Morgan: 56.5-43.5

Morgan’s now-weekly face-to-face poll, from a sample of 844, shows Labor’s two-party preferred lead narrowing from 59-41 to 56.5-43.5. The Coalition’s primary vote is up from 36 per cent to 39.5 per cent, and Labor’s down from 51 per cent to 49.5 per cent.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

828 comments on “Morgan: 56.5-43.5”

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  1. Glen, these are current and proposed Howard government policies that affect all Australians. Rudd’s policies, if debated, are fair game. Although the government has tended to distort the facts (shock horror damnation….) since it cannot seem to win the debate without misrepresenting Rudd’s policies, such as dental.
    It is the politics of personal attack that Rudd repudiates. The weak heart smear fits with the ‘weak leader’ theme emanating from the liberals. It was reported as being leaked by “anti-labor sources”. Now, who could that be I wonder?

  2. lucidly put, adam.

    when you look at newspoll’s stats you can see it clearly: howard is most unpopular in the strongest labor seats. at the liberal end of the spectrum, howard is still reasonably well-regarded. a lot of people clearly feel that howard has disappointed them. their household budgets are suffering and their hopes have been diminshed.

    maybe this demonstrates the fair-go reflex is still alive and well in the suburbs.

  3. 797
    Pauline Says:
    September 23rd, 2007 at 11:41 pm
    A little birdie just told me that tomorrow’s Galaxy poll shows no significant change. No figures, sorry. So most likely a status quo or within MOE. Time is running out…It is not a good look for desparate Libs to hang on for dear life.
    yes, howard is looking like a frightened duck now

  4. If Kevin Rudd repudiates personal attacks why did he let Macklin accuse the Prime Minister of personally attacking Kevin Rudd with no proof i say again no proof of any such link…sounds like a hypocrite to me TofK.

    Chris B i am not in denial…obviously Labor are 65-35 favourites to win and unless things change quick the Libs are history at least for a while but i still think Rudd is a two question politician and that he’ll crack when he has a media pack following him round and probing him about more tricky things than tax rates and there is a chance he’ll blow it…but i think Howard has a good story to tell and there is no reason for a change of Government the economy is good and the government is competent (although you’d obviously disagree but hey)…

  5. If no change in the Galaxy, do you think it could explain the explosion of government advertising tonight? It was bad in the footy on Saturday, but alot worse today. Not sure how advertising booking works too much, but hey, I like to ponder why my tax dollars (yes and yours, probably more) are being thrown around like confetti.

  6. Macklin asked how private medical information was leaked, as reported, by “anti-labor sources”. She accused the Govt of conducting a smear campaign.
    Reload, and aim. (I like this gun analogy :))

  7. And furthermore. Had cause to travel with my sister on Friday. Funeral etc. Discussed politics. We are Boothby. Sister is notorious swinging voter, despite our Labor background. Loves Nicole, though that is not the reason. Kids is. In workforce. Is definitely voting Labor.

    Relayed this to bro’ tonight. He was amazed and pleased.

  8. Yes, the ads are not good for anyone with high blood pressure and disdain for neocons. Fortunately for my health, I only experience the latter.

  9. 809
    Adam Says:
    September 24th, 2007 at 12:00 am
    How nice to know that I am one of the few people in Australia who has never seen any of these government adverts.
    well, i have tv, but am allergic to commercial channels. i wonder if the adverts are working at all. possum might be able to instruct us.

  10. The catholic church seems to have re-emphasised its disdain for capitalism, the Pope proclaiming that “Capitalism should not be considered the only valid model of economic organisation”. No doubt aiming for a good cause, one wonders if the Catholic church will entertain us with some detailed alternatives.
    God bless them, I know he does or they would be in real S.

  11. [The catholic church seems to have re-emphasised its disdain for capitalism, the Pope proclaiming that “Capitalism should not be considered the only valid model of economic organisation”. No doubt aiming for a good cause, one wonders if the Catholic church will entertain us with some detailed alternatives.]

    I wonder what Senators Hockey & Abbott, both good Catholics think of their spiritual leader’s views on one of the key planks of the Liberal Party’s Political platform ?

  12. WhaddyameanDinsdaleP? Wish if I were. Listening to the religious program on ABC local radio as I commune. Pretty boring. Must be a mood thing.

  13. Looks like General Wenck has been halted but for how long??

    November or December election now a certainty…amazing Rudd puts his foot in shit and gets away with it…typical media they wont go hard enough on Rudd for this and got sucked in by his phony heart leak story!

  14. TofK #809
    Sunday night is usually the best spread of demographic for advertising as it is probably the only night in the week where the whole family sits and watches TV.

    The amount of our money that is being spent on advertising is despicable! I believe Howard is going to hold off for the footy finals before he calls the election as he wants to get maximum taxpayer funded ad spend.

    Is Howard going to make an appearance at the 2 GF?
    If he is, expect a huge cacophony of boos and whistles from the crowd when he is introduced:
    GF Entry ticket $150,
    Meat Pie $4.50,
    Beer $6.50
    Howard’s gawkiness – priceless!!!

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