A ReachTEL automated phone poll for the Weekend West, conducted Thursday night from a sample of 1248, suggests Stephen Smith’s leadership offer may have yielded big dividends for Labor, though not in the way he anticipated. It finds:
• Labor leading 56-44 on two-party preferred using respondent-allocated preferences. After excluding the 6.8% undecided, the primary votes pan out to Labor 39.4%, Liberal 37.3%, Nationals 5.3% and Greens 13.0%.
• Mark McGowan looks to have come out of the week’s events with his authority enhanced, with the poll crediting him with a 61-39 lead over Colin Barnett as preferred Premier. He also scores 47.4% as preferred Labor leader, compared with 27.8% for Stephen Smith and 24.5% for Alannah MacTiernan. Among Labor voters, the respective figures are 59.6%, 24.7% and 15.7%.
• Colin Barnett records 41.3% as preferred Liberal leader, ahead of 32.9% for Liza Harvey, 9.5% for Dean Nalder, 9.3% for Mike Nahan and 7.1% for Joe Francis. The respective figures among Liberal voters are 71.7%, 17.0%, 3.9%, 6.0% and 1.4%.
UPDATE: Report from The West Australian here. It’s been noted the two-party result implies a very strong flow of preferences to Labor – preference flows from 2013 would land them somewhere between 53% and 54%.