Highlights of day four

A summary of yesterday’s events that didn’t get posted overnight due to internet trouble.

• The election debate will be held from 6.30pm and 7.30pm on Sunday, an hour earlier and half an hour shorter than normal. The reason on both counts is to avoid a conflict with the final of MasterChef on Channel Ten. David Speers of SkyNews will moderate, and the leaders will face a panel consisting of Malcolm Farr from the Daily Telegraph, Chris Uhlmann of ABC News 24 and Laura Tingle of the Australian Financial Review.

Christian Kerr in The Australian reports the Liberal campaign headquarters that will belatedly commence operation today is believed to be at 90 Collins Street, Melbourne, but “sources said the location was even being hidden from campaign workers who are expected to begin work there today”.

• Julia Gillard spent yesterday in the western Sydney and hinterland seats of Macquarie and Greenway. Matthew Franklin and Sarah Elks of The Australian note this is of a piece with an apparent campaign strategy to favour set-piece photo opportunities over less easily manageable appearance in public places. Tony Abbott on the other hand remained in Melbourne – less than a target-rich environment as far as marginal seats are concerned – which included a public appearance in marginal Labor Deakin. David Crowe of the Australian Financial Review made the following observation yesterday:

In a pre-emptive strike against Prime Minister Julia Gillard, the Coalition has begun a below-the-radar campaign in regional Queensland to woo voters in key areas that could decide the federal election … Shadow treasurer Joe Hockey launched the effort late last week – a move that focused on local media and local campaigns rather than participation in the blanket national media coverage of the election, when it was called on Saturday. The strategy ensured the Coalittion had senior figures campaigning in cities such as Townsville and the highly marginal seat of Herbert before Ms Gillard headed to the area yesterday (Monday) morning. Beginning last Wednesday, Mr Hockey travleled from Gladstone to Mackay, Townsville, Innisfail and Cairns over five days to campaign for Coalition candidates”.

For all your campaign movement needs (not just the leaders), note Crikey’s excellent Election Tracker feature.

• Adrian Schonfelder, Labor’s candidate for the Melbourne hinterland seat of Flinders (held for the Liberals by Greg Hunt), has apologised for suggesting Tony Abbott’s conservative social positions were “influencing people to take their own lives”.

Simon Canning of The Australian notes Labor is “expected to keep its hands clean in the election marketing war by allowing the union movement to carry the can and send out ads attacking Liberal leader Tony Abbott and the threat of a Coalition government”. The Australian Workers Union’s Addams Family ad is cited as a case in point.

Tony Koch and Sean Parnell of The Australian consider the impact of the government’s restitution of programs to engage indigenous people with the electoral process, which had been cut by the Rudd government. The main marginal seats with high indigenous populations are Leichhardt in far north Queensland and the Darwin-based seat of Solomon.

• The Liberal National Party has come up with an odd arrangement whereby its newly preselected candidate for Kevin Rudd’s seat of Griffith, Rebecca Docherty – herself a substitute for dumped former Liberal Democratic Party figure John Humphreys – will make way for an unspecified “high-profile” candidate should Rudd have a late change of heart about remaining in politics.

• Discussing Newspoll and Galaxy results in the Financial Review, Andrew Catsaras calculates the “market share of swinging voters” – 17 per cent of the total – at 29 per cent for Labor, 35 per cent for the Coalition and 31 per cent for the Greens. I presume he’s done this by comparing the totals to some measure of the parties’ bedrock levels of support. If we’re lucky he might enlighten us in comments.

• The Daily Telegraph has published details of a poll on climate change conducted for lobbyist firm Parker and Partners by “online polling company Pureprofile”, showing 82 per cent of respondents favouring “strong or moderate action immediately”.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,113 comments on “Highlights of day four”

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  1. Glen@948

    Yeah Adam and he went on a show where he didnt need to defend his policies or get a grilling.

    Hence the Lib staffers will view this as a win.

    Not according to media reports:

    Unofficial NewsFeed 7NewsFanPage

    Abbott booed on Hey, Hey (AAP): Tony Abbott was booed on the set of Hey, Hey It’s Saturday as audience members mad… http://bit.ly/9rdaQs 10 minutes ago via twitterfeed

  2. From the above article:

    Mr Abbott’s appearance on Nine’s revived show wasn’t heavily promoted, with early evening promotions on the network instead spruiking Minogue’s appearance.

    The opposition leader just wished he could have joined some buffed young blokes who earlier performed on stage with Australia’s star songstress.

    “I kind of half wanted to be on the stage earlier when she was doing the song but too much body hair I suspect,” he told AAP in Melbourne after his TV appearance.

    “I enjoyed every second of it.

    “Just to be on the same stage as Kylie Minogue was really special.”

  3. Which PR idiot at Liberal HQ thought it would be a good idea for Abbott to humiliate himself by appearing on a show with Daryl Somers?
    Rudd at least chose the “classier” C grade Rove. 😉

  4. [The Dutch people I know are almost uniformly still deeply grateful to the Americans (and, to a lesser extent, the Canadians), for rescuing them]

    yes their home was taken over with permission of course by the Canadians and some americans up untill the 60s they still wrote letter to those ” lovley boys” as she would say.
    you know i loved my mother and father in law more than any one else i know
    expcept of course their son and our children I loved their courage and their gratitude for their new country and the people that helped them get by

  5. Glen you’re a one trick pony with all this “gutless” talk. Bit like poor old Cuppa and his unhinged anti- ABC hysteria.
    As Keating would say “go and get a job!” and then come back with something interesting to say.
    Kisses 🙂

  6. “”He decided that being grilled and filleted for the amusement of an ABC audience carries no advantage for him. I think he was quite right.””

    He probably was right. But I for one can’t wait for him to appear. The ABC will need to provide him with a seat belt as he will be shaking and shivering in the chair from his nerves. By not appearing he is actually building it up bigger than it should be. Confront your fears Tony and leave pugsley for Hey Hey, playschool and the fairies.

  7. [ He decided that being grilled and filleted for the amusement of an ABC audience ]

    Sorry to be pedantic but you would usually fillet then grill, or to be exact; club,gut fillet, grill…still your point still applies and I’d like to see it.

  8. Darren

    there is certifiable bias in some sections of the ABC

    cf previous links to resarrch conducted into media bias

    so pls dont diss glen and cuppa

    their view is as valid as most

  9. [Which PR idiot at Liberal HQ thought it would be a good idea for Abbott to humiliate himself by appearing on a show with Daryl Somers?]

    I thought it was a good idea – an opportunity to reach a politically disengaged, not-very-bright audience that normally switches off at the mention of politics, and present himself to them in an uncontroversial context. Though maybe it didn’t work out that way in practice.

  10. Saw the Hockey interview tonight. Agree with some here that he was actually pretty good at staying on message tonight which is a turnup for the Fibs.

    Its just that the message was that the Libs are going to mess with the operation of the Fair Work act, when his leader has been all over the place saying that they wont.

    Technically, his dodge that they have taken legal advice that what they are doing is “ok” is just going to contribute to the meme that the Libs, absolutuley, cannot be trusted on anything they say, particularly with regard to IR.

    The big mistake was releasing what even Sloppy Joe says is an insignificant savings measure as part of their savings plan yesterday. Strategically it was a real own goal. Once released, there was always a good chance that someone was going topick up on it, so a small issue bursts their “trust me on IR” balloon.

    Whoever is managing their campaign so far seesm to be demostrating quite spectacular levels of incompetance.

  11. William Bowe@968

    Which PR idiot at Liberal HQ thought it would be a good idea for Abbott to humiliate himself by appearing on a show with Daryl Somers?

    I thought it was a good idea – an opportunity to reach a politically disengaged, not-very-bright audience that normally switches off at the mention of politics, and present himself to them in an uncontroversial context. Though maybe it didn’t work out that way in practice.

    Hey Hey was the wrong show – AFL/NRL Footy Show/7pm Project/Before The Game would’ve worked better – Hey Hey’s popularity is largley based in Melbourne.

  12. [He decided that being grilled and filleted for the amusement of an ABC audience

    Sorry to be pedantic but you would usually fillet then grill, or to be exact; club,gut fillet, grill…still your point still applies and I’d like to see it]

    Jon – you’re not related to Bernard from “Yes Minister” are you?

  13. I’m sure that William has his reasons for banning ShowsOn till after the election but I must say that I’m disappointed as SO is one of my favourite posters here.

  14. [From the earliest days, Rudd got it. He understood that this was a massive scandal. Money had flowed from AWB to Saddam Hussein’s regime…in the lead-up to a war that most Australians didn’t want to fight (and indeed, that may have been avoidable if Saddam hadn’t rorted the sanctions)…But the part that really enraged him was this: the Howard Government had been repeatedly warned about the scandal and had failed to act. (179)

    If he is serious about holding the previous government to account for misdemeanours committed while in office, Rudd will reopen an enquiry that does not include a clause designed to protect the government. Overington seems to believe that this will happen in due course. If the Rudd government delivers on any of its promises, let’s hope that the poisonous legacy of denial of responsibility is among them.]

    Dee – Overington was good in ferretting the AWB thing out and I don’t understand why Rudd didn’t open it up.

    I’ve been tossing out old papers tonight and have a pile of stuff about how bad Costello was as a Treasurer. His socalled good economic management was really all smoke and mirrors and was done almost solely on the back of bracket creep from the mining boom and asset sales. The scrimping on spending on infrastructure was a major factor as well. Reading about it made me realise why the Libs are trying so hard to protect their legacy.

    Kerry challenged Joe on the FW stuff but not on his comments re debt and deficit.

    I’ll post a few pieces tomorrow when I’ve finished sorting.

  15. Gusface@973

    William

    would you have chosen to appear when kylie was on?

    and on what could be the final episode – even though Somers has confirmed it will be returning in October on “Shock” Saturday.

  16. deblonay@ 905, I am wondering how is it that somehow your presentation of a number of factual positions (a phrase which here means “things I agree with”) makes me think “this is a person who needs moderation in internet and personal terms”.

  17. I think, in trying to reinforce Tone’s ‘authentic’ label, thought that Hey Hey would be a good demographic to appeal to.

    As a show designed to entertain yobbos, an authentic yobbo should go down well.

  18. [I thought it was a good idea – an opportunity to reach a politically disengaged, not-very-bright audience that normally switches off at the mention of politics, and present himself to them in an uncontroversial context. ]

    I thought so too, bit since I didn’t see the show I can’t judge how Abbott came across or whether the appearance did him any good or not. It may be that Abbott is simply beyond redemption with any audience, as can sometimes be the case. Crean, for example, was just TV poison whatever he did. Rudd went on Rove with a specific objective – to break down his image as a nerdy technocrat and allow his human and funny side to be seen. And that was a success. I’m not sure what Abbott’s precise objective here was – to show he’s a good sport perhaps.

  19. [I’ve been tossing out old papers tonight and have a pile of stuff about how bad Costello was as a Treasurer. His socalled good economic management was really all smoke and mirrors and was done almost solely on the back of bracket creep from the mining boom and asset sales. The scrimping on spending on infrastructure was a major factor as well. Reading about it made me realise why the Libs are trying so hard to protect their legacy.]

    The above is reinforced by the fact that he didn’t land some big economics job after the election, and was forced to ‘stay on’ in politics.

  20. I like how TTH gave people a spray about ‘gutlessness’ (love Engerish), and then takes off! Perhaps he was just exhibiting said behaviour?

  21. [I’m sure that William has his reasons for banning ShowsOn till after the election but I must say that I’m disappointed as SO is one of my favourite posters here.]

    I’m disappointed to TomH – I got that repeated message on my screen and wondered what on earth was going on and then it came in again a few posts later for someone else.

    SO – you need putting over our knee! and need to go down on yours to William.

  22. [Dont think shows is banned, just in moderation??]

    Oh I think I see what you mean. SO can post but William has to review the post before it appears here?

    The problem with moderation is that by the time the post appears the discussion has moved on.

    Anyway SO please keep posting.

  23. Was GP on his best behaviour ?

    Hide
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    23 minutes ago via Facebook for iPhone · Comment · Like

  24. [ am not sure what Abbott’s precise objective here was ]
    To be publicly deprecated and humiliated for the enjoyment of the audience, he was trying to disarm peoples fears by looking so utterly ridiculous that people would be overcome by sympathy and vote for him out of pity… Hey it could have worked.

  25. Tom, I have a conundrum here. When ShowsOn behaves himself his comments are of a very high standard, and I would love nothing more than for him to stick to what he does well. However, much of the time – more often than is probably realised, given the huge volume of his comments that get chopped – he indulges in childish, repetitive abuse, and is utterly impervious to my requests for him to stop. Whereas TTH, for example, is the exact opposite. He stays on topic, cops torrents of abuse without responding in kind, and responds to what I ask of him with good grace. As far as the letter of the law is concerned, he’s an exemplary commenter. Unfortunately, he also happens to be a racist moron.

  26. [Crean, for example, was just TV poison whatever he did.]

    Agreed but interestingly he is very good on radio. I’m not sure why the difference because he’s not an ugly person but there is something off putting with his TV appearances.

  27. [Oh thats right, she chickened out.]

    Truthy, Ju;ia has more intelligence than to deliberately make herself look like a yobbo.

    She has class — something your man definitely lacks.

  28. imacca
    [Technically, his dodge that they have taken legal advice that what they are doing is “ok” is just going to contribute to the meme that the Libs, absolutuley, cannot be trusted on anything they say, particularly with regard to IR.]
    I have this recollection *vibe* that Turnbull was pretty long on the legal technicality and rather shorter on political nouse. At the time, it was put down to him being a lawyer and political neophyte

    However, perhaps this continuing theme of relying on legal advice to make policial points is a reflection of a continuing them of laziness in lack of policy development (into which, and from which, political strategies would flow)

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