Seat of the week: Menzies

The 2013 election delivered the Liberal Party its biggest margin yet in the eastern Melbourne seat of Menzies, which it had held comfortably since its creation in 1984.

Blue numbers indicate size of two-party Liberal polling booth majorities. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

Menzies covers eastern Melbourne suburbs from Bulleen at the western end through Templestowe, Doncaster, Donvale and Warrandyte to Wonga Park and Croydon North at the eastern end. It was created with the expansion of parliament in 1984, prior to which the area had been divided between Diamond Valley in the west and Casey in the east. At the time of its creation it extended northwards to Eltham, but this area was exchanged for the Warrandyte end of the electorate in 1996. The entire area is solid or better for the Liberals, who have held the seat at all times by margins of no less than 5.4%. The present margin of 14.5% is the highest in the electorate’s history, following consecutive swings of 2.7% against the statewide trend in 2010 and 5.8% in 2013.

The inaugural member for Menzies was Neil Brown, who had held Diamond Valley from 1969 to 1972 and again from 1975 to 1983, having lost the seat with the defeats of Coalition governments on both occasions. Established in the safe new seat of Menzies from 1985, he served as the party’s deputy leader under John Howard from 1985 to 1987. Brown retired in February 1991 and was succeeded by Kevin Andrews, who won the by-election held the following May without opposition from the Labor Party.

Noted for his religious convictions and social conservatism, Andrews came to prominence when he spearheaded a successful push to overturn Northern Territory euthanasia laws in federal parliament. He was promoted to the outer ministry as Ageing Minister after the 2001 election and then to cabinet in October 2003, serving first as Workplace Relations Minister during the introduction of WorkChoices and then as Immigration Minister from January 2007 until the government’s defeat the following November, in which time he was dogged by the Muhamed Haneef affair.

Andrews was dropped from the Coalition front bench after the November 2007 election defeat, but returned as Shadow Families, Housing and Human Services Minister when Tony Abbott became leader in December 2009. He had played a key role in Abbott’s rise to the leadership, having made a tokenistic challenge to Turnbull’s leadership a week earlier in protest against his support for the Rudd government’s emissions trading scheme. Andrews was back in cabinet following the election of Abbott’s government in September 2013 in the role of Social Services Minister, a newly packaged portfolio encompassing aged care, multicultural affairs and settlement services.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,188 comments on “Seat of the week: Menzies”

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  1. Steve777:

    Right, as continuator state the remnant-UK would also inherit the UKs rights and obligations under the NPT (as the Russian Federation did), whereas the newly independent Scotland would be strongly encouraged to join the NPT (as Ukraine did), which could only be as a NNWS.

  2. Re a Scottish monarchy
    ____________
    This matter hasn’t really been debated yet
    In the Scot Nat Party(and it’s the goverment of Scotland as it is)here are two opinions…one is that Elizabeth Windsor(Saxe-Coburg Gotha)might become simply Queen of Scotland…she has after all two houses there,…Balmoral and Holyrood Castle in Edinburgh

    I suspect in the long run they would go for a republic…there being no scottish claimantfor the throne as the Royal Stewarts have long gone(and disasterous they were)

    However there is a republican sentiment also in the Scot Nats and there might ultimately be a referendum at some future date to decide

  3. Franz, Duke of Bavaria is the current Jacobite pretender (although he has never pretended himself). With its propensity to madness the Bavarian Royal House (Wittelsbach I think) is a great example of the evils of a hereditary monarchy.

  4. Good morning Dawn Patrollers! BK reporting for duty.

    Here we go again.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/australia-at-war-in-iraq-edging-closer-20140901-10b59o.html
    With words of warning from Hugh White.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/intelligence-is-the-key-only-fools-will-rush-into-iraq-20140901-10asyf.html
    Mark Kenny asks whether Parliament should approve any such deployment.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/should-parliament-decide-iraq-strategy-20140901-10atwi.html
    Paul Bongiorno – a failed war created a worse threat,
    http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2014/09/01/iraq-go-again-paul-bongiorno/
    Peter Hartcher with a good look at the problems in the Middle East.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/why-we-need-the-middle-east-to-help-fight-islamic-state-20140901-10ax8l.html
    Horrible stuff from the unions RC.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/trade-union-inquiry-witnesses-fear-for-safety-hearing-told-20140901-10b3nn.html
    Judith Bloody Sloan disgraces herself in SA with the worst speech ever delivered. She is a shocker!
    http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2014/09/01/hear-hear-turns-jeer-jeer-sloan/
    Influence and secretiveness surround the Packer casino approval.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/secret-casino-agreement-kept-from-public-20140901-10azna.html
    Kristina Keneally drops the bucket onto Tripodi at ICAC yesterday.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/the-ultimate-act-of-betrayal-former-premier-kristina-keneally-delivers-broadside-against-joe-tripodi-at-icac-20140901-10asdj.html
    The blindness of George Pell.
    http://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/society/2014/08/30/george-pells-blindness-child-sex-abuse/1409320800#.VATc5jK1ZcQ

  5. Section 2 . . .

    Research backs secular counsellors/chaplains.
    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/black-dog-institute-rejects-dollars-for-chaplains-proposal-20140901-10atoy.html
    Stephen Koukoulas – it’s going to be a big week for economic news.
    http://thekouk.com/blog/it-s-a-big-week-for-economic-news.html#.VATdFjK1ZcQ
    The three worst things the Liberals did yesterday.
    http://www.ellistabletalk.com/2014/09/02/the-three-worst-things-the-liberals-did-yesterday-49-2/
    The “pink batts” was a successful political fit up. Read Can-Do Newman’s comments at the end. Queensland has NOTHING to be proud of.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/a-litany-of-failures-tony-abbott-tables-royal-commissions-report-into-the-rudd-governments-home-insulation-scheme-20140901-10aw95.html
    How the LNP/MSM lied about the Home Insulation Program.
    http://www.independentaustralia.net/life/life-display/hip-royal-commission-submission-part-7-how-the-coalitionmsm-lied-about-pink-batts,6839
    Politics’ hidden millions in party favours.
    http://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2014/08/30/politics-hidden-millions-party-favours/1409320800#.VATfhjK1ZcQ
    Inside the World Congress of Families conference.
    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/01/i-went-to-the-world-congress-of-families-and-all-i-got-was-this-lousy-foetus-stress-toy
    Mike Seccombe’s view of Team Australia.
    http://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2014/08/30/when-team-building-fuels-racial-unrest/1409320800#.VATf3zK1ZcQ
    Craig Emerson and Greg Combet write about coal seam gas.
    http://www.afr.com/p/opinion/stumbling_towards_the_worst_of_all_Xfaqzgxq04CdbpkB5vKMlM

  6. Section 4 . .

    Cathy Wilcox and the coal barons.

    A classic from Alan Moir on Joe Tripodi’s brain.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/alan-moir-20090907-fdxk.html
    Clever work from Andrew Dyson.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/andrew-dyson-20090819-epqv.html
    MUST SEE! David Pope on Middle East policy.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html
    David Rowe has a visual metaphor of Australia’s sanctions on Russia.
    http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO
    And yesterday’s effort from Rowe on the First Fleet.

  7. Good morning?

    Is Scotland still a kingdom? If it secede, wouldn’t it just be Scotland but with the Queen as the head of state? Or the people could elect to have it as a republic in the Commonwealth.

  8. There is also Laurence Gardner The Chevalier Labhran of St Germain who claims to be the inheritor of the holy grail ( ie bloodline of Jesus) in the book of the same name AS A STUART.

  9. The story about organised crime links to the CFMEU and kickbacks being expose at the RC is not a good look for Labor again. I am not surprised by the links. Those familiar with past inquiries into the Sydney and Melbourne construction industries will not be surprised. My question is: with crimes reported extending up to murder, where was the police inquiry? Good day all.

  10. Socrates

    I read the BBC article as a bit of whitewashing and airbrushing out the importance of our maaates in the ME in creating and funding ISIS.

  11. Sloan: I have often wondered how she became a professor as I have only ever heard her make her points with anecdotes.

    [The harsh assessment may have had some relevance had she backed it up with a reasoned argument, with some examples.

    No. Instead, the Sloan assessment was an observation that Adelaide is a “government town”. Our public sector is so large that it dominates the economic landscape.

    Except that there were no numbers to back that up.

    She had, however, once met a nice taxi driver who complimented her on her “good looks” when she was on a trip to the airport (pleased, perhaps that she was getting out of town).]

    The audience apparently gave her the treatment she deserved.
    http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2014/09/01/hear-hear-turns-jeer-jeer-sloan/

  12. lizzie

    She is Sloane Square to the straps.

    Trashy Russians in Ferrari’s and picnic baskets from Harrods … (and the problem of what to do with the basket afterwards) she’d take in her stride.

  13. Considering they are in our region and Abbott is desperate for scary ME stories I’m surprised this story has been pretty much ignored.

    [U.N., Fiji say no word on location of peacekeepers abducted in Golan Heights

    – The head of the Fijian army said on Sunday negotiations for the release of 44 soldiers abducted by an al Qaeda-linked group on the Syrian side of the Golan Heights were being pursued as the United Nations said it had no word on the troops’ whereabouts.]
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/08/31/us-syria-crisis-peacekeepers-idUSKBN0GV07420140831

  14. A terrific selection today, BK. Many thanks. That Mike Secombe article is a must- read. David Pope is brilliant.
    I’m still working my way through the rest. I will enjoy reading about that obnoxious Judith Sloane being humiliated.

  15. Remember Mt Sinjar where Abbott “rescued” the Yazidis by bombing mountain goats with water bottles and biscuits the best part of a week after they’d been rescued ? Shame for Tones one of our current “baddies” seem to have been the ones who actually did rescue the Yazidi people.

    [Yazidis who escaped the Sinjar mountains say the US airstrikes were all very well, but if it weren’t for the Syrian Kurds, they wouldn’t have made it.

    A limited number were airlifted off the mountain, but the mass exodus took place on foot. The much-vaunted Peshmerga, meanwhile, initially ran.

    “The PKK [a political and militant Kurdish party based in Turkey) saved us. They cleared a path for us so we could escape the Sinjar Mountains into Syria.”

    “As we neared the path, we came under fire from two sides. Me and my brothers were shooting from the back of the vehicle.”

    “Thank God for the PKK and YPG (a Syrian branch of the PKK).”

    “If it wasn’t for the Kurdish fighters, we would have died up there.”]
    http://www.myantiwar.org/view/285206.html

  16. The right wing being very shrill about the HIP Royal Commission.

    I’d like to see a Royal Commission into Howard’s decision to send troops into Iraq

  17. “@GMegalogenis: The US is wary of getting sucked into Iraq again. Iraq hasn’t asked for our help. Yet Australia wants to intervene in Iraq. Strange days.”

  18. Hugh White making the statement that Obama is actng with real leadership in the current situation, tells us all a great deal about the Abbott

  19. AA

    Been nice here too. A real blast of winter for a couple of weeks.

    Then clear, sunny with little wind (with rain shower this morning).

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