State Newspoll bonanza, episode three. The Australian reports the latest quarterly survey of Queensland state voting intention shows Labor’s lead narrowing from 60-40 to 55-45, their primary vote lead down from 50-32 to 43-38. More to follow.
UPDATE: Queensland like New South Wales has optional preferential voting, so there might be the same issue with the two-party calculation that Antony Green detects in yesterday’s poll (see below) though likely with less severe consequences. According to my rough calculation, minor party and independent preferences at the 2006 Queensland election went 35 per cent to Labor and 18 per cent to the Coalition with 47 per cent exhausting. Using the Newspoll primary vote figures, this produces 55.5-44.5 if you don’t exclude exhausted votes, but 54.5-45.5 if you do (which you should).