Essential Research: gender equality and Australian history

Not the Eden-Monaro by-election news: an Essential Research poll, electoral reform in South Australia and election day roll management potentially to go digital.

Three entirely unrelated bits of information that don’t involve the Eden-Monaro by-election, for which another dedicated post is assuredly not far away (the most recent, and its attendant discussion thread, is here):

• This week’s Essential Research poll looks at indigenous issues and gender equality, finding broadly liberal viewpoints prevailing in each case. On the former count, most agreed that indigenous Australians and Pacific islanders had been “forced to work in Australia in conditions that amounted to slavery”, but 42% agreed that “many of the new cases of Covid-19 in Victoria have been from people who attended the Black Lives Matter protest” compared with 37% who believed it to be false. On gender equality, majorities somehow managed to agree both that there was “still a long way to go” and that it had “already been mostly achieved”, though a lot more emphatically in the former case. Respondents were also asked who got paid too much (bankers and lawyers) and too little (nurses and teachers).

Tom Richardson of InDaily reports on an imminent package of electoral reform in South Australia, which may include the introduction of optional preferential voting. Labor leader Peter Malinauskas has accused Premier Steven Marshall of a move to “rig the next election”, and invoked the bogey of “the polarisation of our democracy in the way we have seen in the United States”. Malinauskas’s real concern is more likely to do with Greens preferences, the system having raised no such concerns for the Labor governments that introduced them in New South Wales and Queensland, back when its main impact was to weaken intra-Coalition preference flows in three-cornerned contests. The Greens have also declared their opposition, which would leave its upper house fate in the hands of the three survivors of the Nick Xenophon disturbance. The government’s reforms may also include crackdowns on corflutes (which seem to be particularly popular in South Australia) and dissemination of how-to-vote cards at polling booths.

Justin Hendry of IT News reports the Australian Electoral Commission is looking into a full rollout of the electronic certified list system for marking off voters, which operated at around 10% of polling places at last year’s election. This replaces the more familiar method of paper lists marked off by pencil, which offer no guarantee the prospective voter has not already voted somewhere else beyond the requisite verbal assurance. As such, it can genuinely help prevent multiple voting, unlike a lot of other supposed electoral reforms that are invoked in its name. However, it may also constitute a point of vulnerability to nefarious actors.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,724 comments on “Essential Research: gender equality and Australian history”

  1. Victoria has net 164 cases off 191 added today.

    That must be a record number of false positives.

    COVID-19 Australia
    @COVID_Australia
    *VIC reclassified 27 previous cases

  2. Any questions about the outbreak arising from quarantined hotels Andrews just refers to the inquiry. I suppose that’s what inquiries are for. TO kick the can down the road a bit.

  3. Queen Victoria
    @Vic_Rollison
    ·
    1m

    Testing has shown up at least 70 covid cases in towers community. Imagine if govt hadn’t organised quarantine and testing, and covid spread just went on silently in homes and workplaces of this community without any intervention. Just imagine the devastation if that happened.

  4. Scott Morrison still hiding like a mouse

    Morrison needs to take the responsibility for calling for the states to open the borders , saying spread of the corona virus is no excuse for the borders to close. Then with a wink of an eye Morrison , and the NSW, VIC premiers discussed to close the NSW & VIC borders.

    Morrison said last year , he will be with the liberal party candidates in the good times as well as the bad time. Despite newsltd hacks claiming Morrison won the by-election , Morrison was not even with the liberal party candidate on the night of the by-election .

  5. Nath
    Putting aside the problems with security the hotel quarantine has worked by helping to identifying cases that otherwise would have become spreaders.

  6. It would be nice if Morrison popped up now and made a similar speech telling people that he fully supports Andrews and that people need to follow state advice and they should get back under the Donna for the foreseeable future.

  7. I don’t have a problem with the hard lockdowns, I hope I could find it in myself to maintain that attitude if & when it applies to me. Support for those affected is obviously needed.
    Management of this has to take the LCD into account, which is that people are fucking prats out for their own immediate perceived wants.

  8. The variation in total and new cases can be due to the identification of historical cases on immunological testing.
    These are counted in the “total” number but not in the “new” number.
    I guess that Vic Health is now doing some immunological testing.

  9. I have been through lock down, and worked through the lock down, I deal with people in Depart of Health who working from home, so I understand the frustration and the roller coaster ride.

    But if we don’t stand together on this single issue, then we will end up like USA.

  10. When I first started working in Melbourne and lived in Geelong the housing density dropped off quickly after Corio, Werribee turnoff was when housing again built up , Laverton was a new suburb then nothing much to the outer reaches of Footscray. Now the whole area is built up and a think I would be hard put to know where Geelong ended.

  11. I imagine that Morrison will be digesting the lessons of Eden Monaro.
    The first and biggest is the old psephological standard that preferred prime minister is a poor predictor of electoral performance.
    The second is that the voters are not happy campers.
    The third is that the kamikaze elements of the right wing terrorists are still out and about.
    The fourth is that Albanese does smart politics. The Somyurek bastardry was isolated quickly. The Mosolmane stuff, ditto. Albanese basically scored a win in Eden Monaro with an over-the-horizon policy of ZeroNet2050.
    The fifth lesson is that there are limits to what incumbency can buy you.

  12. boerwar @ #3415 Tuesday, July 7th, 2020 – 4:10 pm

    I imagine that Morrison will be digesting the lessons of Eden Monaro.
    The first and biggest is the old psephological standard that preferred prime minister is a poor predictor of electoral performance.
    The second is that the voters are not happy campers.
    The third is that the kamikaze elements of the right wing terrorists are still out and about.
    The fourth is that Albanese does smart politics. The Somyurek bastardry was isolated quickly. The Mosolmane stuff, ditto. Albanese basically scored a win in Eden Monaro with an over-the-horizon policy of ZeroNet2050.
    The fifth lesson is that there are limits to what incumbency can buy you.

    The sixth lesson is to bow to the shooters

  13. I have several dozen close and extended family members in lock down in Melbourne. Chatting with some of them suggests that the second time round is actually going to be emotionally and financially harder for businesses and families than first time round.

  14. I imagine that Morrison will be digesting the lessons of Eden Monaro.
    The first and biggest is the old psephological standard that preferred prime minister is a poor predictor of electoral performance.
    The second is that the voters are not happy campers.
    The third is that the kamikaze elements of the right wing terrorists are still out and about.
    The fourth is that Albanese does smart politics. The Somyurek bastardry was isolated quickly. The Mosolmane stuff, ditto. Albanese basically scored a win in Eden Monaro with an over-the-horizon policy of ZeroNet2050.
    The fifth lesson is that there are limits to what incumbency can buy you.
    The sixth lesson is that under Five Point Six Bandt, the Greens are dead in the water but can’t face the truth. Morrison’s Wedge Partners are in Trouble.

  15. If we all obey the rules and we stop importing cases it is all over in weeks. If we keep importing cases this will go on for years. It has to be elimination, quarantine needs to be made to work and people like Morrison need to zip it.

  16. Andrews just said that Morrison is “aware” of Jobkeeper/seeker problems and is looking at a new design.
    I believe in fairies too.

  17. lizzie,
    Morrison isn’t stupid. He will keep the money flowing. He’d be a political fool not to.

    Btw, where’s Mitchell Shire?

  18. Boer War

    The seventh lesson is to adhere to the old adage “keep your friends close and your enemies closer” which I think Kristy did expertly

  19. I just heard Michael O’Brien (for those who don’t know who he is he is the opposition leader in Vic). Today is on about Slack Dan.

    M O’B has offered to help Slack Dan fix the problems Slack Dan has created. I am surprised that M O’B has any time left in his day to help. He is my local member and has just sent me a flier telling me of all the important work he has done in the electorate. For instance, he gave out two leadership medals out at two local primary school.

    With experience like that Michael will get on top of the virus in no time.

  20. Yeah C@t, but i wouldn’t trust Scomo. The libs can’t bring themselves to spend money. I half expect Morrison to shaft victoria.

  21. C@t

    Mitchell Shire includes Hume, which is Broadmeadows, Jacana, Dallas, Craigieburn, Roxburgh Park, Mickleham, Donnybrook and Kalkallo.

  22. Cat

    If Morrison keeps the money flowing he will again prove our right wing is superior to the US one.

    The GOP is going with austerity except corporations so far.

  23. Assantdj
    There is still a small amount of country between Werribee and Geelong but unless a reserve is created then that would soon disappear.

  24. C@T
    yep, i thought it would be easier to locate by referring to the federal electorate but some of it could be in Nicholls.

  25. OC
    You well know him .. determined old corner but definitely struggles with COPD. Until recently acceptance of the inevitability of it was not to be mentioned so frustrations ran high in not being able to climb ladders, clean gutters or garden from morn til night. Now he is coming better.

    Your expertise … all fine thanks muchly.

    I found a photo of that little ‘penis’ sign you had on front desk. It still makes me laugh.
    Stay safe yourself.

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