Essential Research: 50-50

Another sedate result on voting intention from Essential Research, which finds more evidence of strong support for a royal commission into the banking sector.

This week’s fortnightly rolling average from Essential Research is once again at 50-50, with the Coalition steady on the primary vote at 42%, Labor up a point to 36%, and the Greens steady at 11%. Other findings:

• Essential conducted one of its occasional experiments where separate halves of the sample are offered different versions of the same question, in this case relating to a royal commission into the banking and financial services industry. The more straightforward version recorded 59% supportive and 15% opposed. The more elaborate version attributed the notion to Bill Shorten and noted the resistance of Malcolm Turnbull, and got 54% supportive and 21% opposed, with the partisan effect particularly pronounced in the case of Coalition voters.

• From five options on school funding, the most favoured involved a greater involvement for the federal government, with 49% in favour of it becoming the main funder of all schools and 27% opposed.

• Thirty-six per cent said kids these days have more opportunities than back in the day, against 30% for less opportunities and 21% for the same.

• Fifty-six per cent said retirees received too little support, versus 7% for too much and 24% for about right.

• Seventy-six per cent thought it harder for young people to buy a house than for their parents’ generation, and 55% thought it harder for them to find a job. The respective figures for easier were 7% and 17%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,061 comments on “Essential Research: 50-50”

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  1. Poor Mr Bowe, goes to all the trouble to give us a new playpen and all he gets is negative comments about his looks :(.


  2. Hmmm – we appear to be back to “top posting”.
    I hope Musrum gets around to giving us a new version of “Upside Down Miss Jane”!

  3. Comments are back the right way up. I could turn nested comments on if I wanted to, but I’ve always had the view that we’re better off without it. Perhaps my mind could be changed.

  4. Are we allowed to use “clusterfuck” to describe the antics at Crikey over the past few days or do we need to moderate it to “omnishambles”? 😉

  5. William
    “I could turn nested comments on if I wanted to, but I’ve always had the view that we’re better off without it.”
    Agreed! Please don’t!

  6. William Bowe Tuesday, April 19, 2016 at 3:20 pm wrote:

    Comments are back the right way up. I could turn nested comments on if I wanted to, but I’ve always had the view that we’re better off without it. Perhaps my mind could be changed.

    A quote selected button, ala Whirlpool, would also be really handy 🙂

  7. I have the feeling that WB will have to mess around with the codes to reintroduce numbered comments, or if someone like Mustrum (spelling?) have to use greasemonkey scripts to add it.

  8. In other words it would be good to have a reply to a specific comment but keep it as a simple linear list with automatic back links

  9. One of the main purposes of the redesign is to bring us into the age of mobiles and tablets, which I’m sure is why the text is a lot bigger than it used to be. I suggest you’ll get used to it.

  10. I’ll ask about avatars as well, though I wouldn’t be too confident. I’m not exactly sure what is meant by automatic back links – can you point to a site that has them?

  11. There seems to be a measure of desperation on display every time a Coalition Minister speaks. Could it be that their latest polling is heading southwards at a worrying rate. I expect Essential to follow suit now also.

    A big Hi to all the Pollbludgers. This new format is going to get one hell of a workout with this 75 day election campaign.

  12. I, for one, welcome our new gerbil overlord 🙂
    Anything is worth getting rid of the dratted “You are posting too quickly” message!

  13. WB
    [It’s what I look like, unfortunately.]
    You could have at least put on a decent shirt.
    You look like you’re about to put a Collingwood beanie on.

  14. Re size…. can zoom down the webpage in Chrome for smaller text.

    Guardian site has a cool mobile platform text size setting.

    Are we ignoring the Morgan Poll?

  15. So July 2 it is, and Tony Abbott has possibly just a few months to wait before returning to his beloved role of Her Majesty’s Leader of the Opposition

    Posted on my iPhone via Chrome, and took quite some hunting to find the blog 🙂

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