The Courier-Mail has published a Queensland state poll from YouGov Galaxy, the first such poll to appear since February – and the first since the federal election result sent to the stocks of polling in Queensland through the floor. The pollster is continuing to give nothing away about changes to its methods since then.
The results are at least consistent with the difficulties that have beset the government of late, with the Liberal National Party opening a 51-49 lead on two-party preferred. This apparently compares with a 52-48 split in favour of Labor in the February poll, although no two-party result was published at that time, presumably due to the pollster’s lack of confidence in projecting the preferences of such a large non-major party vote – which may have been resolved by the federal election result and the clarity it provided about the flow of One Nation preferences. The primary votes are Labor 32% (down three), LNP 37% (up two), Greens 13% (up two) and One Nation 13% (up five).
Leadership ratings are still worse for Annastacia Palaszczuk, whose approval rating has crashed from 46% to 34%, with disapproval up seven to 45%. Deb Frecklington is on 30% for both approval and disapproval, which are respectively down one point and five points, matched by a spike in her uncommitted rating. The latter is also a feature of the preferred premier rating, on which Palaszczuk is down 13% to 34%, but Frecklington is up only two to 29%. Nothing in the online report on sample size or field work dates.