Essential Research leadership ratings

Scott Morrison records a preferred prime minister lead for the first time this year, although his personal ratings remain in net negative territory.

Essential Research continues to disappoint on the voting intention front, but its latest fortnightly poll does include its monthly leadership ratings, which record a recovery in Scott Morrison’s personal standing after the battering it copped during the bsuhfires. Morrison now leads Anthony Albanese 40-35 as preferred prime minister after being tied 36-36 in the last poll, which his first lead out of the six sets of results published so far this year (three apiece from Essential and Newspoll). His approval rating is up two to 41% and disapproval down three to 49%, while Albanese is respectively steady on 41% and up two to 33%.

As related by The Guardian, the poll also finds 71% want investigations into sports rorts to continue, but I suspect that should actually say 51%, as 43% favoured the alternative option that the resignation of Sports Minister Bridget McKenzie should be the end of the matter. The poll also has the unsurprising finding that concern about coronavirus is growing, although we will have to wait for the publication of the full report later today to see by how much.

Other questions produce familiar findings on energy sources (71% favour further taxpayer research into renewables, compared with 57% for hydrogen, 50% for “clean coal” and 38% for nuclear energy) and economic management (the Coalition was rated better overall, but was also seen to favour big business whereas Labor was better at managing the economy to benefit workers). The poll was conducted from 1096 respondents from an online panel, no doubt from Thursday to Sunday.

UPDATE: Full report here. It turns out the poll doesn’t really find an increase in concern about coronavirus over the past month: there’s a two point increase in “very concerned” to 27%, but a five point drop in “quite concerned” to 36%, a two point rise in “not all that concerned” to 28% and a three point increase in “not at all concerned” to 9%. I’d have been interested to see breakdowns by party support on this – Democrats in the US are far more concerned than Republicans – but no such luck.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,649 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. Cud Chewer @ #3306 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 4:37 pm

    LR

    Could Australia CT screening on the scale they did in China? I doubt it.
    Is Australia urgently buying more CT machines?

    I agree, and I’m no medic. The CT scans I thought they did were based on “one or two slices only”. So the machines were cheaper and mobile as well. Perhaps there are other tests? The point is that reliance on a single test is fragile. You need a process that weaves what you have into something that works.

  2. According to the table I posted, most people with sniffles do only have a cold. The fever is the first indication of COVID-19 or influenza.

  3. Michael J. Biercuk
    @MJBiercuk
    ·
    2m
    This is a big deal in an institution with tens of thousands of students.

    ***

    Honi Soit
    @honi_soit
    · 35m
    BREAKING: First publicly first confirmed case of COVID-19 at USyd.

  4. There are only two bridges that mark the boarders of Sydney – Hawkesbury and Nepean.

    There are some disposable bridges that will cut off the Shire from the rest of Sydney.

  5. shellbell @ #3311 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 4:39 pm

    It is hardly pioneering to use a CT scan to diagnose lung disease.

    But again we operate from a degree of ignorance here in Australia as to what the course of diagnosis in Australia is.

    If someone returned a positive test on a swab here, is there a follow-up scan?

    In China, I think the CT scans came first. Since they had a lot of the machines still around from their SARS outbreak. (I’m not sure about SARS though. It might have been a different viral epidemic.) The scans were rudimentary. If you failed the scan the next step was slower and tested for the virus.

  6. And given the UK policy of letting the virus spread to build up herd immunity, I’m surprised that it hasn’t had much stricter travel bans by other countries put in place.

  7. Cud Chewer @ #3441 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 5:37 pm

    LR

    Could Australia CT screening on the scale they did in China? I doubt it.
    Is Australia urgently buying more CT machines?

    When Labor suggested it back in the twenty teens the Coalition poo-pooed the idea as wasteful and unecessary.

    As they do when they look for any political wedge.

  8. Confessions says:
    Sunday, March 15, 2020 at 3:07 pm
    All overseas arrivals to Australia required to self-isolate for 14 days
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-15/coronavirus-australia-live-updates-covid-19-latest-news/12056788

    This is a good move.

    Since we know that social spread is occurring within the local population why is this move applicable only to foreign inbound travel? Why is interstate or intra-state travel not also included?

    In WA we could require all inbound travelers to self-isolate for 14 days.

    We could then focus on the local population and pursue the virus.

    Incidentally, one of my friends told me his morning that she’s experiencing corona-typical symptoms. She’s certainly viral. She has had no foreign contact, has no contact with proven cases, works in the CBD….of course, cannot get tested.

  9. The table posted by lizzie is an example of one element in a layered process that could be used to funnel potential carriers away from the general population and towards treatment.

  10. There are some disposable bridges that will cut off the Shire from the rest of Sydney.

    r u thinking what i am thinking?

    Can we isolate Northern Beaches while we are at it. The Spit?

  11. C@t

    I do hope when this is over that Labor use it as an educational tool as to what happens when you have greedy, incompetent, managerial types in charge of the country.

  12. So why didn’t the Health Minister announce the new C-19 measures on Insiders today?

    Oh, that’s right, Scotty from Marketing is trying to build up Brownie Points with the public after the Bushfires catastrophe.

  13. Simon

    The Spit bridge is a draw bridge. Since they’d rather an expensive tunnelled motorway than a cheaper metro line I think they should spend 2 months with the bridge up.

  14. shellbell @ #3321 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 4:52 pm

    CC

    I would’ve thought the swabs would come first.

    The problem with swabs is time. Limited CT scans could be done much faster and there were a lot of people to get done. These were smaller mobile scanners. I can recommend watching the link GG put up a little while ago.

  15. Cud Chewer @ #3462 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 5:54 pm

    C@t

    I do hope when this is over that Labor use it as an educational tool as to what happens when you have greedy, incompetent, managerial types in charge of the country.

    Not only that but what opportunistic bastards they are, prepared to spend way more than is necessary in order to get themselves re-elected. Labor were asking for CAT Scan machines…the Liberals came along and trumped them with a whole new hospital for Gosford with an ancillary medical school attached. *crickets* on the cost of THAT to the budget.

  16. ‘shellbell says:
    Sunday, March 15, 2020 at 5:46 pm

    There are only two bridges that mark the boarders of Sydney – Hawkesbury and Nepean.’

    Repel them?

  17. This surely isn’t true. Morrison can’t be so silly.

    @themarkjacka
    · 3h
    Confusion reigns.

    @ScottMorrisonMP says that Schools & kids are fine to keep going because of “Herd Immunity”

    Dr at Press Conference says there is no such thing as “Herd Immunity”

    Clear as mud.

  18. I thought so called herd immunity could only happen after inflection like what was seen with the 1361 plague outbreak sometimes called the children’s plague because adults that survived 1348 were immune to it.

  19. In Singapore, parents are obliged to take the temperatures of the children every morning and record them on a sticker stuck to the shirt before the temperature again taken at school.

    As you go into an office building, large scanners are deployed also to take your temperature

  20. C@tmomma @ #3240 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 1:31 pm

    Yet, I can never make it hot enough for my son. It has fresh birdseye chillis and a third of a jar of sliced Jalapenos, with the juice from the jar thrown in for good measure.

    After the birdseye, the jalapenos aren’t contributing anything spiciness-wise. The jar liquid is mostly just vinegar.

    Yet one of my sons used to put Tabasco sauce on top!

    Tabasco isn’t much spicier than the jalapenos (and also has tons of vinegar in it). Try garnishing with some freshly chopped serranos to add heat. Or for a real kick see if you can track down a bottle of this:

    http://www.chinchilli.com.au/gallery/Uncategorised/ghost-150ml/498859

    Good flavor (not vinegary at all!) and plenty hot. I have guacamole recipe that uses it. 3-4 drops per avocado gives a good level of spice, or 5-6 if you really like it hot. More than that and it starts to get painful.

  21. RI @ #3437 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 4:32 pm

    Cud Chewer says:
    Sunday, March 15, 2020 at 5:22 pm
    China pioneered the use of CT scans for diagnosis.
    If you anything irregular showed in your lungs, you automatically got a PCR test.

    It is just extraordinary that Australia is on the cusp of being unable to diagnose cases of COVID 19. In cases of social spread, it has never been in a position to screen for cases. Not for one day.

    In the face of imminent pandemic, testing will be practically unavailable. The incompetence of this Government is truly remarkable.

    But doesn’t everyone have a right to be tested?

  22. “ But doesn’t everyone have a right to be tested?”

    It isn’t regarded as a fundamental human right. I think it’s reasonable to argue about level of preparedness, but it isn’t reasonable to expect that any government would be ready to instantly be able to provide unlimited testing etc.

    The opportunity cost would be too high.

    What I do find interesting though is our inability to be able to produce test kits, it appears. I don’t know what the reason is, whether we lack the technology or what.

    It does suggest that there may be a need for some sort of public laboratory, probably Commonwealth owned. One skilled in the production of serums and the like.

    It would have to be well resourced – in times of normal operations over resourced.

  23. Thanks, a r. I shall be purchasing it for sure! I was once sent on a hot sauce scouting expedition beyond the local Woy Woy shopping centres to the big local shopping mall which has Harris Farm Markets within its walls so as to bring back whatever exotic hot sauces I could find there, or anywhere else!

    Nope. Nope. Nope. Nothing was hot enough for their refined palates.

    Anyway, one of them is in Arizona now, so I’m sure he’ll find something appropriate there. 🙂

  24. You’ve got to wonder whether the Self Isolation announcement of Scott Morrison was delayed until best mate Brian Houston could get into the country from America for the Hillsong conference this weekend and then out again?

  25. lizzie
    Michael J. Biercuk
    @MJBiercuk
    ·
    2m
    This is a big deal in an institution with tens of thousands of students.

    ***

    Honi Soit
    @honi_soit
    · 35m
    BREAKING: First publicly first confirmed case of COVID-19 at USyd.

    I do not think I am talking out of turn to let you know that UNSW now has a confirmed case on campus – apart from the first case in Australia back in late Jan.

  26. It’s Time….

    In WA in January this year we had zero cases. We now have 20-odd confirmed cases and probably at least 200 unconfirmed cases arising from social transmission. These numbers will be quadrupling every 7-10 days.

    Because of this fuck up, in the coming phase – which will last as long as 3- 18 months – as many as 2 million West Australians will likely contract the virus. Of these, 20-30,000 will probably die. At this scale, many will die without adequate medical treatment and they will die alone. This did not have to happen.

    It’s happening because of the absolute incompetence of the health authorities, who have abysmally failed to prepare to avert this pandemic. They have never had a plan to stop it.

    This is the guts of it. Testing is an essential part of the defences against viral spread. Testing is not possible in Australia because the health authorities fucked up. They had time and they wasted it.

    The human, social and economic costs of pandemic on this scale will be many many times greater than the costs of prevention. Because of the cowardice, secrecy and stupidity of the authorities we are all going to pay the greater price… and some will pay far more heavily than others.

    This is a complete fuck up. But go ahead. Find excuses for it. Go ahead with your mockery and your Trumpy sneering.

    Every time a death is reported from this pandemic in the coming months, remind yourself that it did not have to happen.

  27. SK

    There are some disposable bridges that will cut off the Shire from the rest of Sydney.

    r u thinking what i am thinking?

    Can we isolate Northern Beaches while we are at it. The Spit?

    The insular peninsula 😀

  28. Singapore had the ‘take your temperature and wear a sticker’ in place for SARS when I lived there. You could get it at your first port of call- the station, shopping mall, office block, airport…each day.

    As for chest CT scans- the scan itself is quick now- about 20 seconds, it is the paper work data entry, image processing, specialist reading, report typing etc…that takes a lot of time and expertise.

  29. @MadFckingWitch
    · 27m
    I’ve rarely been so offended than I am by the @NRL already begging govt. for $$$$, while millions of casual/contract/freelance Aussies are TERRIFIED about how they’ll pay rent & eat in 3 weeks. If casuals were meant to save funds in case of #COVID19 pandemics, WHY DIDN’T THE NRL?

  30. I watched a little of The Project at 6.30 and think I have discovered the difference between commercials and the ABC (that’s if 10 is typical).

    No subject is allowed to be discussed for more than a couple of minutes so there’s no depth. About three questions from the panel seems to be the limit. Considering that, Albo got quite a good run.

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