Newspoll: 57-43 to Coalition in NSW

In the wake of its Miranda by-election success, Newspoll gives NSW Labor its best poll rating in three-and-a-half years, for what that is worth.

Another state Newspoll for New South Wales, this one for the period September-October (I personally would be more interested to see one from South Australia or Western Australia). In the wake of last month’s Miranda by-election miracle, the result offers a small amount of encouragement for Labor, who up four points on the primary vote to 32% – their first rating with a three in front since March-April 2010 – with the Coalition down the same amount to 45% and the Greens steady at 10%. The Coalition’s two-party preferred lead narrows from 61-39 to a still-commanding 57-43, which is likewise Labor’s best result since March-April 2010. The trend on the personal ratings is towards indecision: Barry O’Farrell is down one on approval to 45% and six on disapproval to 32%, Robertson is down three to 31% and four to 31%, and O’Farrell’s lead as preferred premier shifts from 52-22 to 50-19. The sample size is 1279, with the usual margin of error of about 3%. Tables courtesy of GhostWhoVotes.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

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