The first post-budget poll is an ACNielsen survey of 1400 respondents, and it’s given Labor its second weakest poll result since the election of the Rudd government. The first was the same outfit’s 52-48 result from September last year. ACNielsen’s previous survey in March had Labor’s lead at 58-42. The poll finds that:
Labor’s primary vote is down three points since March to 44 per cent, while the Coalition is up six to 43 per cent.
The Coalition has opened up a most unlikely sounding five point primary vote lead in Victoria, after trailing by 20 per cent in March.
Kevin Rudd’s lead as preferred prime minister is down from 69-24 to 64-28.
Rudd’s approval rating is down 10 points to 64 per cent, and his disapproval is up 10 to 32 per cent. Turnbull’s ratings are unchanged at 43 per cent and 47 per cent.
While 56 per cent believe the budget to have been fair, only 40 per cent support the budget’s phased increase in the age of pension eligibility from 65 to 67, and 38 per cent say the budget will make them worse off personally. Twenty-three per cent say it will make them better off.
The print edition will presumably feature a full chart with none-too-reliable state breakdowns.
UPDATE: No such budget narrowing from Essential Research, which has Labor’s two-party lead up from 61-39 to 62-38. However, Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is down nine points from three weeks ago to 61 per cent, while his disapproval is up eight to 29 per cent. Turnbull is respectively up two to 30 per cent and up one to 49 per cent. Interestingly, fewer people found the budget bad for them personally than had expected to beforehand. Twenty-five per cent say it will make them more likely to vote Coalition against 22 per cent Labor. Peter Brent has ACNielsen’s state, area, gender and age breakdowns here.
717 comments on “ACNielsen: 53-47”
I hope that Newspoll is unchanged or better for Labor. It will serve Costello right for jumping in so quickly on a single ACNielsen poll and making an ass of himself.
ALP primaries up 4, Libs down 1. All good.
[And who gave Iraq weapons to do so?]
The Soviet Union and France, overwhelmingly.
Cheers ShowsON, top work
Big drop for Rudd in the satisfied – 64-58.
Turnbull stays negative – 40-42 (I got that one right!)
Newspoll 56/44 at http://www.mumble.com.au
HAHAAH NEWSPOLL 56/44 stuff that up your clackers GP, Glen, Bree, Costello, and all you other Liberal hacks!
Well, the Essential Research poll is certainly worthless then.
So another rogue Nielsen poll then.
Rudd on Lateline.
All the polls have had some very wierd numbers this week. ER with an improvement for the government but poor numbers on the budget, ACN with poor numbers for the government but good budget numbers, and Newspoll with ALP primaries up but Kevs numbers down. Very, very odd.
[So another rogue Nielsen poll then.]
Pretty lame considering it seems Fairfax can only afford to do 3 a year now.
Newspoll will always be better for Labor.
The only thing common in all polls is Rudd’s satisfaction rating is down, but still generally quite high.
All polls except for the actual election are rogue. 🙂
[Well, the Essential Research poll is certainly worthless then.]
Not at all. A slight swing upward, just like Newspoll.
Suck it up GP! 😀
The most salient factor in all the recent polls is a significant reduction in Rudd’s popularity versus the previous stratospheric support.
Maybe he needs another overseas trip. It always helps his popularity. His only problems occur when he comes back.
Comments are closed.