One month after my last post, and with emails starting to trickle in asking if I’m still in business, a quick update on my activities would seem to be in order. As you have probably guessed, I have spent much of this time working on my guide to the November 25 Victorian election, which will go live on November 1 regardless of what state it’s in. That will mark the beginning of the high-intensity Poll Bludger campaign coverage you have come to know and love. I will also be visiting my erstwhile home town of Melbourne from November 15 to view the latter stages of the campaign first hand.
I hope this site never goes away – it’s too valuable to lose
I was wondering if it was an experiment to see how many comments you could wring out of the Stuart by-election.
Comparing todays headlines in Melbourne is amusing:
The Age “Libs face crushing loss at poll”
HUN “BACKLASH – Bracks risks losing 16 seats”
Everyone’s a loser baby, that’s the truth.
We could start with a discussion of today’s opinion polls in the Age and the Hun, one showing a Labor landslide and one showing Labor losing 16 seats (according to the Hun). Who said opinion polling was an exact science?
The difference between polls is bizarre; however, the ACNielsen is more in line with the $1.05 odds for a Labor win on the betting market, which is a certainty. Interestingly the Greens vote rises by 3% in the AgePoll while falling 1.5% in the Hun…. are the poll methods markedly diffferent?
Maybe the pollsters just gave the editorial writers what they wanted 🙂