With less than two months to go until the March 11 state election, The West Australian today carries a ReachTEL poll showing no change since October on two-party preferred – but with very substantial change on the primary vote, thanks to the inclusion of One Nation as a response option for the first time. Support for One Nation is recorded at 10.8%, which is in the ballpark of the 9.6% the party recorded at the peak of its fortunes in 2001 – keeping in mind that this substantially over-performed what pre-election polls had said. All other players are down as a result – the Liberals by 2.9% to 33%, the Nationals by 0.6% to 5.5%, Labor by 4.7% to 32%, and the Greens by 0.8% to 6.1%. Mark McGowan’s lead over Colin Barnett as preferred premier is all but unchanged at 55.7-44.3 (55.6-44.4 last time), and Barnett is also found to trail his deputy, Liza Harvey, by 53.9-46.1. The automated phone poll was conducted Thursday night from a sample of 1525.
UPDATE: Kevin Bonham looks more carefully than I do and notices there’s an 8.5% undecided component to the results. With that removed, the primary votes are Liberal 36.1% (up 0.2%), Nationals 6% (down 0.1%), Labor 35% (down 1.7%), Greens 6.7% (down 0.2%), One Nation 10.8%, others 4.5%.