Tasmanian reader Econocrat tells of a stunning Newspoll result foreshadowed on tonight’s Lateline: 58-42 to Labor. More to follow …
UPDATE: Kevin Rudd’s lead as preferred prime minister has increased to 50 per cent to 37 per cent. Like the two-party figure, this is a 2 per cent change in either direction from last week. Preliminary reports at Sky News and The Australian.
UPDATE 2: Graphic here, Dennis Shanahan here. Kevin Rudd’s satisfaction rating has recovered three points after a dip last week; the Coalition’s lead on the question of best party to handle the economy has narrowed to 46-37 from 48-33 three weeks ago; its lead on best party to handle national security has unaccountably narrowed from 45-33 to 43-39; and Labor’s leads on education and health have widened considerably. No doubt much of this can be put down to a very Labor-friendly poll sample. Most interesting is a question on strength of voting intention which gives no reason to think the support for Labor might be “soft”.
Bam!
Is this a joke?
Not a joke, unless Tony Jones has given up current affairs for stand-up…
Unbelievable,
Can it be true? Lets get to the bookies before ALP shortens too far.
and that was BEFORE the debate I take it.
Two words:
Nail
Coffin
From Adam on the previous thread:
That’s as I remember it, but I don’t remember her being called anything other than Ricky.
Huckin’ fell!
Is this real? I have considered pinching myself
Presumably conducted on Saturday and Sunday, in the traditional Newspoll fashion.
Adam – yes – pre-debate…
No h*br*s please, Labor people (that’s an order from Hack Central).
It sure is to Labor.
Preffered Prime Minister: Rudd ahead 50 -37
50-38 PPM
She’ll always be Henrike to me.
How about PPM?
37… my bad
Whoooooo!
cheers eco, read my mind
Just in:
Tony Abbot accuses those surveyed by Newspoll as ‘already having made up their minds’ and asks where Newspoll found these people.
BRING BACK GLEN!
He NEEDS to see this! 😛
I’m a neutral observer with Labor sympathies
I try not to overreact
But still….. HOLY S#!@T
Using the immortal Antony Green’s calculator (you’re a legend Antony and we all luv ya) this equals …… it won’t fit!!!!!!!!!!!
Never in my wildest dreams did I think it this happen
What bloody narrowing?
Is that the sound of sharp blade on wrist flesh coming out of liberal hq?
Woot woot woot!!!! Where is Glen?
(What was the NP vote etc etc)
Well there’s a few people on this blog that will sleep more soundly tonight LOL
What I said about the favourable polls for the Libs last week holds true for this Newspoll as well. It was taken in a period where Labor dominated the news cycle, it’s little wonder 58-42 was the result.
It is however pretty convincing evidence the Libs tax policy wasn’t a ‘knockout punch’, ‘king-hit’ or whatever other analogy was used this time last week.
Long way to go, but good signs for Labor…
Any sign of John Hunt is a Coward? With his remarkable insight.
This is EXACTLY what Labor needs, some serious rogue action to demoralise the opposition.
With the margin of error is still within 56-44 range that its been for months. Nothings changed!
BONG BONG BONG BONG
Ask not, Edward, for whom the bell tolls. It tolls for thee.
Confirmed on Sky. Someone get the Packer-whacker for Johnny.
Malcolm Farr on Sky – “Shows you what half a computer can do”
I still cannot believe this 🙂
Not in my wildest dreams did i think it would be 58/42 🙂
Has this ever happened before that the alp has widened the gap so much in the first week?
This is being discussed on Sky News NOW
Ouch!! Another testing of cabinet support by Howard coming up?
OK, no hubris, settle down people, we must all be calm and rational about this…..
YIPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Someone pinch me.
Adam, with 58-42, and the economy issue largely exhausted for any real mileage in the media cycle, it is time to turn to the Labor strengths (save for nat.security). Could overt enthusiasm be an acceptable attitude?
Oh my, the last three days have been very very good days indeed 🙂
Love it!!!
F*ck hubirs Glen…. BOO-YAH!
*Does a little dance around his kitchen*
Oh Narrowing, Narrowing, wherefore art thou Narrowing?
Might I suggest we take this as 55/45 with MOE and not get to over confident. It just mean one weak closer and status quo, 5 to go and stay on the ball Kevi [and no measuring offices].
What was the last Newspoll result ?
Ouch 58-42, that has got to hurt and I assume it was conducted before the debate ?
WOW!
WOW!
WOW!
WOW!
I am genuinely stunned. Both at the 2PP and the preferred PM figures. Not to mention this was taken before the debate.
WOW!
I wonder why Smirky didn’t rule out a leadership challenge today?
By the way, I’ve stopped now……
YOU BEAUTY!!!!!!!
OK, now I’ve stopped…….
Damn, what a crap poll, no 6 in front of it.
Labor Hacks are allowed ten minutes of gloating, and then it’s back to filling out fake postal votes, OK?
Ok I’ll play my pessimism card – this is obviously too good to be true, so next week when it goes to 56-44 the GG will run “Howard fights back”…
nah bugger it, the Libs needed to get momentum early. It was THE ONLY reason they released their tax policy last week. It failed.
What else can they do now?
The worm lives.
Looking forward to Possum’s analysis. Pollycide Part 4!!!