Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

The latest weekly Essential Research survey gives Labor its best polling news for a while, showing it recovering a 52-48 lead. Essential Research’s figures are a two-week rolling average, so that half the sample for each survey was used the week before and the other half for new polling. It appears the outfit’s recent weekly results have progressively gone 54-46, 52-48, 48-52, 52-48, 52-48. The survey also asks whether views of the Prime Minister and the government have become more favourable or less favourable (11 per cent and 58 per cent); ditto for Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party (26 per cent and 34 per cent); why the government has become less popular recently (“not honouring their election commitments” leads a crowded field on 24 per cent); why the oposition has become more popular recently, although evidently it hasn’t (“Tony Abbott is more in touch with ordinary Australians” leads on 21 per cent); whether Rudd or Abbott are more or less trustworthy than the average politician (less in each case, with a statistical dead heat between the two); and last but not least, whether respondents support or oppose the resources super profits tax (43 per cent and 36 per cent).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

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