7.45pm. Final results for the night: Kerry Finch on 72.8 per cent, Paul Harriss on 62.0 per cent. Mark Rickards will lose a little on pre-polls and postals, but his 38.0 per cent is nonetheless an encouraging result for the Greens.
7.12pm. Twenty-two Huon booths now in; Rickards wins the Kettering booth 228-190, and is still on 38.4 per cent of the vote. Kerry Finch on 73.4 per cent in Rosevears with 11 of 15 booths in.
7.00pm. Seven out of 15 booths in from Rosevears: Colin O’Brien’s 26.8 per cent of the vote is a little higher than I would have expected.
6.57pm. Sixteen booths now in from Huon. Rickards might be disappointed by his 396-371 loss in Sandfly, but his vote is otherwise holding up at 38.2 per cent.
6.53pm. Kevin Bonham says in comments that the trend points to a Greens vote of about 36 per cent.
6.50pm. Nine booths in now from Huon (out of 27), and while Paul Harriss will clearly win, the Greens are doing well enough that the election is more interesting than I expected. Mark Rickards has easily won the Woodbridge booth 211-139, and has 39.8 per cent of the total vote. The Greens narrowly won Woodridge at the federal election.
6.46pm. Kevin Bonham offers more authoritative comments on the Huon figures than my own in comments. Note I was wrong two posts ago about the Middleton 2006 result: the Greens won Sandfly, Barnes Bay and Kettering at that election, but not Middleton.
6.45pm. Two booths in from Rosevears, Finch on 72.7 per cent.
6.42pm. Turns out the Greens outpolled the Liberals at Middleton at the federal election and and
topped the poll there at the 2006 state election. According to Bonham and Tucker, Green support in Huon is strongest around the D’Entrecasteux Channel.
6.37pm. Four booths in from Huon, and without really knowing the terrain, it seems the Greens candidate is doing remarkably well. He’s won the Middleton booth 113 votes to 91, and had 37.2 per cent of the vote overall.
6.05pm. Round about now, polls are closing in today’s periodical Tasmanian upper house elections, where sitting independents Paul Harriss and Kerry Finch are certain to be re-elected in Huon and Rosevears respectively. Huon covers southern Tasmanian coastline south-west of Hobart; Rosevears includes the western suburbs of Launceston and extends north-west to the mouth of the Tamar River (the Tamar Valley pulp mill location of Bell Bay is on the opposite bank). Harriss once ran as a Liberal lower house candidate at the 1996 state election, and is generally considered to be unsympathetic to the government. He will face Greens candidate Mark Rickards, a former Royal Australian Navy officer and candidate for Franklin at the 2006 state election. Finch is most notable to the nation at large as one of four upper house independents who voted against the pulp mill. He faces a challenge from Colin O’Brien, an independent candidate of low profile. I will make a few observations about the results as they become available.
As I do every year, I have conducted a survey of the upper house independents’ voting record in parliament, this time taking the effort to conduct a separate count of votes that were substantive rather than procedural. The table below shows how often each voted with the four Labor members (five before Terry Martin quit last year); note that Don Wing doesn’t get to vote as he is Council President.
|Jim Wilkinson (Nelson)||3/8||1/6||25/59 (42%)||2014|
|Sue Smith (Montgomery)||8/11||6/8||19/58 (33%)||2013|
|Greg Hall (Rowallan)||6/8||5/6||27/64 (42%)||2012|
|Don Wing (Paterson)||0/0||0/0||2/14 (14%)||2011|
|Ruth Forrest (Murchison)||5/11||5/8||8/16 (50%)||2011|
|Tanya Rattray-Wagner (Apsley)||5/10||4/7||11/27 (41%)||2010|
|Terry Martin (Elwick)||2/9||2/7||0/1 (0%)||2010|
|Norma Jamieson (Mersey)||3/9||3/7||8/36 (22%)||2009|
|Ivan Dean (Windemere)||10/10||8/8||13/39 (33%)||2009|
|Kerry Finch (Rosevears)||4/10||4/8||22/45 (49%)||2008|
|Paul Harriss (Huon)||6/11||4/8||10/64 (16%)||2008|
|Tony Fletcher (Murchison)||–||–||6/48 (13%)||2005|
|Colin Rattray (Apsley)||–||–||19/36 (53%)||2004|