Greatorex by-election live

7.44pm. Sadadeen booth now in, and CLP candidate Matt Conlan is home and hosed with 53.6 per cent of the primary vote. Paul Herrick now leads the Labor candidate 20.3 per cent to 16.5 per cent, while the Greens got a boost from Sadadeen to finish on 9.6 per cent, still down on 10.7 per cent in 2005. Only declaration votes and some more postals to come, which shouldn’t make much difference.

7.05pm. We’ve now got mobile, pre-poll, postal and the small Windmill booth, leaving only the large Sadadeen both (about two-thirds of the total) and declarations (a small handful). Barring something unexpected in Sadadeen, the CLP are looking very good – 62.4 per cent compared with an equivalent 51.4 per cent in 2005. Herrick (17.1 per cent) should finish clear of Labor (13.6 per cent), but it probably won’t be enough. Greens down from 8.7 per cent to 7.0 per cent.

7.00pm. Comparison of pre-poll votes from the 2005 election: the CLP are up from 55.0 per cent to 59.3 per cent, Labor are down from 37.6 per cent to 16.9 per cent and the Greens are up from 7.4 per cent to 7.6 per cent. Filling the gap from Labor’s decline is independent Paul Herrick, on 16.3 per cent. So the swing on pre-polls is not so big you would say the CLP is out of the woods yet.

6.53pm. Pre-poll votes are in, and they suggest a comfortable ride for the CLP candidate, who has 211 of 356 votes (59.3 per cent).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

68 comments on “Greatorex by-election live”

  1. I aggree with melissa they have done nothing for a town that could be a wonderful place if given the chance like darwin i bet K DAVID you live in darwin where you get all the perks

  2. Well the fish are biting today, Might have to go into the harbor (Past the great waterfront development) and catch me some Big ones.

    I’m not trying to defend Labor in the Territory, my sole point has been that melissa was clearly never voting Labor, I’m trying to understand why you would bother coming onto a Site like this and write letters to the editor.

    Just Me was on the money I think.

    and this is the funniest thing i have read “Jodeeen & Lim are tenacious and learned from these mistakes”.

    The only thing that really happened was the real liberals wont be moving into the territory for a few more years.

  3. K David, the answer to your question is three – Chatsworth and Redcliffe (on the same day in about August 2005, from memory) and Gaven (about April 2006). And they were actual losses, unlike Greatorex.

  4. Melissa,

    “yeh putting the nt into how much debt are you kidding economic mangers my arse”

    I admire your erudition, but your implication that the CLP is a superior economic manager is nonsense. What about “Hatton’s Hamlet” or “CLP Castle”? I recall a figure of about $160 million that our kids will have to pay, but for what perceived benefit? Thanks Steve. Enjoy your retirement.

  5. you people have no idea come to alice springs for a week and see if you could stand living here with all the violence and drinking of aboriginal people once again its the minority rulling the majority and alp is sticking up for them no wonder people become racist and before you say im racist im not i have wonderful friends who are aborignal but if they refuse to help themselves well let them die why should the rest of us suffer

  6. Melissa,

    Stop kidding yourself. Minority ruling the majority? I lived in Alice, and the whitefellas are as drunk as the blackfellas. They just do it in the golf club and the pubs and then drive home rather than sleeping in the river.

    Exactly how, anyway, is the ALP sticking up for the ‘drunk aboriginals’? I remember Clare Martin’s public drinking and loitering nonsense from the ’05 election. Hardly left-wing bleeding-heart nonsense.

    The fact is, a lot of Centralian people are ingrained racists who believe in a caracature of the ALP they heard as kids. Grow up.

  7. sO lUKE HOW LONG AGO DID YOU LIVE IN ALICE? i HAVE LIVED HERE ALL MY LIFE AND IN THE LAST 4 YEARS IT HAS GONE FROM BAD TO WORSE

  8. Adam Giles (CLP Lingiari) Corflu’s slogan is “no more sit down money”, If you listen you can hear the dueling banjos in the background.

  9. William Bowe Says:

    July 31st, 2007 at 1:40 am
    K David, the answer to your question is three – Chatsworth and Redcliffe (on the same day in about August 2005, from memory) and Gaven (about April 2006). And they were actual losses, unlike Greatorex.

    and they won them all back at the general from memory.

  10. I was there in the Claree Martin years, Melissa.

    Perhaps you having lived your whole life there explains your attitude. Live a few other places and see how your attitudes and opinions compare to everyone and everywhere else’s.

  11. Hey Melissa, NT looking pretty good from where I sit. More work than I can handle, plenty of jobs for my mates and the place is buzzing. A bit differant to the debacle the CLP created in 2001 when I came up here and you could have bought the place for $50.

  12. It’s alright, Melissa doesn’t really think that. Somebody else told her these things and she’s having a bit of trouble critically analysing information.

  13. mellisa is saying all those nasty things about labour so they get read out on the radio station that Matt Conlan used to work for and no doubt she listened to all his hype about how bad the Alice has become. Alice was the murder capital of the world back in the 80’s under the CLP.

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