Galaxy: 57-43 to Coalition in NSW

The Daily Telegraph has published a Galaxy poll on NSW state voting intention, presumably from the outfit’s usual sample of 800 respondents, and it confirms the general impression of a popular Premier leader her party towards a massive defeat. The Coalition holds leads over Labor of 57-43 on two-party preferred and, perhaps more importantly under optional preferential voting, 44 per cent to 29 per cent on the primary vote. Against that, Kristina Keneally’s approval rating is up eight points to 53 per cent, and she leads Barry O’Farrell as preferred premier 42 per cent to 34 per cent. We are also told that 66 per cent want the government out of office, but only 40 per cent believe the Coalition deserves to win; that Barry O’Farrell is “liked” by only 19 per cent, and trusted by only 27 per cent; and that the Coalition are perceived better managers of roads, public transport, law and order and health, but Labor maintains an edge in education. I suspect the paper contains a table adding flesh to these bones, but that’s all I have for now. The poll was conducted to mark one year before the next election, which has also prompted a pre-mortem of the Labor government from Antony Green.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

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