Galaxy: 67-33 to LNP in Queensland

GhostWhoVotes reports that Galaxy (courtesy of the Courier-Mail) has arrived with the first poll of state voting intention since the Queensland election, and finds the new LNP government enjoying a honeymoon spike on top of their astronomical election result. The LNP leads Labor 54% to 23% on the primary vote, compared with 49.7% and 26.7%, and 67-33 on two-party preferred, compared with 63.1-36.9 (the Greens are at 10% and Katter’s Australian Party at 7%, compared with 12.5% and 11.5% at the election). Campbell Newman also has a thumping 72-15 lead over Annastacia Palaszczuk in the debut preferred premier result for them both. For all that, Palaszczuk’s debut personal ratings of 38% approval and 18% disapproval are surprisingly strong, accounting for the inevitably enormous uncommitted rating, but not nearly so strong as Newman, on 64% approval and 19% disapproval. I presume the sample size was 800, for a margin of error of about 3.5%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

21 comments on “Galaxy: 67-33 to LNP in Queensland”

  1. Newman is doing ok so far even if a few moves have been a bit much. Generally overall he is starting to do what he was elected to do. Get control of the budget. Install some proper accountability back into government. Start tackling the amount of red tape.

  2. 3

    It is likely a combination of honeymoon effect, anti-ALP protest voters leaving (noy that the ALP vote showed that) and “the Katter Party only got 2 seats” factor. With a Brisbane based conservative premier the Katter Party is likely to increase its vote at the next election.

  3. [davidwh
    Posted Friday, May 25, 2012 at 12:16 am | Permalink
    Newman is doing ok so far even if a few moves have been a bit much. Generally overall he is starting to do what he was elected to do. Get control of the budget. Install some proper accountability back into government. Start tackling the amount of red tape.]

    Looks like you wont need to pack your bags and head south for many years yet david!

    More is the pity for us southerners, we need a few liberal voters in NSW 🙂

  4. It’s a Galaxy Poll. Plausible deniability for News. Designed to generate an outcome. No more to see. Enough said.

  5. davidWH, that’s just talk, not action. Action is moving Opposition MPs out of the Parliament building, altering the composition of committees to give the Government an outright majority and limiting the information available to the Opposition on the Government’s legislative program. Doesn’t sound very accountable to me.

  6. Itep I’m not sure the very short-term ex-Police Minister would agree however I do agree some of the early decisions have gone too far although trying to achieve a balance with so few opposition members is a task few governments have had to juggle.

  7. davidwh, the Opposition can worry about how to handle their duties – they don’t need the Government to do their worrying for them!

  8. [davidWH, that’s just talk, not action. Action is moving Opposition MPs out of the Parliament building, altering the composition of committees to give the Government an outright majority and limiting the information available to the Opposition on the Government’s legislative program. Doesn’t sound very accountable to me.]

    Sounds like the begining of Joh era TWO for me!.

  9. Taking action like Back flipping on the rego freeze and putting up the Costs of Living.Giving committee members a pay rise of $28,000 each.

  10. True Itep however it still has to function effectively from a practical sense and it’s the governments responsibility to make sure that is possible. Look there is a lot of politics happening at present let’s see what happens once it has all been operating for a while.

  11. If I am not mistaken, on this poll, the Qld ALP would have 2 seats (Inala and Woodridge) which they would hold on <2% margins.

  12. ML
    [If I am not mistaken, on this poll, the Qld ALP would have 2 seats (Inala and Woodridge) which they would hold on <2% margins.]

    Give them more time to become hated?, it's only a matter of time.

  13. I’m curious to know about how accurate polling tends to be for parties that have support concentrated in regions rather than widespread, such as Katter’s party.

    Would the fact that KAP went well in the election in North Queensland, but is not as popular in SEQ have an effect on polling if they mainly ask electors in more populated areas? Or do they poll all electorates equally?

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