics is just one of effects.

    You’re always so full of absolutes, when much doubt exists.

    To make statements like this halfway through the epidemic is asking for trouble.

    Can anyone tell us what the World will be like in 12 months time?

    If reality is catching up, then why are movements like Qanon gaining such a following?

  4. I never supported Dr Finkel’s appointment, but I’m a very small cog in the wheel.

    A group of leading Australian scientists has taken the unusual step of writing to the Chief Scientist, Dr Alan Finkel, saying his support for gas as an energy source “is not consistent with a safe climate”.

    “We are making a definite and profound statement that the advice the Chief Scientist is giving is in opposition to the evidence the Australian scientific community has gathered about the climatic system and the way it is changing,” Professor Will Steffen, the founding director of the Australian National University’s Climate Change Institute, said of the decision to write the letter.

    Professor Steffen said more would have signed the letter but could not as they were employed by government agencies such as the CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

    In the speech Dr Finkel outlined how Australia needed to electrify its energy system to meet Paris climate goals.

    He said that as renewable energy generation, storage and transmission technologies are scaled up to decarbonise the economy, gas would play a “critical role”, and that the transition could take decades.

    The speech, made shortly before the government embraced a gas-led economic recovery from the economic crisis caused by COVID-19, caused concern among elements of the scientific community who see gas as an increasingly destructive global warming agent.

    https://www.theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/australia-s-chief-scientist-is-wrong-on-gas-say-leading-experts-20200824-p55oty.html

  5. Lizzie, there was also a contradiction in what she said. Mick Mac was saying yesterday for people to move to get jobs in the country and today Sports Rorts was saying baristas are not skilled to do at work.

  6. Mundi ‘‘So what you gonna do Scomo?’’

    My guess is that HE will hire another friend on the public payroll to keep Jenny company.

  7. Cheers for Senator Hanson-Young.

    Greens senator Sarah Hanson-Young has described a proposed development of the Australian War Memorial as a soulless monstrosity in response to architects begging federal politicians to reject the plans.

    The AWM’s planned $500 million expansion would massively increase its gallery space, allowing it to mount larger exhibitions on modern conflicts, including Afghanistan and Iraq, and peacekeeping. It controversially involves demolishing the award-winning Anzac Hall, which is less than two decades old.

    The project, announced in late 2018, has come under fire from former directors, historians, and even some veterans.

    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/senator-slams-war-memorial-expansion-as-a-soulless-monstrosity-20200824-p55osy.html

  8. Gee, did some of the cartoonists from the US suddenly wake up to reality or what?

    100%. I honestly feel really sorry for the decent Americans who are stuck in a country with an entrenched two party establishment and no preferential voting. Don’t even get me started on the joke that is the Electoral College system either.

  9. How wacko are the Qanon conspiracy nutters ? I thought this was a parody, a piss take but nope. It was a ‘serious’ post on a RW site .Will not bother linking to site.

    The Vaccine From Hell

    Take the dark-tech of DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency), its civilian counterpart BARDA (Biomedical Advanced Research & Development), the stealth-ness of nanotechnology, the Gates Foundation funded “Quantum Dot Tattoo” aka “mark of the beast,” and combine it with micro-needling as an inoculation platform that is conceived from how snakes inject their venom into their prey, and nanogels that can connect with external technologies outside your body like smart phones, the cloud or other smart devices (5G from satellites), and what do you have? Answer: Moderna’s new RNA vaccine against COVID-19 coronavirus.

  10. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #53 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 8:48 am

    guytaur @ #50 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 6:39 am

    Barney

    Fox News. See Washington Post link.

    The virus has destroyed the model.

    I agree with BB reality is catching up to the LNP.
    Radicalising academics is just one of effects.

    You’re always so full of absolutes, when much doubt exists.

    To make statements like this halfway through the epidemic is asking for trouble.

    Can anyone tell us what the World will be like in 12 months time?

    If reality is catching up, then why are movements like Qanon gaining such a following?

    ‘Can anyone tell us what the World will be like in 12 months time?’
    I can tell you what Australia will be like.
    Scrooter & Co will have recently been re-elected.
    And Labor’s long winter of ‘opposition’ renewed for another three years.

  11. Denise Shrivell
    the UN called out Aust’s ‘astonishing’ anti-democratic slide in early 2018. The only media this attracted was a small article in the Sunshine Coast Daily

  12. In spite of an increase today, Victorian new cases are trending the right way.
    Seven day moving average: today 184, a week ago 307, peak 573 on August 5.

  13. Phillip Lodge
    @phlogga
    ·
    7m
    As I understand it, an extension of the State of Emergency gives power to the Chief Health Officer to Make laws, not the Premier. Not sure that it’s necessary but if this pandemic hangs around like predicted, we are going to have to live with some restrictions or die.

    This is why the media and Libs attacking “Dictator Dan” is not only unfair, but ignorant of laws.

  14. Mundo, you are an absolute and utter total bore. Get a new shtick or get a new hobby because following politics isn’t for you.

    You seem to expect that anything and everything an Opposition says (in your case you only target the Federal ALP) must be the feature story on every page of an 80 page newspaper, and every story on a half hour TV news bulletin and every post on all forms of social media.

    It doesn’t work that way. Oppositions don’t get that sort of media oxygen. Never have, never will.

    As the Oppositions of every state govt are also experiencing but you don’t waste a moment slagging them because that is not your shtick.

    I hate coming here and scrolling through so many utterly pointless posts by you. We get it. We got it the first time, we got it the 1000th time. You just don’t seem to get that it is not the role of any media to give endless coverage to anything and everything an Opposition party says.

    And they do say it. You can find all those things repeated ad-nauseum on the countless ALP social media feeds and media releases.

    Get another shtick or get another hobby. I only come here a few times a day to have a quick, and hopefully enjoyable read, and I reckon I’m not the only one who is well and truly over your repetition.

    Even nath is more readable these days. That good behaviour bond that William has put him on seems to be working.

    Maybe I need a new hobby…

  15. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #46 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 8:36 am

    The radicalising of academia is one of the main things the Liberals have used to justify their dismissal of expert opinion and scientific knowledge.

    Yes, but if they didn’t have that they’d just come up with some other excuse. One ex post facto justification is as good as any other.

    lizzie @ #73 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 9:16 am

    This is why the media and Libs attacking “Dictator Dan” is not only unfair, but ignorant of laws.

    It can be all of that, and politically effective too. 🙁

  16. Gene Miles @ #70 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 9:18 am

    Mundo, you are an absolute and utter total bore. Get a new shtick or get a new hobby because following politics isn’t for you.

    You seem to expect that anything and everything an Opposition says (in your case you only target the Federal ALP) must be the feature story on every page of an 80 page newspaper, and every story on a half hour TV news bulletin and every post on all forms of social media.

    It doesn’t work that way. Oppositions don’t get that sort of media oxygen. Never have, never will.

    As the Oppositions of every state govt are also experiencing but you don’t waste a moment slagging them because that is not your shtick.

    I hate coming here and scrolling through so many utterly pointless posts by you. We get it. We got it the first time, we got it the 1000th time. You just don’t seem to get that it is not the role of any media to give endless coverage to anything and everything an Opposition party says.

    And they do say it. You can find all those things repeated ad-nauseum on the countless ALP social media feeds and media releases.

    Get another shtick or get another hobby. I only come here a few times a day to have a quick, and hopefully enjoyable read, and I reckon I’m not the only one who is well and truly over your repetition.

    Even nath is more readable these days. That good behaviour bond that William has put him on seems to be working.

    Maybe I need a new hobby…

    ‘It doesn’t work that way. Oppositions don’t get that sort of media oxygen. Never have, never will.’

    Bullshit.
    The media was embedded with the Abbott opposition.
    Everything written or reported about the Gillard government was done so through the prism of the Abbott opposition’s response.

    You need to pay attention or find a new hobby.
    Morrison & Co is a trainwreck or it isn’t.
    Can’t have it both ways.

    Thank you for your concern and advice.
    Mundo will give it due consideration.
    Of course you could join Lizzie in her little echo chamber bubble where pretty soon the sun will be shining out of Scrotter’s arse.

  17. Bucephalus and right-wingers. You don’t get the point. The rules will be made by the Health CMO.

    As numbers reduce restrictions will ease! However Without a declared state of emergency in place a government cannot enforce mandatory isolation of covid infected persons, cannot enforce quarantine of international arrivals, cannot enforce distancing or any other measures.

  18. a r @ #79 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 9:29 am

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #46 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 8:36 am

    The radicalising of academia is one of the main things the Liberals have used to justify their dismissal of expert opinion and scientific knowledge.

    Yes, but if they didn’t have that they’d just come up with some other excuse. One ex post facto justification is as good as any other.

    lizzie @ #73 Tuesday, August 25th, 2020 – 9:16 am

    This is why the media and Libs attacking “Dictator Dan” is not only unfair, but ignorant of laws.

    It can be all of that, and politically effective too. 🙁

    Not according to Gene ‘politics-is-Me’ Miles.

  19. lizziesays:
    Tuesday, August 25, 2020 at 9:22 am
    Gene Miles

    Use the Block feature to save your sanity.

    Lizzie, I don’t log in. I just come here when I can and read as many pages as I have time for. I don’t even know how to quote properly, as you can tell.

    I have other duties and commitments but I enjoy following politics. ‘Enjoy’ may be the wrong word in the current environment and even most of the past 25 years.

    C’est la vie.

  20. I wouldn’t be sending out Mikakos to sell the 12 month extension. Was just on 774, sounds very fragile like she has lost all confidence.

  21. Gene Miles

    I don’t even know if logging in is necessary to use “Block”.
    I’m glad you enjoy some of our nonsense, anyway. 🙂

  22. Gene Miles:

    I think mundo started off being genuinely concerned about the ALP, but as more people started responding with aggravation to him, his comments are now a kind of sport.

    I’ve long been of the view that if people simply ignored the flaming those commenters would change their tune or go away.

  23. “Mundo, you are an absolute and utter total bore. Get a new shtick or get a new hobby because following politics isn’t for you.”

    ***

    Mundo is making a very valid point, all be it in a rather unusual way lol. If things continue as they are then Labor is indeed on track for another term in opposition. That outcome is certainly not set in stone – a lot can and will happen between now and the next election – but based on how they are travelling right now it is fair to say that Labor is not in a good place. And yes, we need to be fair and acknowledge that it is a difficult time to be an opposition leader, but Albo was being the ineffective disappointment that he is long before COVID rocked up, so I’m not sure he can use that as an excuse forever.

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