The first Western Australian state voting intention result from Newspoll since the end of last year finds Labor increasing its two-party preferred lead over Colin Barnett’s Liberal-Nationals government from 53-47 to 54-46, with Labor steady on 42% of the primary vote, the Liberals and Nationals down two points to 40% and the Greens up one to 11%. Barnett’s personal ratings are at a new low, with approval down two points to 31% and disapproval up four to 58%, while Labor leader Mark McGowan’s already strong ratings are further improved, with approval up four to 51% and disapproval down four to 28%. McGowan now holds a 46-32 lead as preferred Premier, up from 41-36 last time. Unusually, the polling period is March to May, which I believe reflects a determination not to incorporate any polling from before Stephen Smith’s abortive leadership in March in the result. The previous result was compiled from polling conducted in the final quarter of 2015.
As poll aggregation points to a big swing to Labor in Western Australia federally, Newspoll’s latest state result suggests an increasingly unpopular Barnett government is providing some of that lead in the Liberal saddlebag.