Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

Essential Research finds the Greens gaining a point for the second week in a row, this time carrying Labor with it on two-party preferred.

The Essential Research fortnightly rolling average has ticked a point in Labor, their two-party lead now at 53-47 after a long stretch at 52-48. The major parties are in fact stable on the primary vote, at 39% for the Coalition and 38% for Labor, but the Greens are up a point for the second week in a row to 11%, a gain that has been well in line with other polling.

The poll also includes Essential’s occasional results on the government’s handling of various issue areas, and given the last such results were published in February, they find the government taking a considerable knock – with the telling exception of “relations with other countries”, for which the net rating has gone from minus 3% to plus 15%. However, the government is off 15 points on education and schools, 14 on social welfare and health services, 12 on climate change and nine on managing the economy.

Further questions find strong opposition to buying submarines from Japan (28% support, 51% oppose), a slight majority against providing military aid to the Ukraine (36% support, 42% oppose) and opposition to the deferral of superannuation increases (29% approve, 49% disapprove).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

653 comments on “Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor”

  1. For all those who have me down as some kind of sexist monster…

    If Leigh Sales was to stick to having babies – a fine, and admirable pursuit, as well as a pleasurable one – she could get herself written up in Who Weekly, and (most importantly) would be on the telly less.

    That’s the point.

    A notable part of her recent history has been long absences from the anchor desk at 7.30 while on maternity leave and the consequent ratings rises while she has been away.

    So I guess, seeing as she CAN have babies, has had a couple or three, and the ratings improve, that’s a fair comment.

  2. Extraordinary. The Proportional Representation Society of Australia [PRSA] (Vic-Tas Branch) rejected a motion calling on the National Executive to elect its office bearers by a system o Proportional Representation. Currently the National Executive Office Bearers are elected Individually by a system of Optional Preferential Voting.

    Clause 2(b) of the PRSA Constitution purposes states

    [2. (b) secure the adoption and entrenchment of the quota-preferential method of proportional representation for all relevant elections and polls; for Federal, State, and Municipal representative bodies, Committees of Clubs, Unions, School Committees, Boards, Commissions and other organizations and elected groups;]

    If the Proportional Representational Society is not willing to embrace Proportional Representation in its own organizational structure what merit is there for other organizations in adopting Proportional Representation.

    The motion seeking reform to the National Constitution has now been referred for the second time to the State Council although this issue has been before them for over nine months.


  3. The Abbott

    Thanks god for allowing 800 Feds to find maybe 2 simpletons.

    Next he will thank god for getting the people to elect him

    Time to leave the country !

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