Essential Research leadership ratings

The latest Essential poll finds Scott Morrison’s approval rating edging up to a new high, with most respondents supporting a tough line on offshore detention of asylum seekers – but not so tough that they support the repeal of medical evacuation laws.

Another fortnight, another Essential Research poll that baulks on publishing voting intention numbers. We do, however, get the monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison at a new peak of 49% approval, up one on a fortnight ago, with disapproval down one to 36%. Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 31%. Morrison also records the strongest preferred prime minister lead out of the four such results published by Essential since the election, at 46-25, out from 44-28 last month.

The poll also finds strong support for indefinite offshore detention for asylum seekers, with 52% supportive and 32% opposed. However, only 21% accept the government’s position that the medical evacuation legislation “will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past”, with 41% saying it strikes an appropriate balance and 23% saying it does not go far enough.

A series of questions on Friday’s climate strikes finds 56% in favour and 30% opposed, although only 35% said they were aware of them in response to an initial question, with 54% saying they were unaware. The New South Wales-based respondents to the survey, of which there were 352, were asked a further question on a mooted relaxation of the state’s lockout laws, which 58% supported and 30% opposed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from an online panel of 1093 respondents.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,606 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. Zoidlord @ #25 Wednesday, September 18th, 2019 – 8:09 am

    Now I thought someone was approving of gas and I think it was Player One?

    Was and still is, when used as a transition fuel in place of coal. But your article is primarily talking about the the effects of various technologies on jobs, not emissions. .

    Also, you have to wonder at an article which contains a graph which loudly proclaims “Coal is disappearing in most places” while showing that the use of coal by most of the largest emitter countries is actually increasing , and is also increasing globally 🙁

  3. Don’t for a minute think they didn’t want it. And want to keep it. Not far behind, and following the example of the US, they lie, deny, and don’t answer.

    When did lying become a thing? Did Menzies lie? Did Whitlam lie? Did Keating lie? Did Hawke lie? Did Howard …arrh … yes, Howard.

  4. Actually serious question, who do people think will lead the opposition to the 2025 election against the Scrott, who’ll be trying for a third term?

  7. Mundo:

    Actually serious question, who do people think will lead the opposition to the 2025 election against the Scrott, who’ll be trying for a third term?

    Mundo!

  8. Fess

    I understand. But it is hardly surprising to anyone of the strategy lewandowski was going to take in this hearing.
    As it appears now, lewandowski won this round.
    The dems have the option of taking it further by holding him in contempt etc.

  9. I haven’t listened to the interview myself as I am out and about.

    Matt Bevan
    @MatthewBevan
    ·
    41m
    The interview everyone’s talking abut this morning:
    @hamishNews
    and
    @cfmeujohnsetka
    on
    @RNBreakfast

    ‘I’ve got no reason to step down’: John Setka of the CFMMEU
    He is probably Australia’s most infamous union official. The Victorian head of the CFMMEU, John Setka, joins RN Breakfast for an exclusive interview.
    abc.net.au

  13. Andrew_Earlwood says:
    Wednesday, September 18, 2019 at 7:42 am

    “Jeremy Corbyn has set out the four pillars of a “sensible” Brexit deal he would negotiate with the EU, as he pledged to carry out whatever the people decide in a second EU referendum as Labour prime minister.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/sep/17/corbyn-vows-to-put-sensible-brexit-deal-to-voters-in-referendum”

    This should have been Labour’s position from day dot: Corbyn has walked both sides of the street over Brexit. We should have been clear to all Labour supporters- and more importantly, the lost and future potential labour supporters – that Labour had a plan to lift them up regardless of the Brexit outcome. Articulate that plan, then Corbyn could simply say on Brexit that the outcomes would be determined by further referenda.

    Corbyn has ensured that UK Labour will be entirely irrelevant to Brexit. Corbyn, a Leaver, cannot get across to endorsing the Remain position, which is overwhelmingly supported by Labour members. He now says, effectively, Labour stand for nothing at all. The Tories stand for Brexit at any cost. The Lib-Dems stand for unconditional revocation. It’s clear, after more than 2 years of negotiations, that there is no 3rd way that is both acceptable to the EU and the Commons. The best that can be said of Corbyn’s view is that it’s wishful thinking. The worst is that it is deliberately chosen delusion.

    The Reactionaries are gorging themselves in the UK. The EU should cut them loose.

  14. Shanghai Scott has a nice ring to it.

    I saw “ScoMao” up-thread. Has a nice ring to it, in a “Juliar” kind of way, especially after today’s fulsome praise in the Beijing People’s Clarion (or whatever it’s called).

    That article also contained advice to Morrison on how to deal with Trump, advising him not to get too friendly.

    The Beijing swamp offers bouquets for defending Guandong Gladys and brickbats for being too cosy with Trump. Then Trump himself, in his own Washington swamp. ScoMao will need a new pair of galoshes just for that.

    Hope the Chisholm donors were worth the effort.

  17. Victoria says: Wednesday, September 18, 2019 at 9:33 am

    He is probably Australia’s most infamous union official. The Victorian head of the CFMMEU, John Setka, joins

    ****************************************

    Victoria – John Setka was also on Jon Faine this morning -its probably podcast on ABC radio ?????

    ( I have trouble with these so cant quarantee )

  18. briefly

    Corbyn has played a blinder. I agree with the UK remaining in the EU and have from the start but credit where its due. Corbyn holding out and seeing the destruction of the Tory party is a joy to behold.

  19. @OzKitsch tweets

    @emmahusarmp tweets

    Well. Well. Well.
    Look at what we have here. Actual evidence, hard data and someone who can intelligently interpret what’s going on. #auspol https://twitter.com/jessradio/status/1174087762762326016

    @jessradio tweets

    One of the most thorough studies on false abuse allegations comes out of Canada. That found that non-custodial parents (usually fathers) made them most frequently (43% of the total) followed by neighbours and relatives (19%). Mothers – 14%. Children – 2%. https://twitter.com/jessradio/status/1174087762762326016/photo/1

  20. Playing up to Hanson’s latest stupidity and putting women’s lives potentially at risk just shows there’s no bottom of the barrel for Morrison when it comes to holding onto a vote on the floor.

  21. https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/facts-on-fires-forgotten-in-rush-to-blame-climate-change/news-story/01c4e55eb25f63cdc1bd9e73f18f390c

    A bushfire in Lamington National Park today swept through a grove of 3000-year-old Macrozamia palms. These trees were one of the features of the park. The fire has burnt out about 2000 acres of thick rainforest country.”

    That’s right, nearly 70 years ago, rainforest burning in Lamington National Park, before global warming.

    Quite interesting. Apparently global warming has been a thing for less than seventy years.

    Attributing various events to global warming is not a useful thing to do.

    Damn you Chris Kenny – why couldn’t you get in on the following

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/who-gives-a-dam-ask-towns-going-dry/news-story/ca16be28e31df491931405a4efd2b4a9

    It’s the worst drought in generations, with major towns such as Dubbo in NSW and Stanthorpe in Queensland facing the prospect of running out of water in weeks.

    But the story goes back much further: a progressive slowdown in construction of dams over the decades has led to a crisis that might have been avoided had governments met promises to keep on building them.

    Figures obtained by The Australian from the Australian ­National Committee on Large Dams, an independent association, show that major dam building substantially slowed at the end of the 1970s and stalled around 1990. There has been less than a 3 per cent increase in large dam storage capacity since then. By contrast, the Australian population has risen by almost half, from 17 million to more than 25 million, sharply reducing the amount of water available to meet demands for household needs, and to provide for ­agriculture.

    Municipal water in Stan­thorpe, in Queensland’s southeast, is set to run out by Christmas. For those outside town reliant on rain tanks that are dry, locals are helping charities provide water for purposes as basic as children brushing their teeth.

    Additional dams may/may not have stored water – lo – these many years – to be released now/later/sometime to fill the rain tanks etc.

    Others more au fait with the subject may be able to advise whether more dams is the answer to what appears a disaster extending evermore.

    ☮ ☕

  22. Australian politicians have displayed a kind of negligence in the face of the climate crisis that it is hard to imagine would be tolerated in any other sphere of life. They have had the best expert advice on the planet for decades that, in order to protect the citizens and the nation of Australia, we need to urgently reduce our emissions. And they have ignored that advice, with terrible consequences which are now becoming more dreadfully apparent every day.

    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/climate-strike-set-to-be-a-coalition-wake-up-call,13119#.XYFyLvVi2SE.twitter

  23. guytaur @ #68 Wednesday, September 18th, 2019 – 9:47 am

    Corbyn has played a blinder. I agree with the UK remaining in the EU and have from the start but credit where its due. Corbyn holding out and seeing the destruction of the Tory party is a joy to behold.

    No, briefly has the right of it this time. The Lib-Dems are going to pull heaps of Remain voters off of Labour, and Labour isn’t going to get any Leave voters off of the Conservatives. And Conservative Remainers are also more likely to break for Lib-Dem than Labour.

    The problem is that “meh, we’ll do whatever” isn’t a position many voters identify with. It’s a tough sell and too nuanced to articulate quickly. And it just looks like continued fence-sitting from Labour. Which we’ve seen time and again doesn’t work.

  24. ar

    As long as Labour survives its a win. I agree with you on the fence sitting. However its not as bad as made out. We had polling tell us that Labour was in the same position leading up to the last election. Labour turned a majority into a minority when there was an actual terrorist attack during the campaign.

    I don’t think Australian Labor would have done as well if a terrorist attack had occurred here during the campaign.

  26. If they had built additional dams AND there had been sufficient rain, the water would all be taken and stored in private dams on the agribusiness cotton farms.

    So the towns would still be running out of water.

  27. The costs and delay of litigating in the Family Court must play some role in the violence attached to the jurisdiction.

    If the Government was genuine in trying to do something, it would ask the judges to identify the 20 silks most frequently appearing, the 40 junior barristers and the accredited specialists and order them to produce their invoices issued in the last 3 years

  28. No, briefly has the right of it this time. The Lib-Dems are going to pull heaps of Remain voters off of Labour, and Labour isn’t going to get any Leave voters off of the Conservatives. And Conservative Remainers are also more likely to break for Lib-Dem than Labour.

    You forgot about all the Labour leave voters.
    Labour, like Labor, are at a crossroads. Who is their base? Do they want to pander to them on these issues?

    Seems to me their base may well be still politically aligned to them, but culturally less so. Can that work? Can a party regularly win government with that dichotomy?

    I keep thinking that Bob Katter has some answers to this. Then I slap myself.

  30. The British Labour Party has an literal army of hundreds of thousands, that actively hustled and campaigned for the party, going out into the general community and talking to people. It will be interesting to find out, if this happens again at the next general election. Although especially with the Liberal Democrats adopting a revoke article 50 policy, the British Labour Party is looking stronger than the polls suggest.

    Imagine if the Australian Labor Party had say 250,000 people prepared to that during the last election campaign, doing exactly that. No doubt in my mind that would countered the disinformation campaign waged by both the Coalition and Clive Plamer.

    However to amass such an army, the Australia Labor Party would have advocate a radical trans -formative agenda, repudiating the neoliberal economic policies of the Hawke-Keating government.

    Albanese knows that these sort of tactics need to employed. However the policy direction which he wants the Labor party to take, will in my opinion cause the party to go even more backwards in 2022 and potential led to Albanese being defeated by the Greens in his own seat.

  32. Richard Willingham
    @rwillingham
    The challenge against the Chisholm and Kooyong results over Chinese language signs has been remitted to the federal court
    @abcmelbourne
    #auspol

  33. Btw how bleedingly obvious is that that Gladys Liu is far worse than Dastyari? Scomo’s government and majority are basically reliant on a Chinese Communist Party agent. Great!

    Is it an accident that a Chinese company got a 99-year lease over Darwin Port on Scomo’s watch? That he and his bozo clownshow of tough guys were too busy showing off about boats to even notice what the NT government was OPENLY up to?

    No wonder we’ve got this sideshow about drug testing welfare cheats. This is the mot incompetent compromised governmetn in living memory, with zero policy ideas other than depressing wages. Now it cant afford the most obvious steps to protect national security in case it loses its wafer-thing majority.

    Shanghai ScoMo, more like it.

  37. lefty e @ #81 Wednesday, September 18th, 2019 – 10:26 am

    How good is the Labor-Green ACT Government? https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6390793/canberra-first-city-outside-europe-to-go-100-green-energy/

    I guess this is some kind of “milestone”, but it is in fact little more than a gimmick …

    The cities are technically not powered entirely by renewables, as each is connected to a grid network which includes energy sourced from coal and gas.

    It reminds of the fad a while back of local councils declaring themselves “nuclear free zones”. Sounds impressive, until you realize it didn’t mean anything at all – not even that they were in fact nuclear free 🙁

  38. GG

    Your prejudice is showing.

    Its a family. Officially under their laws.

    Therefore the airline has to group family together. Its that simple. Not all countries have you must have only one partner as the marriage criteria. As long as there is no exploitation then there is no problem.

    It puts to bed the exploitation of woman argument around polyamory. A valid argument, but there are no hard and fast rules with human relationships.

    Its jarring at first seeing this when you have been indoctrinated about how evil polyamory is and how it can never be an equal relationship. I don’t agree with it myself but I do not see how as long as exploitation does not happen that its so wrong.

    A reminder we do see exploitation and domestic abuse with two partner relationships too. So its not like we have prevented that by not having polyamaros relationships. Its not going to happen in Australia for a very long time. Just be aware its prejudice you are showing not a ridiculous picture of a family that does not love each other.

  39. guytaur
    says:
    Wednesday, September 18, 2019 at 10:42 am
    GG
    Your prejudice is showing.
    ______________________
    It’s also interesting that GG is trawling the web looking for gay thrupples! I wonder though at the veracity of this story seeing that the name of one of the men given is SPENCER PINQUESWETTER!

  40. nath

    Could be a stage name but yes I suspect GG found it on a right wing website.

    That does raise a question. Should we warn ASIO. We know that right wing media is heavily infiltrated by the hard right and neo nazis on the net. This is just the type of story they would love to use to denigrate any idea of equality and make out that means its open season on the whole LGBTI diversity of people.

  41. Greensborough Growler

    Is it possible that you’ve fallen for a bit of a joke?

    Look at their names, the pink and white co-ordinated outfits and the pouty posed expressions.

    I think you are peddling bullshit.

  42. briefly @ #63 Wednesday, September 18th, 2019 – 7:38 am

    Corbyn has ensured that UK Labour will be entirely irrelevant to Brexit. Corbyn, a Leaver, cannot get across to endorsing the Remain position, which is overwhelmingly supported by Labour members.

    This is an oft made claim here, however I am yet to see any proof of this. My reason for doubting it is because of the large number of Labour strongholds that voted resoundingly to Leave.

    It may be overwhelmingly supported by the Blairite parliamentarians, but that does not constitute overwhelming support amongst ALL Labour members.

    If there’s proof of your claim could you please post it? I am more than happy to be informed by actual evidence supporting your claim.

  44. guytaur
    says:
    Wednesday, September 18, 2019 at 10:47 am
    nath
    Could be a stage name but yes I suspect GG found it on a right wing website.
    That does raise a question. Should we warn ASIO. We know that right wing media is heavily infiltrated by the hard right and neo nazis on the net. This is just the type of story they would love to use to denigrate any idea of equality and make out that means its open season on the whole LGBTI diversity of people.
    ____________________________
    Facebook is full of hate filled memes and fake articles designed to elicit certain responses against LGBTI communities.

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