The latest quarterly EMRS poll of state voting intention in Tasmania finds essentially no change since August: the Liberals are up a point to a still commanding 54 per cent, Labor is up one to a still diabolical 23 per cent, and the Greens (who tend to do inordinately well in this series) are up two to 20 per cent. As usual, you have to go to Table 3 in the link above to get results which include leaners and exclude the undecided, which other pollsters do as a matter of course. Liberal leader Will Hodgman is down four points to 48 per cent on preferred premier but still holds a commanding lead over Premier Lara Giddings, who is steady on 19 per cent, with Greens leader Nick McKim up a point to 14 per cent. The sample on the poll is 857, producing a margin of error of about 3.3 per cent.
Two further Tasmanian matters:
A plan by the Tasmanian ALP to hold a preselection primary for the state upper house seat of Hobart fell through after Dean Winter, 26-year-old media adviser to federal Franklin MP Julie Collins, was the only eligible candidate to nominate. ALP state secretary John Dowling was quoted in The Mercury saying the one other candidate to emerge was a non-financial member this possibly refers to Madeleine Ogilvie, who ran as a candidate for Denison at the state election and was named as a starter. The seat will be vacated at the election with the retirement of Labor’s Doug Parkinson, who expressed reservations about the preselection primary concept. Craig Hoggett of The Mercury further reports that the party was struggling to get 100 voters in the constituency to register as party supporters in order to participate in the vote. Dowling was quoted in the report saying the party was considering using a primary process to choose its candidate to run against Andrew Wilkie in Denison at the next federal election. The Mercury also reports that recently retired lord mayor Rob Valentine will run as an independent; that Hobart aldermen Bill Harvey could possibly run for the Greens, council colleague and unsuccessful lord mayor candidate Helen Burnet having ruled herself out; and that former Labor MP and cabinet minister Julian Amos has yet to confirm if he will run, presumably as an independent.