You heard correct – the Sydney Morning Herald (I presume) has published a Nielsen poll of state voting intention in New South Wales which actually has Labor in front. This is, I am quite sure, the first poll to have Labor so placed in nearly six years. Labor’s lead of 51-49 comes from primary votes of 35% for Labor and 40% for the Coalition (UPDATE: And 12% for the Greens). These numbers courtesy of GhostWhoVotes; more no doubt to follow.
UPDATE: Despite all that, Barry O’Farrell maintains a healthy 50-30 lead over John Robertson as preferred premier, and has a positive net satisfaction rating (46% approve, 40% disapprove) while Robertson’s is negative (34% and 36%). The poll was conducted from Saturday to Wednesday from a sample of 1000.
UPDATE 2: Newspoll has different ideas, its bi-monthly reading for January-February producing a more normal looking result of 58-42 in favour of the Coalition. However, since this is derived from polling conducted over a two-month period, it can be surmised that this result fails to pick up backlash against the Coalition since the Independent Commission Against Corruption began investigating three Liberal MPs a fortnight ago, causing them to voluntarily withdraw from the party. The poll has the Coalition primary vote at 46% against 31% for Labor, with Barry O’Farrell holding a 49-19 lead over John Robertson as preferred premier.
OK….what kinda operation are you running here William?
First you are telling me its 51-49 to the ALP, then a few days later you are trying to tell me its 58-42 to the LNP.
Wassup? :devil:
“Their poll is new and ours is old, so that proves ours in more accurate.” Hello?
“Out of power for a generation” doesn’t mean what it used to. Unless the press are referring to generations of fruit flies, of course.
Newspoll table
http://polling.newspoll.com.au.tmp.anchor.net.au/image_uploads/140206%20NSW%20Voting%20Intention%20&%20Leaders%20Ratings%20Jan%20-%20Feb.pdf
03/03/14:Bimonthly reading of New South Wales voting intention and leaders ratings