The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor bouncing from last fortnight’s 52-48 quirk to 56-44. Interesting to note that Kevin Rudd’s personal ratings were unaffected by the upheaval: while the two-party rating went from 59-41 to 52-48 to 56-44, preferred prime minister went from 65-19 to 63-19 to 63-22. More to follow. Also:
Essential Research‘s two-party figure has lurched from 59-41 to 55-45, the lowest lead for Labor in its 18 months of operation. These figures combine two weeks of polling, suggesting a particularly sharp drop was recorded in the most recent survey. Further questions in the survey focus on issues of national importance, party best able to handle various economic issues (Coalition leads Labor on government debt by 24 points), importance of a national broadband network (high) and who should run it (the feds or failing that Telstra), which kinds of organisations are the most influential (media and the banks) and whether emissions trading scheme legislation should be delayed until after Copenhagen (slight lean to yes).
Full results from Saturday’s Newspoll survey of marginal Queensland seats here. Labor holds remarkably consistent 3 to 4 per cent leads across all of them, including three they hold, two they don’t and one (Dickson) which the redistribution has changed from Liberal to notional Labor.
The Greens have published a Galaxy survey on attitudes to climate change, the dubiousness of which is explored by Andrew Norton.
Kirsty Needham of the Sydney Morning Herald reports Werriwa MP Chris Hayes has received support from the state secretaries of the Right faction Transport Workers Union and Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association. A deal at federal level gives Werriwa to the Left in exchange for a clear run for the Right in Fowler, leaving Hayes to contest marginal Macarthur.
Alex Easton of the Northern Star names Tweed mayor Joan van Lieshout as a potential Liberal candidate for (federal) Richmond.
[How people, no matter what side of politics they come from can be so sanguine about this is beyond me. Surely the role of the ABC in a functioning democracy is too important to be left to the current crop of hacks posing as journalists.]
Don’t forget, Janet and co were only put on the board to help with the ironing
Morgan face to face and phone poll primary data available on the raw info page:
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/Trends.cfm
Face to face from last W/E (14/15) – Lab 45 – Coalition 36.5 (Greens 9% and FF 3%).
This is a 5pt drop in Liberal primary
Phone poll (11-12/11) which would have fed into their ETS polling was
Lab 42.5, Coalition 41.5
[Their radio news is without a shadow of doubt, a propaganda arm of the coalition.]
But that’s exactly what the Right say but the other way around. Frankly, most of the biased media comments reveal more about the person making them than about the journalist or organisation.
I listen to triple J, which is part of the ABC, and I can assure you they aren’t a propaganda arm of the coalition.
Other data up now
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4438/
TPP 56/5-43.5
[ShowsOn, on any well-formed reading of Abbott’s politics his prior statements – that is, the ones he made in between the ones where he’s clearly a sceptic and which you then hung your argument on]
I never disputed that he is a skeptic (well, that’s a misnomer, he is actually a denier), the question was did he or did he not support passing the bills. Before Monday he did:
[Last night, one Liberal frontbencher said of Monday’s shadow cabinet meeting: “The only person who’s changed his position is Tony Abbott; otherwise it’s the usual suspects.”]
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/turnbull-urged-to-lead-battle-on-ets/story-e6frg6zo-1225799937065
Me @ 1802
Make that a 3% drop 😳
[But that’s exactly what the Right say but the other way around. Frankly, most of the biased media comments reveal more about the person making them than about the journalist or organisation.
I listen to triple J, which is part of the ABC, and I can assure you they aren’t a propaganda arm of the coalition.]
Of course Dio. Janet and co were only put on the ABC board to jazz up the Triple J playlists.
[I listen to triple J, which is part of the ABC, and I can assure you they aren’t a propaganda arm of the coalition.]
I stopped listening after their news service and in particular the morning show with Steve Kenane turned into a propaganda arm for the Greens.
As to who the 7 might be, I tried to get us to start thinking about where the Liberal Senators stand on the CPRS yesterday or the day before.
Itep then said s/he could only think of three Libs who might outright support the Bill.
[The question is, who will they be?]
My guess, Ronaldson, Boyce, Birmingham, Coonan, Payne, Troeth, Humphries.
Others will abstain which will deplete the ‘no’ vote which will lead to it easily being passed.
New thread.