Westpoll: 57-43 to Liberal in WA

The West Australian’s latest Westpoll survey of state voting intention gives the Barnett government its best result yet: a two-party lead up from 56-44 to 57-43 and primary votes of 49 per cent for the Liberals, 4 per cent for the Nationals, 34 per cent for Labor and 7 per cent for the Greens. Colin Barnett’s preferred premier rating is down a point to 56 per cent and Eric Ripper’s is steady on 13 per cent. Saturday’s West carried results from the same survey which suggest the daylight saving proposal will be heavily defeated at the referendum on May 16. The poll showed 57 per cent opposition and 42 per cent support for daylight saving ending in late March, as proposed. Alternative ending dates in late February and late January were also opposed, by 52-46 and 55-43 respectively. Samples for Westpoll surveys are around 400.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

68 comments on “Westpoll: 57-43 to Liberal in WA”

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  1. Alannah “the best next Labor Premier”?!?!?!? ……you gotta be kidiing me?!?

    This is someone who has an ego bigger than Carps, and quite frankly I dont want someone who wears sunglasses at night as Premier. I for one would be glad to see her spending less time in Perth and more time in Canberra……ALANNAH FOR CANNING!!!

  2. “This will insure Barnett is re-elected in a landslide at the next election.”?!?!?

    Highly unlikely under any circumstances!

  3. Landslide? Hmm. Brave talk, considering he needs six more seats just to have a majority (seven if they drop Morley), and that’s only happened once before (1996, Richard Court’s second term). The redistribution may help with that, though… there’s less room for the Nationals to grow, unless they start winning seats up north, and more seats that the Liberals could win in the city.

  4. Because she’s a manic depressive Young Liberal. I doubt she’s ever been to WA. 😉

    Here’s a few more of my random thoughts on the 2013 election (yes, I know it’s a long way off). There’s a few possibilities of what might happen…

    Libs pick up several seats in Perth (ie: Bree’s wished-for landslide): Lib govt.
    Libs pick up a couple of Perth seats: same as current, Lib/Nat govt.
    ALP pick up a couple of Perth seats (or more): ALP govt.

    There’s one other option. Say the ALP pick up a few Perth seats (say Morley, Mt Lawley, Wanneroo), but lose North West and Pilbara to the Nationals, who hold their four wheatbelt seats. That would be a very interesting situation. Last time, Brendon Grylls wanted the Nats to go with the ALP, as did Wendy Duncan (upper house, Mining and Pastoral), but the other three wheatbelt MP’s were firmly with the Liberals so that’s what ended up happening. If there end up being more Nat MP’s from up north, it may strengthen Grylls’ hand, particularly if the Nats aren’t happy with the Libs after four years. Meanwhile, there could well be a Greens MP in Fremantle, which would complicate things further. Imagine something like ALP 28, Lib 21, Nat 6, Grn 1, Ind 3 (Constable, Woollard, Bowler). Now that’ll be fun to watch. 😉

  5. John Ryan posted the following on the other thread:

    [Any one on here been following the to my mind hysterical over reaction to the cops getting bashed and one seriously injured,and the Govt is introducing mandatory sentencing for assaults on Police.
    It will be interesting to see how this plays out given the level of hysteria being whipped up by 2 second rate Talk Jocks on 6PR,Beaumont and Sattler have pushed this along as hard as they can.
    I will be waiting to see how long before the local Police decided to test it out,though it will have one good point we will have a jail led boom as they build more,I don’t have a lot of confidence in the honesty and integrity of the WA cops,they have a history of shady dealings and gross incompetence and railroading Innocent people.]

    And I’m outraged by Mike Dean’s veiled threat to ensure the legislation is passed.

    [Change the law and we will back you,” he said. “Close your eyes and minds and ignore us and we will make your lives a nightmare.”]

    If it was Kevin Reynolds who said that, then the CFMEU would be before the ABCCC before you could say “Everybody Out”, yet the WA Police Union can get away with it.

    Talk about Double Standards

  6. Oh dear, so Barnett are trying to buy Bowler’s and Wollard’s vote ?

    [The Member for Pilbara Tom Stephens has told state parliament the payment of extra money for research purposes to John Bowler and Janet Wollard amounts to corruption and he is demanding an independent investigation.

    According to budget papers, the pair, along with the Greens have been awarded an extra $1 million dollars to enable them to deal with Government legislation.

    Mr Stephens says the payment to Independents is improper.

    “Corruption that goes to the core of this Government where it has misallocated resources, resources that are being allocated in a differential manner that will support two Independent members of this house, two independent members of this house alone and prop them up additional resources and we need to know the details,” he said.

    “This is wrong. The Government should know its wrong.

    “We on this side of the house know its wrong.

    The CCC Commissioner will know its wrong and heads will roll.

    “That’s what the parliament should be about.

    “Accountability should not be bought out in this way.”]

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/03/18/2520071.htm

  7. I don’t know the rules of funding for research officers, but that looks fair enough to me. Bowler and Woollard’s votes are necessary for anything the Liberals try to do (I guess Constable operates on the principle that she might as well be a Liberal), so it’s only natural that they’d be treated as quasi-government MP’s. It’s also pretty silly to say the Liberals are propping up Woollard when they tried so hard to win Alfred Cove back.

    I wonder why the Greens are getting this cash? I thought half the point of the Nats going with the Libs was that they wouldn’t have to rely on the Greens’ votes in the upper house. Yay for extra money and all, but I don’t quite understand.

  8. [I don’t know the rules of funding for research officers, but that looks fair enough to me. Bowler and Woollard’s votes are necessary for anything the Liberals try to do (I guess Constable operates on the principle that she might as well be a Liberal), so it’s only natural that they’d be treated as quasi-government MP’s. It’s also pretty silly to say the Liberals are propping up Woollard when they tried so hard to win Alfred Cove back.]

    According to Today’s West, Labor didn’t fund Wollard, Constable or D’Orazio when they were in Govt.

    Can’t post a link, it’s only in the dead tree version.

  9. Well, Labor had a majority – they didn’t need to deal with the independents to get legislation through the lower house. The Libs would be fairly well aware how far they are from having a majority, and acting accordingly. Slightly dodgy, but understandable… no doubt if there was currently a minority Labor govt relying on John Bowler, Carol Adams and Adele Carles, they’d be doing the same.

  10. Subi Post has more stuff about council amalgamations. Apparently Barnett would like to see Cottesloe and Mosman Park merge, and Nedlands and Claremont merge, but Peppermint Grove stay as it is, because it’s ‘the Monaco of WA’. *bangs head on desk* It also had an article from the Town of Cambridge, predictably saying that Cambridge should stay as is.

  11. [Subi Post has more stuff about council amalgamations. Apparently Barnett would like to see Cottesloe and Mosman Park merge, and Nedlands and Claremont merge, but Peppermint Grove stay as it is, because it’s ‘the Monaco of WA’. *bangs head on desk* It also had an article from the Town of Cambridge, predictably saying that Cambridge should stay as is.]

    Ahh, don’t you love the Western Suburbs Mafia – talk about closed shops, and apparently according to the West, the lazy sods in the Shire of Peppermint Grove don’t even have to wheel their wheelie Bins to the roadside for collection, the garbos come to the backyard and collect them.

  12. About the Subiaco stadium rebuild – ain’t going to happen folks 🙁

    [
    Ten minutes of ABC radio this morning sounded the death knell of the new Subiaco stadium.

    Confirming that it is merely a naive cliché that sport and politics should not mix, particularly if the pollies are paying sport’s bills, three powerful interviewees potentially set back football’s cause by what could be decades.

    WA football administrators have been apprehensive for the past week over the chances of the $1.1 billion stadium project continuing under a new State Government hamstrung by its commitment to the regional-focused Nationals.

    Whether it was Labor or Liberal who formed Government, footy believed the stadium would be in the crosshairs if projects had to be dumped or rationalised to keep the Nationals sweet.

    One or two footy bosses at the WAFL preliminary final on Saturday had moved from apprehension to outright pessimism about Subiaco being redeveloped.

    They would have had good reason for their gloom if they were listening to the ABC today.

    Kingmaker Brendon Grylls, new premier Colin Barnett and influential Independent Liz Constable were interviewed in that order by the ABC’s Geoff Hutchison and the support for Subiaco diminished with every new voice.

    http://blogs.thewest.com.au/general/john-townsend-say-goodbye-to-new-subi-stadium/
    ]

  13. [Kingmaker Brendon Grylls, new premier Colin Barnett and influential Independent Liz Constable were interviewed in that order by the ABC’s Geoff Hutchison and the support for Subiaco diminished with every new voice.]

    Though it should be noted that the article quoted was from September 15th, the basic thrust is still correct, there will be no Subi Stadium, unless the Nats can successfully move it to Northam 🙂

  14. Bree, You better go and get your blood checked. I suspect it maybe a bit blue. Hasn’t anyone ever told you that the Liberal (Liars) party ARE NOT BORN TO RULE, although they think they are.

    The way things are starting to go with the current loose coalition in WA, I think the wheels will start falling off soon. Barney wasn’t even a competent energy minister in the Court gov, and now he’s running the state. They are struggling to manage the 3% cuts to the budget. The govt should be driving this issue, not expecting the department heads to find the savings.

    It’s so good to see the Liars trying to manage the WA economy in the current economic climate. They have always had it so easy governing in the good times, but never in the bad, well now they can have a go at stuffing things up.

    I suspect WA will be going back to the polls in about six months, then we can kick out this mob that never got the majority vote. Alannah for Premier.

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